Summary of Results

First of all, another mention for our 2012 review, which can be seen here: 

Now onto our results so far this year, it's been a pretty quiet start to the year, and we went close to a big return today with our 16/1 shot going down by a neck. 

Let's start on New Years' Day

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.45         Catterick              Nicene Creed               1pt                           12/1 Hills/Bet365/Totesport/Boyles/BetVictor/Betfred

OF INTEREST:

12.35 Musselburgh Jonny Delta 11/2
1.20 Fakenham Ubaldo Des Menhies 7/1
1.45 Catterick Helium 7/1
2.45 Musselburgh Rumble Of Thunder 6/1
3.15 Exeter Quinte du Chatelet 9/2

Nicene Creed was backed into 13/2 so we really got some good value here, but unfortunately Sophie Leech's 8yo was outpaced as things hotted up and he was eased down towards the finish to end up 6th.

Elsewhere, Ubaldo Des Menhies was a winner for the "of interest" mentions at 15/2sp.

On the 2nd January we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No selections

OF INTEREST:

Ayr 1.50 Boris The Blade 9/2
Ayr 2.20 Grand Dianond 10/1
Ayr 2.50 Kudu Country 3/1

No selections, and Kudu Country's second was the best run from the of interests.

On the 3rd January we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

2.30         Ayr                       Bene Lad                      1pt                          11/2 Bet365/Hills/BetVictor/Skybet/Boyles/SportingBet 6/1 Totesport/Betfred

OF INTEREST:

3.00 Ayr Seven Is Lucky 3/1
3.30 Ayr Dibdabs 13/2

Bene Lad was quite nicely backed into 9/2 but dropped away to finish well beaten.

There was nothing doing among the of interests.

On January 4th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

3.40        Musselburgh         Vodka Moon                 0.5pt                        16/1 Bet365/Skybet/Boyles/SportingBet 20/1 Stan James


OF INTEREST:

1.40 Musselburgh Mystified 8/1
2.40 Musselburgh Syndication 11/2
3.20 Lingfield Picture Post 5/1
3.40 Musselburgh Rev Up Ruby 9/2

Vodka Moon went off at 20/1 and actually ran a lot better race than his 7th position suggests. Checked in running a couple of times as he stayed on, he was allowed to cruise for the final 200yds and was only beaten 8 lengths or so by the potentially decent winner. 

A couple of placed efforts from the of interest mentions.

On January 5th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No selections

 
OF INTEREST:

1.05 Newcastle Goodlukin Lucy 15/2 Bunratty 8/1
2.05 Wincanton Willows Saviour 10/1
2.10 Chepstow Shoegazer 4/1
3.00 Sandown Softsong 9/2
3.50 Wincanton Witchesintune 8/1

No selections here, and nothing doing from the of interests apart from a couple of seconds.

On January 6th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.25          Plumpton            Gilded Age                    1pt                               6/1+generally 13/2 Hills/Totesport 7/1 Stan James

OF INTEREST:

3.30 Plumpton Sherreb 8/1
4.00 Plumpton Rocky Elsom 7/1

Gilded Age went off a solid 9/2 shot and the jock had obviously been told to make sure he was placed as he was ridden all the way to the line to snatch third after being struggling to stay in touch for a while. He was beaten just under ten lengths but was staying on quite nicely towards the end.

Of the of interest mentions, Rocky Elsom won at 6/1sp.

On January 7th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No selections

OF INTEREST:

1.40 Taunton Di Kaprio 9/1
3.10 Taunton Buckie Boy 8/1
3.40 Taunton Kellystown Lad 9/2

No selections here, and Kellystown Lad ran best of the of interests, coming 2nd at 7/2.

Then today (Tuesday) we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.20         Chepstow            Samingarry                    1pt                           14/1 + generally 16/1 Hills/Bet365/Totesport&Others 
3.00         Chepstow            Realta Mo Croi             1pt                           13/2+generally 7/1 BetVictor/Totesport/StanJames/BluesSQ&others

OF INTEREST:

1.00 Leicester Reginaldinho 4/1
4.05 Chepstow Dare To Endeavour 7/1

Samingarry was weak in the markets about 20 minutes before the off, but was actually nibbled back in again and started at 16/1. It was interesting support for a horse who had shown nothing previously, and it was clear to us that a decent run was expected. So it proved, with the Nigel Hawke's 6yo staying on really strongly to almost collar the short priced favourite. His jumping was a bit iffy in places, and he was a bit outpaced as things hotted up, but Samingarry pinged the last and was fair charging home with the apprentice jock on the favourite coasting his mount home. We almost got there but went down by a neck. 

