Our first bet of 2010, which seems so long ago now, was a winner. And to cap what's been on the whole a terrific twelve months, we ended with a winner too.
Unfortunately we also had four losers today, including a two point selection at 8/1 (sp 10/1) so our 5/1 success meant we broke even for the day, but at least things finished brightly.
It's been a really frustrating month, mainly because of the freezing weather and the desperate lack of racing, but on the rare days we have seen selections, the lack of a good winner or two has also been extremely annoying.
Still, it's all finished with now, a new year begins tomorrow and we can't wait to see what 2011 brings.
We started in the 12.50 at Warwick, with Bear Dancing (1pt), at 8/1. Going off at 17/2 he ran an absolute shocker and ended pulled up.
Things weren't much better in the 1.10 at Uttoxeter, with Hopeful Start (1pt) at 7/1. Going off at 15/2 Jonjo O'Neill's 6y.o at least finished, but miles behind, coming fourth of the five runners.
Next up, in the 2.10 at Uttoxeter, we advised Sun Tzu (2pt) at 8/1, who would have won by 13 lengths, had he not been comfortably beaten himself by the winner, Supreme de Paille. A decent enough performance though, after he was sent off at 10s.
In the 2.20 at Warwick, Whatever Next (1pt) was a 16/1 shot for us. Going off at 12/1 we could only watch as Timmy Murphy gave him a nondescript ride in finishing fourth, barely giving the horse a chance to get competitive. A massive difference to the ride AP gave to Rate Of Knots in finishing second.
In the 3.40 at Uttoxeter, Just Cloudy (1pt) was the one to get us out of trouble for the day at 5/1. Always traveling strongly in the bumper, he looked to be a comfortable winner but then really tired close to home. Thankfully he found enough in the end though and was a driven out winner by 1 1/2 lengths.
Here's to a brilliant 2011. Happy New Year to you all.
Confirmation of results with SPs:
Bear Dancing, PU/12, 17/2
Hopeful Start, 4th/5, 17/2
Suz Tzu, 2nd/11, 10/1
Whatever Next, 4th/10, 12/1
Just Cloudy, 1st/9, 5/1
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This blog is designed to work alongside the tipping advisory service www.themarketexaminer.co.uk. Horses are selected relating to a strict set of criteria related to betting market moves, following several years of research.
Friday, 31 December 2010
Thursday, 30 December 2010
Looking back for dangers..
Well we had one selection today, Noble Aran (1pt) at 11/2, trying a drop in trip in the 1.50 at Taunton.
His jumping was a bit scratchy early on as the pace perhaps found him out a little, but as the race developed he really began to find a good stride and about four from home Paddy Brennan briefly had a look back for dangers as he seemingly was traveling really nicely. The moment he did that though, ironically, was the moment he began to struggle and he soon got swallowed up and couldn't quicken with the rest of them, to finish a fairly well beaten fourth.
It adds to what's been a frustrating December, that's for sure, but a couple of jumps meetings tomorrow to hopefully end the year on a high note with. And then, roll on 2011!
Confirmation of result with SP:
Noble Aran, 4th/9, 9/2
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His jumping was a bit scratchy early on as the pace perhaps found him out a little, but as the race developed he really began to find a good stride and about four from home Paddy Brennan briefly had a look back for dangers as he seemingly was traveling really nicely. The moment he did that though, ironically, was the moment he began to struggle and he soon got swallowed up and couldn't quicken with the rest of them, to finish a fairly well beaten fourth.
It adds to what's been a frustrating December, that's for sure, but a couple of jumps meetings tomorrow to hopefully end the year on a high note with. And then, roll on 2011!
Confirmation of result with SP:
Noble Aran, 4th/9, 9/2
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Wednesday, 29 December 2010
One too good
A good performance today by our only selection, but he ran into one too good.
We put up Nicky Henderson's Media Luz (1pt), advised at 5/1, in the 12.30, the juvenile hurdle at Newbury. After being nicely supported in the morning, the exchange layers pushed the promising 3y.o's price out, so he opened on course at 15/2, before going off at 7/1 at SP.
Henderson's only other runner in the race was always going to be the main danger, the short-priced Grandouet. And that's how it turned out. Media Luz ran well in the gloom, and when the runners emerged out of the fog near the end he was traveling really well and looked a big danger, but despite finishing nearly 20 lengths clear of the third, Grandouet was just too good, quickening really well to win quite cosily by four lengths.
A frustrating result, but hopefully we'll get back to the winners' enclosure soon.
