Friday 31 December 2010

Ending the year with a winner

Our first bet of 2010, which seems so long ago now, was a winner. And to cap what's been on the whole a terrific twelve months, we ended with a winner too.

Unfortunately we also had four losers today, including a two point selection at 8/1 (sp 10/1) so our 5/1 success meant we broke even for the day, but at least things finished brightly.

It's been a really frustrating month, mainly because of the freezing weather and the desperate lack of racing, but on the rare days we have seen selections, the lack of a good winner or two has also been extremely annoying.

Still, it's all finished with now, a new year begins tomorrow and we can't wait to see what 2011 brings.

We started in the 12.50 at Warwick, with Bear Dancing (1pt), at 8/1. Going off at 17/2 he ran an absolute shocker and ended pulled up.

Things weren't much better in the 1.10 at Uttoxeter, with Hopeful Start (1pt) at 7/1. Going off at 15/2 Jonjo O'Neill's 6y.o at least finished, but miles behind, coming fourth of the five runners.

Next up, in the 2.10 at Uttoxeter, we advised Sun Tzu (2pt) at 8/1, who would have won by 13 lengths, had he not been comfortably beaten himself by the winner, Supreme de Paille. A decent enough performance though, after he was sent off at 10s.

In the 2.20 at Warwick, Whatever Next (1pt) was a 16/1 shot for us. Going off at 12/1 we could only watch as Timmy Murphy gave him a nondescript ride in finishing fourth, barely giving the horse a chance to get competitive. A massive difference to the ride AP gave to Rate Of Knots in finishing second.

In the 3.40 at Uttoxeter, Just Cloudy (1pt) was the one to get us out of trouble for the day at 5/1. Always traveling strongly in the bumper, he looked to be a comfortable winner but then really tired close to home. Thankfully he found enough in the end though and was a driven out winner by 1 1/2 lengths.

Here's to a brilliant 2011. Happy New Year to you all.

Confirmation of results with SPs:

Bear Dancing, PU/12, 17/2
Hopeful Start, 4th/5, 17/2
Suz Tzu, 2nd/11, 10/1
Whatever Next, 4th/10, 12/1
Just Cloudy, 1st/9, 5/1






***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk

Thursday 30 December 2010

Looking back for dangers..

Well we had one selection today, Noble Aran (1pt) at 11/2, trying a drop in trip in the 1.50 at Taunton.

His jumping was a bit scratchy early on as the pace perhaps found him out a little, but as the race developed he really began to find a good stride and about four from home Paddy Brennan briefly had a look back for dangers as he seemingly was traveling really nicely. The moment he did that though, ironically, was the moment he began to struggle and he soon got swallowed up and couldn't quicken with the rest of them, to finish a fairly well beaten fourth.

It adds to what's been a frustrating December, that's for sure, but a couple of jumps meetings tomorrow to hopefully end the year on a high note with. And then, roll on 2011!

Confirmation of result with SP:

Noble Aran, 4th/9, 9/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Wednesday 29 December 2010

One too good

A good performance today by our only selection, but he ran into one too good.

We put up Nicky Henderson's Media Luz (1pt), advised at 5/1, in the 12.30, the juvenile hurdle at Newbury. After being nicely supported in the morning, the exchange layers pushed the promising 3y.o's price out, so he opened on course at 15/2, before going off at 7/1 at SP.

Henderson's only other runner in the race was always going to be the main danger, the short-priced Grandouet. And that's how it turned out. Media Luz ran well in the gloom, and when the runners emerged out of the fog near the end he was traveling really well and looked a big danger, but despite finishing nearly 20 lengths clear of the third, Grandouet was just too good, quickening really well to win quite cosily by four lengths.

A frustrating result, but hopefully we'll get back to the winners' enclosure soon.

Confirmation of result with sp:

Media Luz, 7/1, 2nd/8

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk

Tuesday 28 December 2010

First day of action in twelve days!!!

Turf racing finally back today then thank goodness!

We had two selections at Ffos Las, both nicely backed.

First up was Azionne (1pt), in the 1.30, the Mare's Handicap Hurdle. Advised at 7/1, she continued to be nicely supported into 9/2 before not justifying it, finishing a well beaten sixth.

In the 3.15, we had Nemo Spirit (1pt), at 13/2, who did much better. Tim Vaughan's 5y.o ran well on his first start over hurdles, leading or racing prominently for much of the contest, after going off at 4/1 SP. Trading at just above evens in running, he just got run out of things near the finish, but stayed on again into third. A promising introduction.

All in all, it was great to be back in action albeit without a winner. Hopefully this weather will continue to warm up and we'll see plenty more action before the next cold spell hits.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Azionne, 6th/10, 9/2
Nemo Spirit, 3rd/10, 4/1

PS hope you had a great Christmas!

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk

Thursday 16 December 2010

Edging back into it

A decent winner today, with an 8/1 shot doing the business in gutsy style.

That set things up with a couple more runners to go, but sadly we couldn't follow up. A decent performance at a big price coming afterwards, and then a faller.

We're updating from yesterday as well, where we had a couple of seconds from our four picks.

Let's start with yesterday then, and in the 12.25 at Newbury, a novices chase we had Double Pride (1pt), at 7/1. Going off at the same price, he ran pretty well, with a couple of jumping errors not really helping, finishishing fourth of 16 in the end.

In the 12.45 at Bangor we had One More Dinar (1pt) at 9/1. Nicely backed into 6/1 at the off, he put in a decent performance, travelling nicely at times and backed into almost 1/2 in running. He stayed on strongly after hitting the last going down by a length and a half.

At 3.00 at Bangor our selection was Vin Rose (1pt) at 6/1. Going off at 11/2, this was another good performance, just running into one too good being beaten six lengths in the end.

Ten minutes later, in the 3.10 at Newbury we had a selection in the rescheduled Peterborough Chase, Master Medic (1pt) at 10/1. Clearly plenty was expected from this once progressive chaser, who was last seen pulling up in last year's King George, as he continued to be backed into 8/1 SP. Unfortunately he was just never travelling, and pulled up early on, surely not really his true running.

On to today, and a great start in the 12.40 at Towcester. De Forgotten Man (1pt) was an 8/1 shot for us, and went off at 7s, and put in a stirling display in really slow ground, staying on bravely to win by a length.

Then in the 2.10 at Towcester we had Bible Lord (1pt), at 12/1. Opening on course at 9/1 the layers got stuck in and the SP was 14/1. He ran a big race though, leading for much of the way and really doing his best go slog it out. In the end he just faded near the finish, and was unfortunate to be pipped for third.

Then came our first 2pt bet for a while, Owner Occupier (2pt) in the 3.10 at Towcester, at 7/1. After opening 11/2 he drifted to 7s at SP. He was tracking the leaders and seemingly going well when he fell.

So when the dust settles after a couple of busy days a 1pt profit in the end. Most of the selections ran well, and there's a small sense of what may have been. We can only hope the forecasters have got it wrong and we see plenty of racing in the lead up to Christmas to push things on.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Wednesday 15th December

Double Pride, 4th/16, 7/1
One More Dinar, 2nd/9, 6/1
Vin Rose, 2nd/10, 11/2
Master Medic, PU/7, 8/1

Thursday 16th December:

De Forgotten Man, 1st/16, 7/1
Bible Lord, 4th/12, 14/1
Owner Occupier, F/10, 7/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Tuesday 14 December 2010

Been a while

Because of the break in September and October it feels like it's been a while since a month was sitting in good profit, and December continues to stutter along with another three losers. It's all about the long term of course, but it would be nice to have a good day or two soon - preferably before the freezing weather descends again!

Anyway we had three today, a couple at Folkestone and another at Catterick.

First up was Shewarni Wolf (1pt) in the 1.35 at Folkestone. Advised at 5/1, he opened at 3/1 before going off at 4s for Nigel Twiston-Davies. He was there or thereabouts for a good part of the race but just tired near the end of this first attempt at a longer trip.

Half an hour later we had Bold Pioneer (1pt) at 8/1 in the 2.05 at Folkestone. Going off at 13/2, he ran really well for a long time, going nicely while others seemingly were toiling, and he traded at around 6/4 in running. But a furlong or two from home he just really started to struggle and in the end came sixth of six, a frustrating race to watch.

Last up we had Best Horse (1pt) in the 2.45 at Catterick, at 11/2. This one drifted before the off, starting at 8/1, but put in a decent performance, still holding every chance coming to the last, but just couldn't find anything close to home.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Shewarni Wolf, 6th/16, 4/1
Bold Pioneer, 6th/6, 13/2
Best Horse, 5th/12, 8/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Monday 13 December 2010

Win or bust

We had a couple of fairly big priced selections at Plumpton today, and got a decent priced third which went off a B.O.G 14/1. No celebrating here though of course as we advise and back win-only. The other one was unplaced.

First up then in the 2.35 we advised Deep Pockets (1pt), at 10/1. A bit of a drifter before the off, the 11y.o. went off 14/1 looking for his third win over C+D. It wasn't a bad performance, apart from a possibly costly mistake as things began to heat up, but was being scrubbed along a fair way out. He stayed on for that pressure to come home third, beaten about six lengths by the winner.

In the final race of the day, we had Stop The Show (1pt) at 14/1. Going off the same price, he was well beaten and plugged on to finish sixth.

Not a great start to the week but at least there looks like there should be a couple of NH meetings on tomorrow, so hopefully we can get back to winning ways sooner rather than later.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Deep Pockets, 3rd/12, 14/1
Stop The Show, 6th/11, 14/1


***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Sunday 12 December 2010

Cheltenham catch up

Amidst all the abandonments, a couple of brilliant days at Cheltenham, and hats off to all concerned for getting the show on the road.