That was a Neil Mulholland winner in that race, and we were on one of his in the 3.00 but Realta Mo Croi really significantly drifted in the markets, going off at 14/1. This horse was kept out the back, made some nice headway before being eased off. Today was clearly not his day in the end, but we wouldn't be surprised if his talented trainer got him winning somewhere soon.

Of the "of interest" mentions, Regaldinho won after going off a very well backed 2/1.

Summary of Results:

January 1st 2013

Nicene Creed, 6th/7, 12/1 --- 13/2

January 2nd 

No selections

January 3rd

Bene Lad, 6th/7, 6/1 -- 9/2

January 4th

Vodka Moon, 7th/13, 16/1 --- 20/1

January 5th

No selections

January 6th

Gilded Age, 3rd/9, 13/2 --- 9/2

January 7th

No selections

January 8th

Samingarry, 2nd/9, 16/1 --- 16/1

Realta Mo Croi, 7th/10, 7/1  --- 14/1

So a fairly quiet start to the year, although it almost exploded into life today and we wait to see what tomorrow brings!

2012 Review

Our 2012 review is available by clicking here.

To surmise, plenty of hitting the bar and we'll look to make amends in 2013! We hope you enjoy the read and find it interesting.

December Analysis

Another profitable month, to ensure a pleasing end to 2012. Indeed if it wasn't for the tough rain-hit summer months of July and August this year would have been really pretty good. As it is, our strong end to the year ensures we made it another profitable calendar year, and that's really pleasing, even though we finished well below our expectation level.

We'll produce a look back at 2012 as a whole in the next day or two, but for now let's have a look at December's stats:

Bets: 22
Wins: 4 (18.18%
2nds: 3 (13.64%)
3rds: 1 (4.5%
Placed total: 8 (36.37%)
Average odds taken: 7.22/1
Average SP: 6.45/1
Average win odds: 7.25/1
Profit/Loss: +11pts
Return On Investment: +50%

Highlights were our winners, naturally, in particular Bally Sands at 12/1 SP (showing how drifters can win, despite the fact that our strike rate for decent sized drifters drops by more than double). Ballinhassig was a nice pre-Christmas bonus at 9/1 too. Lowlights were the Boxing Day drift on Along Came Rosie - really not what we wanted to see and she ran accordingly, and also the annoying run of ten defeats which meant we had to work at bringing the month back into shape towards the end.

Interestingly, December ended with exactly the same profit as November (+11pts).

The new feature in recent weeks of ours, the "of interest" mentions, seems to have gone down well with subscribers with quite a few reporting good wins on these picks. With winners at up to 14/1 it's been a little frustrating that not more of those that won were not actual selections of ours of course, but we have sound long-term reasons for leaving certain horse profiles out - but we continue to monitor everything and if we wish to return to historic analysis of certain race/horse profiles we can do as we have data going back a long time which we can check over.

Interestingly, we can honestly say that our slightly more selective process since the break, which is partly the reason for our fewer than usual number of selections, has not filtered any of these "of interest" winners from being actual selections. Indeed, we have only gained from our recent selective process. The "of interest" picks that have won have come from long-standing filters which have stood the test of time historically, but as we mention above, we continue to look closely, and maybe there is an argument for loosening up slightly these filters for the biggest prices "of interest" picks (thinking 10/1+ prices perhaps). But at least now, subscribers can decide for themselves should they want to get involved in some/all of these, and we trust that this addition to our service is going down well.

All the best for now,

Sam and The Market Examiner team.

Ending 2012 on a high!

After the spectacular gains seen in 2010 and 2011, 2012 wasn't exactly an easy year for us, we had some tough runs and many many big priced seconds, but at least we ended on a high with our very last bet of the year winning at an SP of 12/1.

We'll post a review of December shortly, as as well as a look back at 2012 as a whole as well, but for now let's have a look at our results since our last proper update.