We've had a couple of selections in those two days, one on Friday and one yesterday.

First of all we advised Superior Wisdom (1pt) in the 3m handicap hurdle on Friday (the 1.50), at 9/1. Coming off a game win at Exeter, he went off at 10s and was in the process of running a big race before crashing out at the third last flight, bringing down three others at the same time.

On the Saturday, we had Restless Harry (1pt) at 9/1 in the Relkeel Hurdle, the 1.20. There was a lot of confidence behind this, not least from his trainer Robin Dickin and he went off 11/2. Sadly it didn't quite go to plan, he set a tad too fierce a pace up front and was a spent force a couple of fences from home, finishing seventh in the end.

The forecast seems a bit milder this week so hopefully plenty of action in the next few days.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Friday 10th December

Superior Wisdom, F/16, 10/1

Saturday 11th December

Restless Harry, 7th/12, 11/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Tuesday 7 December 2010

Warm weather dance

What an incredibly frustrating December so far, to put it mildly, and just looking at the long term forecast on the BBC website it seems that things could stay pretty cold for a lot of the rest of the month..

Let's all hope Cheltenham somehow manages to beat the conditions and get things going on Friday so we see a scene a bit like this one..

.

Just a reminder that our member's subscriptions, existing and new, are paused during this cold spell, with all days of turf racing lost added to total subscriptions. We don't follow all-weather market moves, as we've found them too unreliable but please rest assured that if you join us during this freezing period you won't miss out on any days of action in the long run.

In the meantime we're off to do a warm weather dance in the hope it'll help!

***


Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Tuesday 30 November 2010

Frozen frustrations

It's an extraordinary sign of just how cold it is at the moment that Kelso's meeting on Sunday has already been called off.

All very frustrating, particularly as we have found market moves on the all-weather to be too unreliable to trust, hence we've had no selections at all (which have run) since Saturday. We did have a runner at Folkestone on Monday, but of course that meeting too bit the dust.

As we mentioned on Sunday, we've decided to add all days lost due to the weather to our member's subscriptions. It just seems the fairest thing to do.

Hopefully the forecasters have got it wrong and Britain will warm up again soon - although that looks unlikely right now!

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Sunday 28 November 2010

Slow Saturday

What a brilliant day of action at Newbury on Saturday. Sadly our one selection finished just out of the frame, The Betchworth Kid (1pt), in the 2.00. Advised at 9/2, he went off at the same price and ran pretty well, but finished just out of the frame.

Confirmation of result with SP

The Betchworth Kid, 4th/12, 9/2

All this cold weather, and meetings being abandoned, means it looks all but certain that November will end in a loss, which is very frustrating but brighter times are surely just around the corner!

By the way, if you are thinking of subscribing but concerned by a possible lack of racing in the coming days/weeks, you'll be pleased to know that any days when there is no turf racing because of the weather, we've decided to simply add those days to member's subscriptions.

Thanks

Sam
***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk

Friday 26 November 2010

Looking forward to the weekend

Just a couple of selections today, and neither placed. Most of our selections recently have gone on to shorten in price, but today a big drifter which is always frustrating (unless they win with b.o.g in play of course).

Anyway both were at Musselburgh, the first in the opener, the 12.10. We had Vallani (1pt), having her first start for Lucinda Russell after being in Peter Monteith's stable, at 5/1. Going off at 9/2, she never really jumped particularly well and found herself a fair way behind. She stayed on quite nicely in the closing stages but was never going to trouble the leaders.

The next was in the 2.25, Overyou (1pt), advised at 13/2. She drifted before opening on course at 9/1 and then continued to go out to 14/1 at the off. Clearly not expected to run well, she didn't, finishing well behind.

Obviously the action's depleted tomorrow because of Newcastle and Towcester being off, but there's some decent racing about - hats off to Newbury for staging the Fighting Fifth - so hopefully a winner or two to be found.

Confirmation of result with sps:

Vallani, 5th/10, 9/2
Overyou, 12th/14, 14/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Thursday 25 November 2010

Not today

Another quiet day in terms of number of selections, with just a couple for us today, with a plugging on second and a run which was possibly too bad to be true.

First up we had Glenturn (1pt) in the 3.05 at Uttoxeter, advised at 7/1. They finished really tired in the slow ground over 2m 6 and the selection, which started at 5/1 was miles behind but did stay on well at the end to only go down by about six lengths. If he could have been closer to the pace he may well have justified his market support with a win, but not to be.

Ten minutes later we had a selection in the 3.15 at Newbury, the best race of the card, a Grade Two novices chase, which saw the sad demise of Tell Massini. The one for us was Be There In Five (1pt), advised at 5/1 and he went off at the same price, only to just never get in it. His jumping was a bit eratic and he just never landed a blow, finishing a tailed off third. Be There In Five actually beat the winner Aiteen Thirtythree over the same distance in a hurdles race back in March (and was actually giving Aiteen Thirtythree seven pounds too) but today just wasn't his day, and maybe there was more to it than just not taking to the fences. Will be interesting to watch what happens with him next time.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Glenturn, 2nd/7, 5/1
Be There In Five, 3rd/5, 5/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Wednesday 24 November 2010

999/1 winner

A good winner today from the one selection but my word it didn't look very likely about half a mile from home!

We advised Stow (1pt) at 10/1 in the 2.15 at Chepstow for Venetia Williams. A previous Triumph Hurdle runner (in 2009), he was being perservered with over three miles despite a couple of disappointing efforts over a similar distance. Really, from the formbook it would have been difficult to make a case for him but he was nicely backed this morning, and went off a couple of points shorter again at 8/1.

In the race Stow was scrubbed along quite early on, and couldn't go with the leaders when things began to get serious. The in-running layers got well and truly stuck in and before you know it he was trading at 999/1 on Betfair.

But hats off to Aidan Coleman, he never gave up and even a couple of fences from home when he still looked well beaten he was driving him on. Over the last fence he was still well down, but produced a terrific late burst of pace to win in the shadow of the post.

A very nice result, and hopefully something we can build on before the end of the month.

Confirmation of results with sp:

Stow, 1st/11, 8/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Tuesday 23 November 2010

Foiled

The money was well and truly down with our solitary selection today, which we advised at 5/1.

Mighty Magnus (1pt) had run quite well at Carlisle three weeks ago and he was very well backed to do the business in the 2.30 at Sedgefield, going off 9/4 favourite by off time.

He was very confidentally ridden, held up well behind the pace before gradually getting involved, but then found very little when asked to quicken, ending up third.

It's all about locking in that value over time and getting 5/1 about 9/4 shots pays dividends over the long term. They can't all do the business though of course and we'll hope for better tomorrow.

Confirmation of result with SP:

Mighty Magnus, 3rd/7, 9/4

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Monday 22 November 2010

Not a good start to the week

First of all, what sad news about Peter Monteith, our thoughts are with his friends and family. Reading tributes for him, he sounds like he was a very decent chap, and of course was a very decent trainer too, such a shame.

As for the selections, well, we were looking for a strong start to the week of course, but didn't get it.

We had five go for us, the first at Ludlow in the 1.10, where Glebehall Bay (1pt) was a pick at 9/2. Racing in snatches, he was squashed against the fence as things began to get serious and was never really in it afterwards, finishing sixth.

There was a good card at Kempton and we had a couple there, including in the 2.05 Picture In The Sky (1pt) at 12/1. He opened on course at 8/1 but drifted to an SP of 12/1, before running well for a good while. Sam Twiston Davies put in a brilliant effort to stay on when the horse slightly overjumped when in second about four out, but couldn't quite manage it so we had another UR on our hands.

It was to Wales next, in the 3.00 at Ffos Las where we had Doubletoilintrouble (1pt) at 10/1. After opening on course at 8/1, he continued to be backed into 9/2 at the off. He ran well until the last couple of furlongs before fading but at least picked up third place for those following the selections each way (not us of course).

Back to Kempton we went for the 3.10, where we had Rodrigo Gonzales (1pt), an 8/1 shot for us and another well backed type, going off at 5/1 in the end. Nothing doing here though either as the horse ran very poorly finishing a tailed off 5th.

So it was to Ludlow finally with Walls Way in the 3.25. Put up at 12/1, he went off marginally shorter at 11/1 before finishing well behind the leaders.

On to tomorrow where we'll hope things begin to turn for the month. Still not too late to turn things into a profit for November, but it's not going to be easy.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Glebehall Bay, 6th/9, 5/1
Picture In The Sky, UR/5, 12/1
Doubletoilintrouble, 3rd/8, 9/2
Rodrigo Gonzales, 5th/6, 5/1
Walls Way, 9th/13, 11/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk


Sunday 21 November 2010

Weekend catch up

Really tough going at the moment, more than 1 in 4 selections since last Sunday's big winner have come second, including two more this weekend, and yesterday we had our only 2pt pick of the weekend at 8/1 travelling powerfully and looking the most likely winner before fluffing the fence three out and falling at the last.

This is just natural variance and it's important to think long term about such runs. As long as we're beating SP with the majority of selections, which we are, things will turn around. Naturally it's incredibly annoying that the month isn't powering on with great profits given this is the first month of subscriptions, that's what you call sod's law I suppose.

Anyway let's catch up with results this weekend.

We had five selections yesterday, on a busy day in the markets and with some great racing on show.

Things started in the 12.55 at Ascot with Solitary Palm (1pt), advised at 10/1. Going off at 11/1, he got as far as the second fence before Liam Treadwell unseated, the first time the 7yo hadn't put in a clear round in his jumping career.

In the 1.05 at Huntingdon at we had Pearlysteps (1pt), at 5/1. It was the second time over fences for Henry Daly's runner, and he put in a decent performance after starting at 4/1, holding every chance near the end before being beaten by the useful Golan Way, finishing second beaten a couple of lengths.

Next up was the only 2pt pick of the weekend, and we got a cracking performance with what we thought looked a very likely winner. My Moment (2pts) was an 8/1 selection in the 1.15 at Haydock, another Henry Daly runner. Dropping back in trip, he continued to be well backed into 5/1 at the off, and then ran really well for a long time, jumping into the lead after cruising up with the pace for much of the race. Just as he was stretching his advantage he seemed to put in a good leap three out but slipped on landing, losing momentum. He picked up again but the mistake seemed to throw him off stride a little, and he was in second when he came down at the last fence when beginning to rally again.

In the 1.30 at Ascot, a mare's handicap hurdle we had Manele Bay (1pt) at 6/1 Richard Rowe. Another selection supported further before the off, she went off at 5/1 before putting in a poor effort, never in contention.

Next up it was the 2.45 at Huntingdon, where Yetholm (1pt) was a selection at 9/1. Going off at 10/1 he was very badly hampered by a faller at an early fence and then was never really travelling afterward, ending up well beaten.

On to today and we were looking to get things back on track with a couple of selections.

First up we had Raysrock (1pt) in the 2.30 at Kelso, a handicap hurdle over the minimum trip, at 8/1. Backed into 5/1 at the off, he was always in contention and stayed on well, beaten a length into second.

In the 2.55 at Aintree, we had Whereveryougoigo, at 5/1. Nicely backed all day he started at 3/1 but put in a poor display of jumping, constantly losing ground by jumping right at his fences and ending up very well beaten.

Let's hope the coming week is brighter, it's only a matter of time before things bouce back but we'd obviously prefer it to happen sooner rather than later.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Saturday:

Solitary Palm, UR/10, 11/1
Pearlysteps, 2nd/6, 4/1
My Moment, F/8, 5/1
Manele Bay, 11/15, 5/1
Yetholm, 8th/13, 10/1

Sunday:

Raysrock, 2nd/12, 5/1
Whereveryougoigo, 8th/10, 3/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Friday 19 November 2010

Seconditis

Ok it's not quite the seconditis suffered by Forpaddydeplaster but we've had three 2pt selections this week and all have finished second, including two today.

First up we had Smokey Oakey (2pts) in the 2.10 at Ascot, a competitive introductory hurdle, at 9/1. The selection was always going to have the biggest test from the Champion Bumper fifth, Megastar, and so it proved, with the winner quickening away impressively in the closing stages. Still, a decent performance from our pick, leading much of the way and staying on nicely to be clear of third. With an SP of 8/1 we also grabbed a bit of value which is the idea.

Fifteen minutes later, we had Russian Song (2pts), in the 2.25 at Exeter. A 5/1 shot for us, the Colin Tizzard trained 6yo went off a well supported 7/2 and ran really well. Travelling smoothly he really looked to have a big chance in the closing stages (trading at 1.25 in running). But he clattered the second last which lost his rhythm and he took a bit of time to get going again. Over the last fence, he looked beaten but rallied brilliantly to fly home, going down by a neck. If the line was 15 yards further away he'd have won.

That's racing though of course, and at least both selections started shorter than we backed at, and ran well. Hopefully things turning just in time for the weekend, we're looking forward to our next decent return, it won't be far away.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Smokey Oakey, 2nd/8, 8/1
Russian Song, 2nd/5, 7/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Thursday 18 November 2010

Slow week

What's proving to be a slow and unprofitable week continues, with four selections over the last couple of days, none of them placing.

Yesterday we kicked things off with Red Perfection (1pt) in the 1.00 at Warwick, at 16/1. It wasn't a good sign as she drifted to 25/1 at SP, and so it proved. She was up with the pace setters for a fair part of the race, before just falling away really tamely, ending up pulling up. We've had quite a few poor performances this week and this one up with the worst of them.

Just over a couple of hours later, our second and final selection for Wednesday was Young Buddy (1pt) in the 3.10 at Hexham, at 9/1. Going off at 17/2, we had another possible candidate for worst performance of the week. Shoved along early, he lost contention and ended up well back, finishing sixth. Certainly more was expected in conditions he perhaps would have been thought to enjoy.

So that was Wednesday, on to today and at least a couple of slightly better runs, if still no returns.

First up we had Form And Beauty (1pt) in the 2.00 at Hereford at 8/1. Starting at 6s, he ran a frustrating race, starting really slowly and jumping poorly to leave himself well out of the back and seemingly out of contention. He did pick up qute well in the last half furlong or so and ended up fourth, although still beaten quite a way. Great name though.

Twenty minutes later, in the 2.20 at Wincanton, an interesting novice hurdle race, we had Fortification (1pt) at 8/1. Another selection backed further in, he started at 13/2 and looked a contender for a good while before finding things just a bit too quick when push came to shove, although stayed on pretty well into fourth.

So since Monday we've not hit the target from eleven attempts, and had just the once placed as well (our only 2pt selection of the 11 - finished second). What's been particularly annoying is that we've had many just never looking like getting involved. It's been quite frustrating too only having two selections on each of these last three days, it just always takes longer to get things motoring when it's a slow period. But we'll maintain our discipline and not push things, that's absolutely vital. Who knows what tomorrow could bring..?!

Confirmation of results with sps:

Wednesday:

Red Perfection, PU/14, 25/1
Young Buddy, 6th/9, 17/2

Thursday:

Form And Beauty, 4th/8, 6/1
Fortification, 4th/16, 13/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Tuesday 16 November 2010

Forgettable day

A fairly quiet Tuesday with just two selections, good value with one of them, but neither doing the business. It's been a frustrating couple of days since since Sunday and we look forward to getting back in front again soon.

Both picks were at Fakenham, the first in the 1.30. We had Shouldntbethere (1pt), at 13/2. Still searching for his first win over fences for Jo Davis, he'd unseaten and fallen on his previous two attempts. At least today he got around, but sadly he could only come third of the three to finish.

A couple of hours later, at 3.30, we had Chalice Welcome, advised at 8/1. Dropped back in trip, there was lots of confidence about, opening on course at 5/1 before supported further into an SP of 9/2. He ran a funny race, coming off and on the bridle and at one stage, not far from home, looked to be moving nicely into contention. But in the end he couldn't go with the front three when the pace quickened and he could only finish fourth.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Shouldntbethere, 3rd/7, 15/2
Chalice Welcome, 4th/8, 9/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk

Monday 15 November 2010

Small margins

Well we were of course looking to follow up a good day yesterday, but it didn't happen. The closest we came was our 2pt selection finishing second, not beaten far, but otherwise it was a poor set of performances and we'll be looking for better tomorrow.

We started in the 12.50 with Call It On (2pt), in the 12.50 at Leicester, at 6/1. Going off 4/1 for James Reveley, he ran a decent race, running prominently much of the way but was beaten off by the favourite (which incidentally drifted hugely on course). He stayed on again to finish second, beaten just 1 1/2 lengths, but was never really going to get there.

That was the best performance of our five picks.

Next up we had Shrewd Invester (1pt) in the 1.20 at Leicester, which we advised at 8s and went off at 7/1. Losing his footing in the race at one stage didn't help, but he was beaten a long way in fourth.

Then in the 2.30 at Plumpton we had Amble Forge (1pt), at 7/1. Starting at 15/2, he ran a stinker beaten a long way.

Up next was our biggest priced pick of the day, Monash Lad (1pt), at 12/1, in the 3.00 at Plumpton. Again a slight drift saw the selection go off at 14/1, and he was never in it.

Finally it was Kielder Rise(1pt) in the 3.50 at Leicester and we certainly hoping for at least a better performance than the previous three. Not to be though, first there was a drift from our 5/1 to 9/1 at SP and then Evan Williams' mare put in probably the worst display of the day, finishing hopelessly detached.

Strange to think that despite the majority of selections running really poorly today, if we'd gone one better in the first we'd have been looking at an 8pt profit for the day. It's on small margins these things are decided, and hopefully things will fall the right side for us tomorrow.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Call It On, 2nd/9, 4/1
Shrewd Invester, 4th/7, 7/1
Amble Forge, 8th/9, 15/2
Monash Lad, 5th/6, 14/2
Kielder Rise, 8th/8, 9/1

***Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Sunday 14 November 2010

Bouncing back

A cracking day with 20pts of profit thanks to two winners from our four selections.

The Market Examiner team were at Cheltenham today and it was a great 15 minutes watching two winners go in back to back in a Totesport betting shop, including a 2pt winner at 9/1, which went off at 5s. At that stage it was looking like it could be an exceptional day, with two more selections left to run, but sadly we couldn't follow up, although the next two both ran pretty well too.

It started in the 2.00 at Fontwell, where we had Warne's Way (1pt) at 5/1. Returning to hurdles after three flat outings, he was very well supported and went off 7/2 favourite. Liam Treadwell gave him a peach of a ride, as he looked up against it after the last, but rallied brilliantly to win by a neck.

It wasn't long to wait before the next of ours, the 2.10 at Market Rasen, where we had Ursis (2pt) at 9/1. Going back to the scene of his last win, he opened at 15/2 before being backed into 5/1. The support was absolutely justified as he absolutely hosed up by nine lengths to give us an 18pt return.

23pts to the good then, we looked forward to the 2.45 at Market Rasen with expectation of another big ride with another selection extremely well backed. Pennek (2pt) was an 8/1 pick, and opened on course at 6/1 before being supported further into 4/1 at the off. James Reveley had him in the lead for a good while, and he was going very well before suddenly hitting a flat spot, and fading. He traded as low as 1.77 in running, but in the end could only finish third. Still, excellent value had and we looked forward to the next and final pick for the day.