On Boxing Day we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.15         Sedgefield           Along Came Rosie           1pt                         5/1 generally
2.30         Sedgefield           Sergeant Pink                   1pt                         12/1 Hills/Lads/Totesport/Bluesq 16/1 Stan James
3.20         Fontwell              Buffalo Creek                  1pt                         5/1 genereally


OF INTEREST:

1.20 Towcester Callhimwhatyouwant 7/1
2.05 Fontwell Pass The Time 5/1
2.55 Wetherby Tyrone House 7/1
3.25 Wincanton Mon Chevalier  13/2

Along Came Rosie was a massive drifter, I think our biggest ever, going off at incredible 16/1 at SP and naturally it was no surprise to see her get pulled up.

Much better was from Sergeant Pink who went off at 14/1 but was beaten just two lengths in second, and staying on all the way to the line too. 

Buffalo Creek started at 3/1 but was pulled up.

The Of Interest horses produced a blank return.

December 27th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No Selections

OF INTEREST:

4.00      Wolv   Sunrise Dance 14-1

And this was a cracking "of interest" winner, with Sunrise Dancer going off at 6/1, making all and never looking in any danger. 

On December 28th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No selections

OF INTEREST:


1.40 Leicester Capellini 6/1
2.10 Leicetser I Can Run Can You 8/1
2.50 Catterick Pamak D'Airy 3/1

Capellini hit a low in-running of 1.08 but finished second, meaning there was no "of interest" winner here.

On December 29th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.25         Kelso                  Political Paddy               1pt                           6/1 generally 13/2 PP/Boyles
3.30         Kelso                  Stopped Out                  1pt                           9/2 generally 
         
OF INTEREST:

2.30 Newbury Arbeo 9/2
2.55 Doncaster Carpincho 14/1 Brunswick Gold 10/1
3.00 Kelso Snapping Turtle 3/1
3.50 Newbury Chatterbox 5/1

Political Paddy went off at 5/1 but ran no sort of race finishing well beaten.

Much better was from Stopped Out, who after starting at 3/1 made all, quickened clear and won easily, great stuff.

It was also a good day for the "of interest" mentions, with Arbeo and Chatterbox both winning (4/1 and 5/1 sps respectively).

On December 30th we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No Selections

OF INTEREST:

Taunton 3.30 Kartanian 7/1
Taunton 4.00 Jupiter Rex 12/1

Another good day here for the Of Interest runners, with Jupiter Rex winning at Taunton after going off at 5/1. 

On New Year's Eve we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

2.10         Uttoxeter              South O'The Border         1pt                       10/1+generally inc. 11/1 Hills/Totesport/Boyles/BetFred/SportingBet
3.10         Uttoxeter              Bally Sands                      1pt                       7/1 generally 8/1 PP/Coral/SportingBet 17/2 Stan James

OF INTEREST:

12.40 Uttoxeter Mirific 10/1
2.40 Uttoxeter Molko Jack 7/2

South O'The Border ran no sort of race, pulling up after starting at 8/1.

Bally Sands was our final pick of 2012 and it wasn't pleasing to see him drift alarmingly to 12/1 - but contrary to what we would usually expect he ran an absolute cracker, always there or thereabouts and pinging the last hurdle to win by half a length, a terrific winner.

No successs here for the of interest picks, with both running unplaced.

On New Years' Day we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.45         Catterick              Nicene Creed               1pt                           12/1 Hills/Bet365/Totesport/Boyles/BetVictor/Betfred

OF INTEREST:

12.35 Musselburgh Jonny Delta 11/2
1.20 Fakenham Ubaldo Des Menhies 7/1
1.45 Catterick Helium 7/1
2.45 Musselburgh Rumble Of Thunder 6/1
3.15 Exeter Quinte du Chatelet 9/2

Nicene Creed went off a solid 13/2 chance so we certainly had the value, but he never really looked like getting involved, finishing 6th.

Ubaldo Des Menhies was a winner for the mentions list, after starting at 17/2.

Today we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

No Selections 

OF INTEREST:

Ayr 1.50 Boris The Blade 9/2
Ayr 2.20 Grand Dianond 10/1
Ayr 2.50 Kudu Country 3/1

And no returns from the Of Interest picks. 