Sybarite (1pt) was a 6/1 choice for us, but actually went off at at 8s in the 3.30 at Cheltenham. It was the gelding's first try over hurdles for Nigel Twiston-Davies and he ran a cracker, briefly leading a couple of furlongs out after being prominent throughout. A poor jump two out didn't help though, and he ended up staying on well into second behind the impressive Champion Court.

So a really good day all told, 20pts up and things pulled back really strongly for November. Hopefully we can keep things moving forward this week.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Warne's Way, 1st/9, 7/2
Ursis, 1st/6, 5/1
Pennek, 3rd/5, 4/1
Sybarite, 2nd/8, 8/1

Saturday was altogether less eventful. Just the one pick, Jeringa (2pt) at 6/1, in the 1.45 at Wetherby. Nicely backed, he went off at 9/2 and went on to run well for a while, before fading abruptly and pulling up. Not sure something went amiss, but all the same, two points lost on the day.

Confirmation of result with sp:

Jeringa, PU/5, 9/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Saturday 13 November 2010

Frustrating Friday

A good day of racing yesterday then, but sadly five points lost after a couple of decent performances and an unseated rider.

First up we had the spirited campaigner Knowhere in the opener at Cheltenham (1.15), the amateur riders' contest, at 15/2 for 1pt.

He put in a decent performance, was close up throughout, but hit a flat spot two or three furlongs from home. He stayed on again after going over the last but was never getting there, and finished third, two and a half lengths behind the winner, Rustarix.

Then came the only 2pt pick of the day, Pamak D'Airy, at 5/1 in the 2.15 at Newcastle. He was dropping back in trip and clearly plenty was expected as the 7yo continued to shorten into 7/2 at the off. We'll never know if the money was right though as Robert Walford couldn't stay on after the horse made a mistake at the second.

Up next was Sizing Australia (1pt) in the Cross Country race, at 3.00 at Cheltenham. A 6/1 shot for us, he ran a decent race over the marathon trip, bang there for most of the contest before a poor jump just seemed to knock his rhythm a little and he ended up finishing third, beaten just over four lengths.

Finally, then came Brave Spartacus (1pt) in the bumper at Newcastle, the 3.55. There was a bit of a drift for this one from the 10/1 we advised at, and in truth he was never really in the race, looking a bit tapped for toe early on. However he really did stay on quite strongly at the end to finish fifth, and might just be one to keep an eye on. Clearly there was confidence about for him, and he did put in a reasonable display.

Confirmation of results with sps;

Knowhere, 3rd/12, 15/2
Pamak D'Airy, UR/7, 7/2
Sizing Australia, 3rd/10, 6/1
Brave Spartacus, 5th/15, 14/1

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Thursday 11 November 2010

No return on a quiet day

Well after yesterday's one winner from one selection, today it was no winner from one selection.

We had Time To Think as an 11/2 shot in the 1.10 at Taunton. Extremely well backed this morning, it was her first run for Seamus Mullins, and obviously decent things were expected.

She actually ran a pretty good race. Prominent for most of the contest, she was bang there two out, although was being asked to pick up. She ended up being just run out of things when others were able to quicken, in a pretty messy finish. She wasn't beaten far though, just over five lengths or so, and might be one to look out for in the future.

It's been a quiet couple of days for selections, with just two in the last two days. We will never put up picks for the sake of it though, as half the battle with watching the markets is knowing which moves to take note of, and follow, and which to ignore. There'll be days ahead when we have no selections, and there'll be some days when we have six or seven, or even more, like on Tuesday.

Some great racing coming up, including Cheltenham's Open meeting getting underway tomorrow of course. Hopefully some nice touches will be landed here or there, and we'll be celebrating too.

Confirmation of today's result with SP.

Time To Think, 6th/15, 6/1


***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Wednesday 10 November 2010

One bet one winner

Well that's the way to do it! One selection this morning, and an incredibly easy winner, great stuff.

It was a clear cut selection, a very well backed runner for Alan King, in a 2m handicap hurdle. Dona was a 5/1 pick for us in the 2.20 at Huntingdon.

Going off at 9/2, Wayne Hutchinson held the 6yo up early on before smoothly moving into contention. He took the lead two out, and after that point the result was never in doubt, coasting into a big advantage approaching the last and running on well to win in a canter. If only it could always be that easy!

Hopefully things will continue to push on tomorrow.

It wasn't just the winner which made the Market Examiner team happy today, we are now officially being featured on the respected proofing website - http://www.racingproofing.com/ - and are showing prominently already in the tipster leagues. We thought it vital to have a proofing service monitor our results without being able to place the selections on this blog prior to racing as was previously the case, and are delighted to be proofing selections there.

Confirmation of result with sp:

Dona, 1st/10, 9/2

***

Join the service for as little as £13.33 a month - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

Tuesday 9 November 2010

Missing the jackpot

Well today could have been a cracker, six selections and some really strong moves about. Sadly things didn't quite turn out to plan, staking was annoyingly a bit off and we ended up three points down on the day after one winner.

It started in the 1.10 at Lingfield, a novices hurdle race, we had Golbelini as a 2pt win at 14/1. This was a shocker, drifting out massively pre-race to an SP of 25s she then ran an absolute stinker to be tailed off last. Not our finest hour.

There wasn't much time to dwell on that as the 1.40 at Lingfield came soon afterwards, where we had another 2pt selection - Delgany Gunner, at 9/1. Running off a feather weight in his first novices handicap, he was absolutely hammered into all the way to the off, starting as a co-favourite at 4/1. At this point things looked good, but unfortunately the selection had other ideas (or just wasn't good enough) racing prominently he faded from about four out to be well beaten. Fingers burnt with that one, but we'll take 9/1 about 4/1 shots every day of the week.

Then came the winner. A 1pt selection, we put up Tyrone House in the 2.00 at Sedgefield. Again we had good value here, backing at 5/1, he went off at 3/1 and then put in a cracking display, winning well despite the odd sloppy jump.

At 3.30 we had Clearly Now at Sedgefield, another 1pt selection, at 8/1. Another good choice value wise as he went off at 11/2. No returns though as the 12yo eventually finished PU.

It was another 2pt selection at 3.40 - Mister Matt at Lingfield, at 6/1. Infuriatingly our second 2pt runner which drifted pre-race, he started at 12s and ran a stinker.

So it was on to our final pick, in the 4.00 at Sedgefield. Scrum V was advised at 10/1, at 1pt, and started at 8/1. He ran a decent race, but had no chance with the very impressive winner Emirate Isle, and picked up second place after plugging on well at the end.

So three 2pt selections very well beaten - and of the three 1pt selections, a winner and a second. Not really what we were looking for, and it all ended in a 3pt loss for the day. At least with best odds guaranteed we would have picked up an inflated return had one or two of the drifters had done the business.

Plenty more racing tomorrow, and some interesting types running. We'll be back studying things tomorrow morning when the first odds are priced up.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Golbelini, 13th/13, 25/1
Delgany Gunner, 4th/6, 4/1
Tyrone House, 1st/9, 3/1
Clearly Now, PU/10, 11/2
Mister Matt, 7th/9, 12/1
Scrum V, 2nd/11, 8/1

Monday 8 November 2010

Poor start to the week

A poor start to the week, with three selections put up, and only one getting placed.

First up we had Aboukir Bay in the 12.40 at Southwell where the race was run in torrential rain. Put up as a 12/1 shot, John Cornwall's six year old went off the same price and while he led early on, he didn't jump fluently and ended up pulling up.

Then it was the turn of our best run of the day, Si Bien in the 1.20 at Carlisle. Very nicely backed, we made him a 5/1 selection (11/2 Boylesports) this morning, and he continued to be supported into 7/2 at the off. He looked to have every chance approaching the last, hitting about 6/4 in running but then just tired a little in the closing stages to be picked off for third, beaten just over a couple of lengths.

So it was then all eyes on Master Sebastian in the 3.30 at Carlisle to see if he could push us into profit for the day. A 5/1 selection for us, he actually went off at 11/2 and while it appeared the ground/course and trip should have suited, the 11y.o ran no race and was very well beaten.

Since the beginning of November, we are 14.5pts down, obviously not the start we would have wanted, but it won't take much to turn things around.

Confirmation of today's results with sps:

Aboukir Bay, PU/6, 12/1
Si Bien, 3rd/9, 7/2
Master Sebastian, 5th/8, 11/2

Sunday 7 November 2010

Profitable weekend

We had five selections over the weekend, three of them at 12/1 or more and managed a small profit. Overall, a good set of runs, and generally we got decent value so reasons to be pleased heading into the new week.

The first of three runners on Saturday was Captain Americo in the 2.05 at Kelso, at 11/2. It was the eight year old's first attempt over so far, a three mile three furlong handicap hurdle, but he absolutely loved it, hacking up incredibly easily.

A great start to the day, and the 2.10 began as that race reached a conclusion. We advised Paul Nicholls' Tito Bustillo at 6/1. Drifting a tad to 13/2 at the off, he ran a good race, trading at about 6/4 at one point, before being left behind by the really impressive winner Nearby to finish second.

In the 2.40 at Kelso, an interesting class two handicap, we had Gringo, a 14/1 selection in the morning. He was well backed right up to the off, with a 7/1 SP in the end, and ran a decent race but was never really close enough to the principles to get in with a shout of winning, beaten five lengths in the end by another impressive victor, Noble Alan.

A 3 1/2 point profit yesterday in the end then, and today a couple of big priced selections at Hereford.

First up, at 12/1 we had Jug Of Punch in the 1.30. An interesting runner, seemingly well handicapped on the best of his old form he was clearly expected to run well, going off at 17/2 in the end. He was being scrubbed along early and was out the back for the most part, before staying on quite well at the finish to not actually be beaten that far in the end. Over further he could perhaps be interesting.

We had another well backed sort in the 3.40 - Kilbready Star. Advised at 14/1 he went off at 8/1 in the end. He was seeming to run a good race before clattering the fifth fence, and then coming down at the next. One which got away perhaps, but obviously we'll never know.

So all in all a 1 1/2 point profit for the weekend, and we look forward to hopefully pushing on this week.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Saturday:

Captain Americo, 1st/11, 11/2
Tito Bustillo, 2nd/10, 13/2
Gringo, 2nd/5, 7/1

Sunday:

Jug Of Punch, 6th/12, 17/2
Kilbready Star, F/12, 8/1

Friday 5 November 2010

It'll come

Still waiting for that first winner of the week, it's been a frustrating few days and today no different, with our final selection falling at the last fence when upsides and still with every chance.

First of all, in the 1.20 at Fontwell, we put up Admirable Duque, at 8/1 (9/1 Stan James), who ran a reasonable race for a while before fading out of things to come fourth. At least the value was just about had as the selection went off at 7s.

Then it was the turn of our biggest priced selection of the week, My Rosie Ribbons, at 20/1. An 11yo mare she was still searching for her first racecourse win before today, and was backed into 14/1 at one point before drifting out again to 20s at SP. She ran a decent race for a long time, trading at around 3/1 in running at one point, before not having the best of jumps four out which seemed to knock the stuffing out of her a little and she began to fade, giving us another fourth place finish.

Finally, at 5/1, we had Gavrouch Gaugain in the 4.10 at Hexham. This one drifted before the off for Ferdy Murphy but ran a cracker. He moved very stylishly for a good portion of the race and traded as low as 1.54 in running. It was heavy going for the runners, and they were getting tired, Gavrouch Gaugain not the exception, but he was staying on again and challenging for the lead when he came down at the last fence. Our feeling is he would have been there or thereabouts at the finish if he'd got over safely, but that's racing, and we look forward to tomorrow.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Admirable Duque, 4th/12, 7/1
Miss Rosie Ribbons, 4th/11, 20/1
Gavrouch Gaugain, F/10, 7/1

Thursday 4 November 2010

Getting closer

Well that one hurt, a really tough defeat in the opener at Towcester today, set us on our way to a two point loss today. The first selection this week to really put in a good display though, and a nice price contraction too, so things beginning to click into gear.

We put Risaala up as an 8/1 selection (9/1 Stan James) in the 1.10 at Towcester. It was her first try over hurdles, and she was returning to the course she won at in a bumper this time last year. Well supported, she continued to be backed before starting at 13/2.

Always going well, she moved into the lead about three out, really travelling smoothly while all the others were being shoved along. She eased into a good lead, before clattering the second last really hard, which stopped her in her tracks for a moment, although she moved well again soon afterwards. Line Freedom for Andrew Tinkler wasn't giving up though, and got within a couple of lengths going into the last flight and stayed on past the selection near the line.

She traded at 1.04 in running, and we reckon possibly an unlucky loser. A good jump at the second last would probably have got her home, but I suppose we'll never know.

There was just the one other selection today, Laredo Sound in the 2.40 at Haydock, at 13/2. He was being tried back over the minimum trip over hurdles for the first time for a while, and it appeared plenty was expected. It wasn't to be though, up there for a good while, unfortunately he faded out of things quickly when push came to shove.

Could have been a cracking day, but as it is, two points lost. It's not been a great start to November but things can turn very quickly, hopefully starting tomorrow!

Confirmation of results with SPs.

Risaala, 2nd/15, 13/2
Laredo Sound, 9th/10, 11/2

Wednesday 3 November 2010

Chepstow not so charming

A bleak day weather wise in Chepstow for our two selections today and the performances of both were similar.

In the 1.35, we put Chilla Cilla up at 5/1 as a 1pt selection, on his second run for Anthony Honeyball. Still searching for her first career win she was being nicely supported, but things didn't work out in terms of price and result. Going off at 7/1 she was up there for a while, but dropped away tamely and was very well beaten.

At 2.45, we had Glebehall Bay as an 8/1 shot, trying to win at his first attempt over fences. He was always off the pace, but did stay on to grab fifth in the end as the fog and drizzle descended, but well behind the winner.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Chilla Cilla, 13th/14, 7/1
Glebehall Bay, 5th/11, 8/1

Tuesday 2 November 2010

Slow Start

Very much a non-descript day, with just the one selection which ran poorly, and drifted, so not good at all.

Boomtown Kat was put up as a 9/1 pick in the 4.05 at Exeter, a two mile 7 furlong handicap hurdle. Karen George's six year old was trying the longer distance for the first time, but it didn't work out. He was in contention for much of the race, but began to struggle around three furlongs from home and fell right away to come tenth. The drift pre-race wasn't a good sign, and so it proved.

Confirmation of result with sp:

Boomtown Kat, 10th/14, 14/1

Monday 1 November 2010

Up and running

It was great to finally send our first selections out after the two month break. It seems to have been an age since the end of August, and it was a lovely feeling to get going again.

What wasn't so great was the fact we ended the day five points down.

First, Double Banded was a 1pt selection at 8/1 in the opener at Plumpton, a two mile maiden hurdle. Jim Best's gelding, having his first run for the stable, hadn't actually been on a racecourse for more than a year. He put in a decent showing for a good part of the race, racing prominently and travelling well for the most part. But something looked to go amiss just as things began to get serious and he was quickly pulled up.

In the 1.55 at Plumpton, also a two mile hurdle, but this time a handicap, Baby Car was a 2pt pick at 11/2, but didn't really ever look like getting into things, finishing halfway down the field after drifing to 8/1 before post time.

Then it was on to our third and final selection, in the 2.05 at Kempton, a novices handicap over 2m4f. Alteranthela was another 2pt selection, at 5/1 after being heavily backed this morning. Up with the pace for a good part of the race, he faded in the closing stages to be a well beaten fourth.

Not a great first day by any means, but we look forward to tomorrow for better.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Double Banded, PU/12, 8/1
Baby Car, 6th/10, 8/1
Alteranthela, 4th/7, 5/1

Sunday 31 October 2010

One day to go!

Well then, it's almost here. This time tomorrow we'll be examining the betting markets looking for our first selections for the first official day within the subscription era of www.themarketexaminer.co.uk!

If you are still undecided about joining in why not give it a go for a month and see what you think. Obviously we can't guarantee a profit in four weeks time, but with nine out of ten profitable months of this year we are quietly confident of starting strongly. Selections will be sent out at around 11.00 each morning via a daily email, it shouldn't take longer than around five or ten minutes a day to be involved.

We will be updating results regularly on this blog, and on the main website as well, so if you don't want to join just now, just keep checking in and see how things are getting on. Hopefully we can prove that we'll have a service that's worth being a part of.

Before it all starts tomorrow though, let's have our last look back at 2010. Today, as promised earlier in the week, we'll look at a couple of selections which drifted markedly before post time, but still managed to land the odds. Clearly our idea is to lock in value and beat SP with each and every selection, but that isn't always possible. While it's never a good sign to see a selection drift, the drifters do sometimes win, and with best odds guaranteed in play with nearly all bookies these days then it can just make a day even more profitable.

Here are a couple of examples.

1) Date: 11th May; Track: Warwick; Selection: Step It Up

James Boyle's sprinter Step It Up headed to Warwick back in May and was looking for his first win over the minimum trip on turf since the August of the previous year.

Over a few attempts on the all-weather, he was given seemingly a tough task on softish ground over six furlongs at Folkestone in April before the day in question, over ground a bit quicker.

Nicely backed in the morning, we put him up as a 1pt win single at a best price of 9/1. By the time on course market opened however, he was 14/1, and eventually started at 16/1 with the bookies, and a massive 25.19 on Betfair.

Not a good sign by the looks of it, but the six year old of course knew little of the lack of late confidence, and he was definitely trying. Held up at the back, he started to make ground over half way through, and took the lead in the final furlong to eventually win by a head. The 1/2 favourite Lost In Paris, looking to win under a penalty after a ridiculously easy victory a week before, could only finish third.

A result which looked unlikely given the drift had come in, and with best odds guaranteed in play we had a further 7pts in the bank we wouldn't otherwise have had.

Step It Up hasn't been placed since, in eight attempts.

2) Date: 3rd July; Track: Leicester; Selection: Thalia Grace

Similar to Step It Up, Thalia Grace was running in a sprint handicap, this time just short of six furlongs, at Leicester.

However, while Step It Up was a hardened handicap campaigner, this was Thalia Grace's first venture into such company. Off a mark of 54, she was nicely backed in the morning and we made her a selection at 8/1.

The drift began at around noon, and by the time the market opened on course for the opening race of the day, Thalia Grace was a 14/1 shot.

By the time the race began she was out to 16/1, after hitting 18s briefly. On the exchanges she went off at 22.01.

Always prominent, she was right up there with the leaders until she struck the front just over a furlong from home and was hard driven to stay there. And stay there she did, really finishing strongly to win by 1 1/2 lengths and having them nicely stretched out behind for Kirsty Milczarek.

It may have been Coral Eclipse day but this was the highlight for us, a cracking result and giving July the perfect start with a 16pt profit, double of that we were hoping for in the morning.

So just a couple of examples of why morning money can count for a lot even despite a drift late on.

If you would like to join the service before we get going tomorrow please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Saturday 30 October 2010

Two days to go!