Summary of Results:

December 26th 2012:

Along Came Rosie, P/7, 5/1 ---16/1

Sergeant Pink, 2nd/5, 12/1 --- 14/1 

Buffalo Creek P/5, 5/1 --- 3/1

December 27th 2012:

No selections

December 28th 2012:

No selections

December 29th 2012:

Political Paddy, 8th/9, 13/2 --- 5/1

Stopped Out, 1st/6, 9/2 --- 3/1

December 30th 2012:

No selections

December 31st 2012:

South O'The Border, P/8, 11/1 --- 8/1

Bally Sands, 1st/8, 8/1 --- 12/1

January 1st 2012:

Nicene Creed, 6th/7, 12/1 --- 13/2

January 2nd 2012:

No selections

All in all from Christmas Day to New Years morning, we saw a nice 11.5pts of profit, and many subscribers have benefitted too from our "of interest" picks going in at regular intervals too, some at very good prices (unfortunately not backed by us we hasten to add!).

A cracking end to 2012 and we'll be back soon with a look at December as a whole.

Quick update

Just a quick hello ahead of a full results summary in the next few days. We had a good winner yesterday in the shape of Stopped Out, which leaves December around level for us at the moment.

Our "of interest" selections continue to perform strongly, with winners up to 14/1, which leaves us with slightly mixed feelings of course (easy to regret them not being official picks when they scoot home!) but we know some of our members are benefiting from this extra advice, and that's good for us.

We'll be back soon, but if we don't post again before tomorrow night, we wish you a very Happy New Year, and roll on 2013!

Best wishes

Sam and The Market Examiner team.

Merry Christmas

We hope you're well and feeling festive as we approach Christmas!
Yesterday we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

 

3.25         Haydock              Duke Of Monmouth        1pt                          9/2 generally


Duke Of Monmouth ran well for a long time and was still there approaching the final flight but didn't quite enough left in the tank in the very heavy conditions and finished fourth, beaten just under five lengths. He opened on course at 7/2 and was backed into 11/4 at SP, so the sustained support was there which we like to see but sadly the result didn't follow.

Summary of Result

Saturday 22nd December 2012

Duke Of Monmouth, 4th/8, 9/2 --- 11/4

Wishing you a very Merry Christmas.

All the best,

Sam and The Market Examiner team.

Ironic winner

Wasn't it always going to be the case, that our first "mention" - i.e reference to a horse not officially a selection but one that we've been closing eyeing - goes and wins at a decent price!

Aye Well got up close to the line for a bitter-sweet victory in the opener at Catterick. Naturally our first "proper" selection in this "new era" ran unplaced. Oh how the racing gods have a sense of humour.

We had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

3.00         Folkestone           Verumontanum              1pt                            8/1 Coral/BetVictor/Totesport/PP/Boyles

OF INTEREST:

Catterick 12.10 Aye Well (9/1)
Catterick 2.10 Mrs Eff (8/1) and Stop On (14/1)
Folkestone 2.30 Doheny Bar (7/1)

After Aye Well got up to win at Catterick, and Stop On ran a big race too, finishing third, we looked to Verumontanum to put in a good showing in the last ever hurdles race at Folkestone. He continued to be backed, going off at 5/1, but really never looked like getting involved and was pulled up. 

Summary of Result

Verumontanum, PU/10, 8/1 --- 5/1

On to tomorrow!

Christmas cheer returns! And a tweak to the service.

A cracking winner today to lift December back into profit after a sticky spell. It just goes to show how things can turn quickly with a nice priced pick coming in. Sadly we couldn't follow it up, but eight point profits on the day will do nicely.

Yesterday we got the price again but sadly the cash stayed with the layers this time.

We had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

 

1.00         Carlisle                 Man Of Principles          1pt                          8/1 PP/Totesport/Coral 9/1 Boyles

Man Of Principles went off at 6/1 but was under pressure all too early and the 9yo was eventually pulled up. 