We're all set for Monday's official launch of http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/. But there's still time to join up before the big day!

We continue the build up with another look back piece on 2010's results - and it's a straight forward one. Return on investment.

ROI clearly is a cracking way of seeing how services compare - for those not sure of the term, it basically means how much is wagered to get the overall return.

There's a simple formula to find this - overall profit divided by total staked.

In 2010 for us this equates to 162.85pts (profit) divided by 728 points (staked).

This means our ROI for this year so far is 22.37% - as most professional punters are aiming to get to anything above 10% that's a pretty decent figure in anyone's book!

If you would like to join the service before we get going on Monday you'd be very welcome. Please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Friday 29 October 2010

Three days to go!

There is still time to join the service at www.themarketexaminer.co.uk before we get going but the days are running out! A real feeling of excitement here that this weekend will be the last for quite some time without selections being found.

For the last week or so we have been building up to the launch with a look back at notable days/events/results of 2010, and today we continue with a little look at in-running prices.

We were keen to see whether the morning advised price would more often that not hit that mark or bigger in running on the way to a winning race.

Well, interestingly, and despite the obvious fluctuations in in-running prices, the answer is - yes - but not often enough for it to be a winning strategy to follow for those who can't get on at the morning prices.

We have seen 93 winners in all this year - and the number of selections which hit the morning price in running or bigger - was 69. That's 74.1% of winning picks.

Sometimes, as we've looked at this week, the in-running prices have been much bigger before going on to a win, but obviously most of the time a big in-running price leads to defeat.

Finding the best odds with the bookies in the morning, preferably with best odds guaranteed in play, is the best way to play our selections. That obviously isn't really surprising as we are searching for horses likely to shorten further before post time.

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Thursday 28 October 2010

Four days to go

November 1st is drawing ever closer, as we look forward to the official subscription launch of http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/.

We continue the build up with another look back at a notable event of 2010. As we mentioned the other day, we have never and never will try to claim that winning comes easily. With a win strike rate of around 17%, amidst average odds of around 7/1, losing spells have and will come along.

Yesterday we noted three of our biggest, successful movers of 2010. Today we look back at three of the biggest movers which made it as selections, only to not return the cash.

1) Date: 4th February; Track: Towcester; Selection: Nous Voila

When Alan Coogan's gelding Nous Voila turned up at Towcester back in February in a handicap hurdle, he was searching for his first win in more than four years. However this was a horse that was once rated at 133, now racing off 87, and it appeared that today was meant to be the day.

Put up as a selection at 10/1, he opened on course at 8/1 before being backed right down to 5/1 for the start of the race.

Things didn't go smoothly from this point onwards however. He didn't jump particularly smoothly, and even stumbled quite badly over one of the flights early on. Racing prominently, he was being shoved along to stay in contention and by the time the race neared the end he dropped tamely away to be extremely well beaten back in fifth place (the last of those to make it around.).

Fingers were burnt on that occassion, although it was interesting to see him win officially by a distance next time out - when he wasn't a selection for us - at an SP of 5/1.

2) Date: 10th April; Track: Chepstow; Selection: Stripe Me Blue

Stripe Me Blue was our only selection on Grand National Day this year. A 2pt win bet on at 5/1, he opened on course for his handicap hurdle at 7/2. It was his first time dropped back in distance a little for some time (Dec 2008) and he was being strongly fancied to make it a third career win.

Backed into favouritism at 15/8, he was set off in the lead and stayed there until there were two flights left to jump. Short of room a little, he was still in contention before failing to find much in the closing stages to finish in third place, beaten around three lengths.

Next time out, he slipped up at Sandown when going off an unfancied 16/1 shot and hasn't run since.

3) Date: 15th July; Track: Hamilton; Selection: Royal Holiday

We move to the summer for our third and final notable loser. Royal Holiday was racing over a mile at Hamilton and was looking for his first win as a three year old. His handicap mark had been tumbling since winning on the sand at Southwell in the August the year before and with Dale Swift taking off a further seven pounds, it appeared today was meant to be his day.

We put the gelding up as a selection at 10/1 in the morning, and by the time the market opened on course he was 13/2. At post time he had supported further, into 9/2.

In the race itself though he never showed a thing, racing in mid division before being ridden a couple of furlongs out, fading away to finish a very well beaten 9th/10.

Four races later, back at Southwell (his first race back there), he won at 16/1.

All these selections could obviously have been traded off for a profit given the price moves. Over time we have found backing at win-only is the way to go though - it just pays to take the rough with the smooth - and these days it was definitely the turn of the rough!

Fortunately of course over time getting this sort of value in our selections does return good profits so if you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now.

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Wednesday 27 October 2010

Five days to go

Getting really very close now to the official launch of the service from http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/! It all kicks off from next Monday, November 1st, and there is still time to join in if you would like to.

We continue our look back at notable days/results/goings on from 2010 today, with three of the biggest market moves which landed. There have obviously been quite a few of these this year, but these are some of the key ones.

1) Date: 19th March; Track: Fakenham; Selection: Bromhead.

Bromhead, a four year old hurdler, headed to Fakenham for a selling handicap hurdle, looking for his first win since landing a maiden on the all weather at Lingfield in January the previous year. He had been given a mark of 84 and was having his first crack at a handicap, and only his second race since joining Kevin Morgan.

Clearly there was a good deal of confidence behind this move into handicap company, as he was the subject of a good move in the morning, and was put up as a 2pt selection at 9/1.

Bromhead opened on track at 7/1 and that's when the money really came. Backed as if losing was out of the question, he shortened right down to 10/3 before post time.

The race itself was a straight forward affair. Racing a good deal of the race in midfield, he was always in touch with James Reveley. As things started to get serious, he was in contention and took things up with two flights left to jump. Going up to the last he showed a good turn of foot to power into a large lead and was unchallenged at the last, to win in the end by 15 lengths.

2) Date: 16th April; Track: Newbury; Selection; Klammer

A completely different profile for another notable, successful move now, with Jane Chapple-Hyam's two year old Klammer making his racecourse debut in a reasonably hot looking maiden at Newbury. Only one other horse had seen a track before. The market can obviously be a massive guide in this sort of contest, and on this particular morning in April Klammer was the one for us.

Put up at big prices in the morning, we were on board at 12/1. Support continued to come before the horse made it on course, and he opened on track at 7/1. Still the money came, and in the end he went off the 9/2 co-second favourite of three.

Klammer wasn't the smartest away in this five furlong race, and went notably right. Before long he was being pushed along and was seemingly struggling, backed at 30 in running. But in the closing stages we saw why the money had come all day, as he was switched and powered home, to get up by a head as the line approached.

Unfortunately, one of the other 9/2 shots was withdrawn at the start so the r4 meant that we only got 9/1 for our money. Still, a cracking performance to cap a notable, successful market move.

Klammer returned to Newbury last week to win a Group 3 over 7 furlongs. There was no question the stable knew this was a talented type back in April, and it was nice to be involved.

3) Date: 13th July; Track: Yarmouth; Selection: Yorgunnabelucky

Mark Johnstone's Yorgunnabelucky had actually been a selection the month before, in a race at Ripon. Quite nicely backed that day, the Giant's Causeway colt had drifted a little on track and finished fourth of nine.

At Yarmouth though, less than a month later, the money really came. We were on board when the price hit 11/2 and the selection opened on track at 4/1. Still the cash poured on and he ended up starting at 5/2 second favourite.

The selection was pushed into the lead early on for this ten furlong contest, and was rousted along to stay there. When he was joined a furlong from home it looked like he may have been in some trouble, but then he kicked on again to be well in command by the finish by two and a half lengths.

A selection which more than halved in price, and then did the business in good style.

All in all, three highlights from this year, although there have been many more similar. We're really looking forward to unearthing plenty more in the months ahead.

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Tuesday 26 October 2010

Six days to go

We're getting closer to the start of the full service to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk.

We now go back to April as we continue our look back at some notable successes/results from 2010 already in the bag.

Today, the winner which hit the highest in-running price.

Emma Lavelle's good quality chaser Ouzbeck was the selection in a class two handicap at Cheltenham on April 14th.

The horse had appeared to lose his way a little, running unplaced in his last seven outings including over hurdles the last twice before this particular day. A solid mover in the morning, we backed him at 7/1, before watching as he drifted on track to go off 17/2. Not a great start, and when the race began he seemed to be really struggling to get to grips back over the big obstacles.

Not fluent at his fences, he was seemingly far too keen, and before too long was being scrubbed along. This cause the in-running layers to really get stuck in, and before you knew he was trading at 200.

This was a 3m 1f race though (his first try over such a lengthy distance) and there was still time for him to get back in the race. And get back in the race he did, on the last circuit he started to force his way into contention so much so that with around five fences left he was beginning to look a danger. Over the last, he took the lead and was driven out to win by 3/4 length.

A result which looked all but impossible minutes before had been chalked up, and with best odds guaranteed in play the returns were better than expected too.

Ouzbeck would go on to prove his staying credentials again later in the summer when landing the Summer National at Uttoxeter.

A day when the morning money was spot on, coupled with a horse who didn't know he was beaten, great stuff!

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Monday 25 October 2010

Seven days to go

Well this time next week we will be studying the markets ready to make our first selections! There is still time to join in at www.themarketexaminer.co.uk.

You may have seen that over the last few days we are building up to this by having a look back at notable events/days/results of 2010.

Today we'll just take a quick look at the amount of locked in value that we have seen over the course of the year. Basically, while we have had selections which drift on course to a bigger price than we backed - and gone onto win, the idea really is to get the value bets day in-day out, by trying to back at a price bigger than SP.

We all know just how accurate the SP market is for assessing the chances of any given runner, so if are able to get, most of the time, a bigger price than SP, then it should (and indeed does) follow that profits will inevitably follow. Not all the time, of course, but over a duration of time, the edge gained grinds out a good profit.

Anyway this year - we have advised, and backed at an average of 6.934/1.
Those horses have then gone off at an average of 6.335/1.

This may not seem a massive difference, but over the course of time, race in, race out, certainly good enough. It also a bit skewed by the odd selection or two which drift dramatically to a much bigger price. And of course morning money is often some of the shrewdist about, so a horse which has been backed in the morning and then drifts late on for some reason will very often run a fine race regardless. Later in the week we'll look back at one or two of these drfiters, focussing on those which have given the exchange layers a bit of a hard time!

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Sunday 24 October 2010

Eight days to go

A week tomorrow the service at http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/ will be officially launched with the first day of selections! We can't wait.

We continue our look back at notable days and results from 2010 today with a look back at our biggest priced advised winner of the year so far.

Spiritonthemount had had 25 runs before he headed to Bath on the day of 17th May, without success. The month before he'd been tried twice over hurdles without success, and had previously spent the year and a half before that racing over the all weather.

So when declared in this class six handicap at Bath, it was his first attempt on the level on turf since October 2008 (when he'd been tried over the same distance (2m1fur), and the same track as this particular day - only to come 7th of 8).

Priced up accordingly, Spiritonthemount was seen as a rank outsider, despite just the seven runners, but the support came early and we picked up on this being a live contender. Advised at 16/1, he would go on to be nicely backed into 10/1 by the time of the race.

William Carson kept him up with the pace for the first part of the contest but was under pressure early on. The in-running layers soon got stuck in and he appeared to be floundering at a high of 95 on Betfair. Going round the final bend he was put out wide and still under some pressure. But suddenly, a couple of furlongs out he began to pick up and stoutly stayed on in the closing stages to get up with about 100yards left of the race to record a brilliant victory.

A terrific, battling, game performance. On form alone it would have been very difficult to pick Spiritonthemount, but the money said a good deal and we were able to get a price which locked in the value. Then the horse did his job and the money was landed. The result really summed up how the market can be such an astute guide to a horse's chances, as long as you know what to look for.

In ten races since, Spiritonthemount hasn't won again, although last week came third in a maiden hurdle race at Worcester, hopefully he'll win again soon!

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Saturday 23 October 2010

Nine days to go

We continue the build up to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk launching on November 1st with another look back at the year so far.

Today we look back at what was probably the most frustrating day of the year. Let's call it Saturday Seconds.

It was April 17th, and it was a busy day, with seven selections picked, a couple of them "double stakers" - the original term for 2pt win selections.

It started at Ayr when 9/2 shot Ascendent went off a nibbled into 4/1 but could only finish fourth.

Up next, Manifest was the pick in the 2.00 at Newbury, in the John Porter stakes. 15 went to post and our selection was backed at 11/2 in the morning. By off time he was a 9/2 shot, and went on to run a decent race but ran into one of the best horses of the year, Harbinger, who of course would go on to greater things including that incredible King George win.

Wvooka next up at Thirsk who didn't do a lot, but then it was the turn of Gloucester, back at Ayr for the Scottish Champion Hurdle. A 6/1 shot, he was travelling really nicely about three furlongs out and even reached 1.32 in running, but just couldn't pick up as expected and Overturn beat him into second.

We then moved on to our first 2pt win selection of the day. Nom de Guerre in the 3.45 at Bangor, who again ran a good race after being backed at 13/2, pushing the eventual winner two out before flattening out to finish second - the third of the day.

On to Doncaster and the 5.10, and the second 2pt selection. This was an unraced two year old maiden of Tom Dascombe's, Malpas Missile. Backd at 9/2 the market went on a crazy and unexpected drift and the horse went off at 12/1. Almost a fantastic return with best odds guaranteed in play, as he had every chance going into the final furlong, before finding very little. Yet another second.

A little wait until the 7.25 at Donaster, and Lady Artemisa. Backed at 4/1 she went off at 7/2 and ran a solid if unspectular race - to finish - you guessed it - second.

Each way muiltiples would no doubt have seen a reasonable return, but for us win only backers it was just a long hard day of what might have beens. Five second place finishes out of seven - at average odds of more than 5/1. Not a good day!

Will return to happier times with the next look back tomorrow!

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Friday 22 October 2010

Ten days to go

We are building up to the official launch of http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/ with a look back at the year so far and picking out a few notable events.

We're not and will never be in the market of just pretending the pursuit of winning is one long walk in the park, so today we will look at the longest run of the year without a winner.

June this year was the month to forget, a horrible spell of poor performances and unlucky losers. The month had began pretty poorly, with 17 points lost before we had got even as far as June 10th. On the 9th, things had looked to be turning around with one winner, and a second place from the three selections.

But from June 10th, to halfway through June 17th, 23 selections were found and not a single one came in. Four of them finished second, with one trading at odds of approaching 1/2 in running, but that was the closest we came. To make matters worse, seven of these picks were 2pt wins, so it all resulted in a 30pt downswing.

Amethyst Dawn won at 8/1 to cheer the spirits a little on that June 17th and then Ralleigh Quay won at 7/1 the day later. But the damage for June was done and we could never recover, to leave us with the only losing month of the year.

A good reminder, though of the importance of a solid and resilient staking plan. It's why we recommend a 100pt bank, or even a 200pt bank if you really do want a relaxed ride.

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Thursday 21 October 2010

Eleven days to go

So November 1st is drawing ever nearer!

To celebrate this, over the next few days, until launch date, each day we'll put up a stat or two, a notable result or something which (we think!) is interesting to do with http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/ and the results so far this year.

We'll start with a nice positive one, the biggest single return of the year so far.

It was a 2pt win at 12/1 on Beauchamp Viking, which ran in a handicap chase just over the minimum trip on the the evening of May 18th.

This was his 15th career race, and the 6 year old was still trying to get off the mark. He'd shown signs of improvement in a couple of races in the month before, though finished out of the frame on both occasions.

Today though the money was down in no uncertain terms, with the Simon Burrough trained gelding nicely backed all day to go off at 13/2.

He was held up at the back for the first part of the race, and reached a high of 30 in running before gradually working into things. Three out he was in the mix and went second with two flights left. Over the last he went into the lead, taking over from McCoy's mount, the even money favourite, Lord Gunnarslake. Though Beauchamp Viking wandered a bit, he was always in command and stayed on, driven out, to win by four lengths and secure a very nice win.

Since that particular day, he's raced three times since and not won again yet, but could well be one to look out for again when the money is down.

This selection hasn't been the biggest priced winner of the year so far, but by virtue of the 2pt win stake rather than the more typical 1pt win, the return was the biggest. It capped an excellent day actually, as his success was the third win from seven selections in all, very nice!

If you would like to join the service before we get going on November 1st please go to www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-now

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

Wednesday 20 October 2010

Twelve days to go

In twelve days time, www.themarketexaminer.co.uk will be officially launched with selections.

It seems to have been an age since August 31st but with all this variable ground we've been having, and the seemingly mediocre results of other services just at the moment, our two month break in service seems to be justified. It has also been good to recharge the batteries a little!

We can't wait to get stuck in on from November 1st, there's still plenty of time to sign up.

All the best,

CD

Tuesday 12 October 2010

Each-way analysis

Good afternoon,

Just to say we have now included each-way returns in our downloadable results section of www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/results.

Basically backing each selection at either 0.5pt e/w (1pt selections), or 1pt e/w (2pt selections) would have returned 84.57pts of profit (using morning prices). These obviously compare unfavourably with the early price win-only returns with bookmakers (162.85pt profit), but still interesting, and could offer a more stable environment for those anxious about inevitable losing runs backing at win only.

We are less than 20 days from the official launch now (November 1st), we can't wait to get stuck into the bookies once more. Subscriptions start from just £13.33 a month.

Thanks

CD (Sam)

Thursday 7 October 2010

Updated results section

Good morning,

This is just to say we have updated with more information the results section on http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/results

You can also download a more detailed breakdown of results, including betfair SPs, in-running prices etc.

Interestingly, despite the service being geared around finding prices which are bigger than what they go off at at SP, returns at Betfair SP deliver a profit of 51.41pts (after 5% deductions).

Just 25 days to go until the service resumes, we can't wait.

Monday 13 September 2010

2010 analysis

Good evening,

Just a quick note to say that over the next few days/weeks we will be putting some detailed analysis here and on on www.themarketexaminer.co.uk of how selections have fared for 2010 so far, paying close attention to morning odds, betfair SP and in-running highs and lows too.

We have been working very hard obtaining all the information, and it's already highlighting some interesting points - so watch this space!

We are very much looking forward to the full resumption of the service from November 1st 2010. While it's nice to have a break, there's nothing like getting those winners chalked up!

Thanks

Tuesday 31 August 2010

End of an era - and the start of a new one

A happy evening after another cracking day, with 16 more points safely wrestled from the bookies satchel. But quite an emotional evening in many ways too, as I have been blogging selections and results on this site now for 18 months. Today was the last day selections will be posted here before racing, but I will continue to assess results on this blog so those who are not subscribers can see how we are getting along come November.

The new service will be proofed to a proofing website - almost certainly www.racingproofing.com .

I have following market moves since 2003 and the results now are as good as they have ever been. Over the course of time, there will always be poor runs, particularly backing at win only at odds averaging around 7/1, but in due course I am absolutely certain that profits will continue to come. For my mind following the market is one of the few successful "systems" in the racing world which cannot be eroded over time.