Today we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

 

2.05         Plumpton             Ballinhassig                     1pt                          8/1 generally 9/1 Coral/SportingBet/Stan James
3.35         Plumpton             Gaelic Silver                   1pt                          5/1 generally 11/2 VC 6/1 Boyles/Totesport/Stan James

Ballinhassig was nicely backed to win this slog, returning to the C&D he won at back in January, going off at 6/1 in the end and he drew clear to win easily for Sarah Wall, a cracking effort and a big well done to connections.

Gaelic Silver was all the rage this morning but a bit weak on course, going off at 6/1. He hung right throughout and never looked entirely comfortable, finishing well beaten in the end.

Summary of Results

16th December 2012

Man Of Principles, PU/9, 8/1 --- 6/1

17th December 2012

Ballinhassig, 1/5, 9/1 --- 6/1

Gaelic Silver, 5/7, 11/2 --- 6/1

It leaves December 1.5pts in front. Nothing to get too carried away by but nice all the same considering we've had a couple of second placed finishes and another falling when looking the likely winner. 

From tomorrow, we're going to be providing an extra service for our subscribers. After listening to feedback from our subscription base, we're going to start listing horses whose odds we've been tracking and we're interested in, but for whatever reason aren't quite a selection for us. These "of interest" horses will we hope add extra value to a Market Examiner subscription, particularly on days when there is nothing for us to put up as a selection. While we would like to think they will turn a profit over the course of time, we won't be backing them ourselves. Ours is a system based on numbers and filters without emotion and only the most fine-tuned selections will be put up as actual picks, but our members have suggested this would be a popular addition to what we do.

It could be said that listing these mentions is a no win strategy for us. Plenty of them win and the question will be why weren't they "proper" picks, and if plenty of them lose, it'll be a case of why give mention to horses that seem to be running badly. Well, that's as may be. Plenty of other respected services out there mention horses which are not actual selections and we feel that our membership base are mature enough to decide what to do with these "of interest" horses for themselves. Either way, we think it's going to be a good move for our subscribers and we'll see how it goes. 

Little Christmas cheer!

It's been a frustrating couple of weeks or so and it's continued over the last couple of days, with three selections being turned over, two of them starting nicely shorter than backed at and one running a big race but just finding one too good. 

Yesterday we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

 

2.10         Bangor                  Tarbeck                       1pt                           11/2 generally 6/1 Hills/PP

Tarbeck went off a very well backed 7/2 and ran well for a long time but in the end didn't get home in the mud and finished well beaten.

Today we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

 

1.10        Lingfield                 Colebrooke                  1pt                           8/1+generally inc. 9/1 Hills/PP/Bluesq 10/1 Betfred
1.35        Doncaster              Fiendish Flame              1pt                           10/1 generally 11/1 BetVictor SportingBet

Colebrooke was nicely supported, going off at 7/1, and the 4yo ran a cracking race in the heavy conditions. Always prominent, he was bang there coming to the last couple of hurdles, but the David Pipe trained favourite Tanerko Emery came through to readily take it up before the last and won by five lengths. Colebrooke was well clear of third, but no returns for us win only backers.

25 minutes later at Doncaster Fiendish Flame (10/1sp) set off in the lead as is his way and seemed to be going well enough for a while, but faded approaching three out to finish fifth.

Summary of Results:

Friday 14th December 2012:

Tarbeck, 8th/8, 6/1 --- 7/2

Saturday 15th December 2012:

Colebrooke, 2nd/8, 9/1 --- 7/1

Fiendish Flame, 5th/8, 10/1 --- 10/1

Three NH meetings tomorrow, and let's hope we can spin the week back into profit with a nice winner or two. 

Results Update

A very quiet stretch with four selections since our last update, unfortunately with no returns among them.

Last Friday, the 7th December, we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.30         Exeter                  Shaking Hands               1pt                            6/1 generally 13/2 Hills/Bet365/PP/Boyles

Shaking Hands went off a nicely backed 11/2 but we knew we were in trouble the moment the commentator revealed ten seconds before the off that the tongue-tie he was meant to be using wasn't in position. Apparently they couldn't get it on the horse. He went on to run well for much of the 4 mile contest before downing tools and ending up pulling up, pretty frustrating.

On Saturday we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.15         Wetherby             Amore Mio                   1pt                            11/2 generally 6/1 Coral/SportingBet
3.20        Aintree                  Blackstaff                      1pt                            10/1 generally 12/1 Totesport/Betfred 14/1 Hills/Bet365

Amore Mio started at 4/1 and stayed on to finish third, while Blackstaff was also nicely supported, going off at 9/1 but made mistakes and fell at the 9th.

And that was it until today when we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.50         Taunton                Rajdhani Express           1pt                          4/1 PP/Coral/Boyles/SportingBet/Stan James/Bluesq

Rajdhani Express started at 4/1 and was still going beautifully when he moved into a share of the lead, trading at shorter than 1/2 in running. Unfortunately he fell three out, leaving Changing Times with a straight forward win. It was no guarantee that Nicky Henderson's 5yo would have won had he stayed on his feet but he would certainly have had a massive chance, possibly one that got away.

Summary of Results: 

Friday 7th December 2012:

Shaking Hands, PU/10, 13/2 --- 11/2

Saturday 8th December 2012:

Amore Mio, 3rd/8, 6/1 --- 4/1

Blackstaff, F/9, 14/1 --- 9/1

Thursday 13th December 2012:

Rajdhani Express, F/7, 4/1 --- 4/1

November Analysis

High time for our look back at November 2012, which was was a good month in terms of ROI, and headline profit.

Bets: 17
Wins: 3 (17.65%)
2nds: 2 (11.76%)
3rds: 1 (5.88%)
Placed total: 6 (35.29%)
Average odds taken: 7.76/1
Average SP: 6.63/1
Average win odds: 8.33/1
Profit: +11pts
Return On Investment: 64.71%

In terms of number of selections, it was our lowest since January 2010, which was partly because of abandoned meetings, and partly due to a tightening up of our selection policy. We strongly believe that this tightening of our selection policy will result in greater profits going forward.

For only the third month of 2012, we had more winners than second placed finishes, and it was good to see that advised odds well outperformed SP, with more than 3/4 starting at shorter or the same price as advised - again generally a hallmark of a profitable line.

So we press on into December with high hopes for a strong end to the year. 

Results update

We'll be doing our November review shortly, but first just a quick look back at the last couple of days.

Starting yesterday, we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

12.30      Folk                           Promised Wings              1pt                     5-1 general

Promised Wings went off a solid 5/1 shot after being quite nicely backed in the morning. We don't know for sure of course, but for us this was a pretty good example of a jockey in Tom Cannon having been told that the money's down and not to give up on him. Rousted along all too early he looked like he was going to finish well beaten, if he finished at all, as kept coming on and off the bridle, but Tom continued to work on him and helped him stay on right to the line, snatching second near the finish - sadly quite some way behind the winner. So the each-way money landed, but no returns for us win-only backers.

Then today we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

1.40         Hereford                Aureate                       1pt                           8/1 generally 

Aureate started a well backed 11/2 for Brian Forsey but from halfway never really looked like getting involved. He wasn't helped by a faller three out when trying to stay on, but while he kept on into 5th he was never going well enough to be considered in any way unlucky.

Summary of Results:

4th December 2012:

Promised Wings, 2nd/7, 5/1 --- 5/1

5th December 2012:

Aureate, 5th/11, 8/1 --- 5/1

We'll be back shortly with our look at November.

Good start to December

A 100% strike-rate for December so far with our only selection of the month so far winning easily today at Leicester. 

A shame there was a 30p R4 deduction, particularly with the way Witch's Hat ran out a comfortable victor, but still a good start to the month.

Yesterday we had no selections, and today we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

2.55         Leicester              Witch's Hat                    1pt                          5/1 generally

There were little bits of 11/2 around when the email went out, but 5/1 was more readily available. Three non-runners led to a 30p R4 deduction, meaning 5/1 became 3.5/1 - but still a fair bit bigger than the 9/4 he the maiden 9yo went off at. The support was well justified, with Jim Old's gelding being sent off in the lead and was never headed. His closest pursuer fell at the last fence, but he looked to more than have his measure  and he ran out a very easy winner.

Summary of Results:

30th November 2012:

Quite The Man NR (abandoned)

1st December 2012: 

No selections

2nd December 2012:

Witch's Hat, 1st/5, 3.5/1 --- 9/4

It's good to start the month in positive territory, and hopefully we can build on it in the coming days.