Joining up with my father as a business partner, we will continue to do all we can to make sure subscribers get the best picks every morning from November. We do think our subscription rates really are very reasonable, starting at just £13.33 a month, and would love to have you on board.

A reminder of the website - http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/

On the blog in the coming weeks we will be displaying various analysis of results, as we try to keep things ticking over while we wait for November.

Thanks for reading,

CD

Four today

So our last email of selections for a couple of months, let's hope we can end with a winner or two.

We'll be sending out a reminder of why we pause for September and October this evening, together with a little bit of what you may be expect from us before we reach November.

In the meantime, good luck to:

Ripon 3.00 Falkland Flyer 12/1 Totesport 11/1 Skybet Boyles 2pt win

Leicester 4.40 Tamasou 6/1 Bet365 and others 1pt win

Newton Abbot 4.55 Lansdowne Princess 10/1 Bet365 2pt win

Ripon 5.05 Desert Hunter 6/1 Bet365 Lads and others 1pt win

Another absolutely superb day, thanks to Lansdowne Princess' gutsy win at Newton Abbot. Connections must have thought she was well treated on her chase rating and indeed she was, to land a sizeable gamble, breaking her maiden tag at the 37th attempt. She was being scrubbed along quite early to keep in touch but then relentlessly stayed on and put in a terrific jump at the last to help get her up by a neck. It left the day 16pts in profit, thanks to the 2pt staked.

The other two pointer, Falkland Flyer, also continued to be nicely backed, but was well beaten.

Things didn't go to plan with Tamasou, who drifted before the off and didnt' do a lot. Desert Hunter finished quite strongly in his race at Ripon, but could only manage third.

It all means the month moves above the 60pt profit mark - a very nice way to sign off as we now pause the service until November.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Falkland Flyer, 8th/8, 15/2

Tamasou, 6th/12, 8/1

Lansdowne Princess, 1st/6, 11/2

Desert Hunter, 3rd/9, 11/2

Monday 30 August 2010

Eight today

An extremely busy day today, with eight selections

Bath 2.40 Regal Bullet 20/1 Bet365 1pt win

Cartmel 2.55 Murphys Beau 11/1 Will Hill 1pt win

Bath 4.25 Mr Money Maker 12/1 Coral 1pt win

Newcastle 4.35 Leitzu 9/2 Ladbrokes 2pt win

Bath 5.00 Aspirational 9/1 Paddy Power (10/1 Betfred) 8/1 generally 2pt win

Ripon 5.20 Dazakhee 5/1 Totesport Skybet (11/2 Sportingbet) 1pt win

Epsom 5.30 King Columbo 5/1 Bet365 Will Hill 2pt win

Newcastle 6.15 Mango Music 6/1 Bet365 1pt win

Well this is a day which could have been spectacularly good, even better than Saturday, but things just slipped away in the end. One 12/1 winner ensured a 3pt profit from the seven selections which ran, but a 25/1 (b.o.g) 2nd - beaten 3/4 length - two other seconds (7/1(b.o.g) and 5/1adv) and another two placed efforts in third. So from the 7 selections, 6 placed at an average price returned (either EP or with best odds guaranteed) of 10/1. So even though a profit's a profit, and the selections ran well, there's a sense of what may have been.

It all started with Regal Bullet, who was nicely backed this morning in the nursery at Bath, from 40s in places, and then ran a cracker, finishing a fast finishing second, winning his race in many ways, but beaten by Ruby Alexander who finished even faster on the rail. The layers got stuck in on betfair after about 11.30, pushing the selection out notably in price so he opened at 40s on track, probably because of the zero form he'd had shown previously. There were enough signs this morning that much better was expected though, and the exchange layers almost got their fingers badly burnt.

Murphys Beau didn't do a lot at Cartmel beaten a distance but plugged on into third. After being backed at 11/1 this morning, he went off a really well backed 7/2, so safe to say more was expected (after four PUs in a row). At least he picked up the place money for those backing each way.


Then came along Mr Money Maker, who broke smartly and was given a really positive ride, to win after leading virtually the whole way. A cracking 12/1 winner, which Coral settled at, despite a few non-runners. At that point the day was always going to be in profit and it was a case of settling down and hopefully seeing one or two more go in.

Leitzu was another to finish third, running a pretty decent race but a fair way behind the front two.

It was Aspirational up next at Bath. This was a funny one, because while he was extremely soundly beaten in the end, he actually was going pretty well a couple of furlongs from home with many looking flat to the boards. Sadly he then hit a wall and just dropped away.

Dazakhee was a non runner. Then came King Columbo at Epsom, another selection beaten less than a length. After being really well backed, he looked a very likely winner for Tom Queally, trading short in running entering the final furlong, but he was sadly reeled in by Mr Harmoosh in the last 100 yards or so. Fair play to the winner, he looked really well beaten a couple of furlongs out but he stayed on really well.


Mango Music was the final pick of the day, and the third second placed finish. He ran well enough, leading about a furlong from home, but he was readily picked off by the winner to go down just over a couple of lengths.

All in all a day of decent performances and a couple of frustrating results, but three point profit is good to keep things ticking over. It's the final day of August tomorrow, and so the final day of selections for a couple of months. Let's hope we can end with another winner or two.

Confirmation of results with sps:

Regal Bullet, 2nd/15, 25/1

Murphys Beau, 3rd/8, 7/2

Mr Money Maker, 1st/12, 8/1

Leitzu, 3rd/10, 5/1

Aspirational, 10th/12, 7/1

Dazakhee, NR

King Columbo, 2nd/7, 10/3

Mango Music, 2nd/13, 7/1

**Free early email selection service at http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk until the end of August.

Sunday 29 August 2010

One today

After a great day yesterday, it would have been lovely to crack into a few more selections today.

But despite a busy morning of activity, and quite a few of interest, we have just one pick.

Yarmouth 4.55 Tiger Star 9/2 Will Hill 4/1 generally 1pt win

Things back to earth a little after the excitement of Saturday, with Tiger Star flopping after being extremely well backed into 2/1 from the morning price of 9/2.

Confirmation of result with sp:

Tiger Star, 6th/7, 2/1

**Free early email selection service at http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk until the end of August.

Saturday 28 August 2010

Six today

A busy day today as we look to start the Bank Holiday weekend with a bang.

Plenty of movement about and these make the grade for us:

Beverley 2.25 Shotley Mac 12/1 Will Hill

Newmarket 3.20 Mon Cadeaux 9/1 generally 1pt win

Cartmel 4.20 Front Rank 11/2 Will Hill and others 2pt win

Goodwood 4.50 Alice Alleyne 8/1 Ladbrokes 2pt win

Windsor 5.10 Tecktal 12/1 Totesport 2pt win

Beverley 5.15 Cherri Fosfate 11/2 Bet365, Will Hill and others 2pt win

Wow, what a day. After numerous near misses and frustrating twists and turns, things rebound in a spectacularly successful way with a whopping 45pt profit in a single day. Four wins out of six, at 12/1, 8/1 and two at 5/1 (after non-runners) was just fantastic, and to see three 2pt selections win made things even sweeter.

It all started with Shotley Mac skipping away from the field to score in what appeared a competitive handicap at Beverley. Always there or thereabouts, he showed a terrific turn of foot for Franny Norton to win easily and continue his good relationship with the track.

Mon Cadeaux went off a shade shorter than we backed at, but was never in it in the Hopeful Stakes at Newmarket.

Then came winner number two, Front Rank always going nicely for Emma Sayer, she gave him a cracking ride to score very easily and win the Cartmel Cup for the second year running. This settled at 5/1 after one non runner.

Half an hour later another 16pts were bagged, when Alice Alleyne held on for an inspired Kieran Fallon. She looked to have the race put to bed just under a furlong out but Gouray Girl came really strongly and almost got there but the selection had already done enough. On another day our Alice would have been caught but not today. Really pleased with the SP here as well, 8/1 advised and she went off at half that.

Tecktal ran ok for a while in the first at Windsor, going off at 8/1 with the 12/1 taken this morning, but he faded out of it.

Already the day was in cracking profit, but there was time for another 10pts in the bag, with Cherri Fosfate seemingly relishing the return to 10furlongs. He showed a smart turn of foot going into the last furlong to pull clear from the field and galloped all the way to the line to win comfortably. Unfortunately a R4 meant we only got the 5/1 rather than 11/2 backed at this morning, but still a cracking result.

In times like this it is important to not get too carried away of course. Days like this are unusual, just as the dreadful month of June was unusual. We should probably treat those imposters just the same, as someone once said. But my word this is the sort of imposter we don't mind, a great day indeed.

We only back selections as win singles, and wouldn't advise anything other than that, but we've been told of one email subscriber who's made over £2000 today with a 30p each way heinz on the selections here, very nice!

We've been chipping away for the last few weeks in terms of results, winning a few, losing a few, getting unlucky here and there. In all this time though the vast majority of selections have been going off shorter than advised in the morning, and that - statistically speaking - should eventually pay off. Today it appeared that is what happened. It means 2010 is now up nearly 150pts up, a pleasing total for sure. Hopefully we can add another point or two to the tally before the break in September and October. Then we'll be back firing to crack on again on November 1st. Really hope you can join us for that - don't forget to check the website for details on how - a subscription starts at just £13.33 a month. www.themarketexaminer.co.uk


Confirmation of results with sps:

Shotley Mac, 1st/13, 8/1

Mon Cadeaux, 7th/8, 8/1

Front Rank, 1st/9, 5/1

Alice Alleyne, 1st/8, 4/1

Tecktal, 8th/9, 8/1

Cherri Fosfate, 1st/10, 5/1



**Free early email selection service at http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk until the end of August.