Confirmation of result with sp:
Media Luz, 7/1, 2nd/8
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We put up Nicky Henderson's Media Luz (1pt), advised at 5/1, in the 12.30, the juvenile hurdle at Newbury. After being nicely supported in the morning, the exchange layers pushed the promising 3y.o's price out, so he opened on course at 15/2, before going off at 7/1 at SP.
Henderson's only other runner in the race was always going to be the main danger, the short-priced Grandouet. And that's how it turned out. Media Luz ran well in the gloom, and when the runners emerged out of the fog near the end he was traveling really well and looked a big danger, but despite finishing nearly 20 lengths clear of the third, Grandouet was just too good, quickening really well to win quite cosily by four lengths.
A frustrating result, but hopefully we'll get back to the winners' enclosure soon.
Confirmation of result with sp:
Media Luz, 7/1, 2nd/8
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Tuesday, 28 December 2010
First day of action in twelve days!!!
Turf racing finally back today then thank goodness!
We had two selections at Ffos Las, both nicely backed.
First up was Azionne (1pt), in the 1.30, the Mare's Handicap Hurdle. Advised at 7/1, she continued to be nicely supported into 9/2 before not justifying it, finishing a well beaten sixth.
In the 3.15, we had Nemo Spirit (1pt), at 13/2, who did much better. Tim Vaughan's 5y.o ran well on his first start over hurdles, leading or racing prominently for much of the contest, after going off at 4/1 SP. Trading at just above evens in running, he just got run out of things near the finish, but stayed on again into third. A promising introduction.
All in all, it was great to be back in action albeit without a winner. Hopefully this weather will continue to warm up and we'll see plenty more action before the next cold spell hits.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Azionne, 6th/10, 9/2
Nemo Spirit, 3rd/10, 4/1
PS hope you had a great Christmas!
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We had two selections at Ffos Las, both nicely backed.
First up was Azionne (1pt), in the 1.30, the Mare's Handicap Hurdle. Advised at 7/1, she continued to be nicely supported into 9/2 before not justifying it, finishing a well beaten sixth.
In the 3.15, we had Nemo Spirit (1pt), at 13/2, who did much better. Tim Vaughan's 5y.o ran well on his first start over hurdles, leading or racing prominently for much of the contest, after going off at 4/1 SP. Trading at just above evens in running, he just got run out of things near the finish, but stayed on again into third. A promising introduction.
All in all, it was great to be back in action albeit without a winner. Hopefully this weather will continue to warm up and we'll see plenty more action before the next cold spell hits.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Azionne, 6th/10, 9/2
Nemo Spirit, 3rd/10, 4/1
PS hope you had a great Christmas!
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Thursday, 16 December 2010
Edging back into it
A decent winner today, with an 8/1 shot doing the business in gutsy style.
That set things up with a couple more runners to go, but sadly we couldn't follow up. A decent performance at a big price coming afterwards, and then a faller.
We're updating from yesterday as well, where we had a couple of seconds from our four picks.
Let's start with yesterday then, and in the 12.25 at Newbury, a novices chase we had Double Pride (1pt), at 7/1. Going off at the same price, he ran pretty well, with a couple of jumping errors not really helping, finishishing fourth of 16 in the end.
In the 12.45 at Bangor we had One More Dinar (1pt) at 9/1. Nicely backed into 6/1 at the off, he put in a decent performance, travelling nicely at times and backed into almost 1/2 in running. He stayed on strongly after hitting the last going down by a length and a half.
At 3.00 at Bangor our selection was Vin Rose (1pt) at 6/1. Going off at 11/2, this was another good performance, just running into one too good being beaten six lengths in the end.
Ten minutes later, in the 3.10 at Newbury we had a selection in the rescheduled Peterborough Chase, Master Medic (1pt) at 10/1. Clearly plenty was expected from this once progressive chaser, who was last seen pulling up in last year's King George, as he continued to be backed into 8/1 SP. Unfortunately he was just never travelling, and pulled up early on, surely not really his true running.
On to today, and a great start in the 12.40 at Towcester. De Forgotten Man (1pt) was an 8/1 shot for us, and went off at 7s, and put in a stirling display in really slow ground, staying on bravely to win by a length.
Then in the 2.10 at Towcester we had Bible Lord (1pt), at 12/1. Opening on course at 9/1 the layers got stuck in and the SP was 14/1. He ran a big race though, leading for much of the way and really doing his best go slog it out. In the end he just faded near the finish, and was unfortunate to be pipped for third.
Then came our first 2pt bet for a while, Owner Occupier (2pt) in the 3.10 at Towcester, at 7/1. After opening 11/2 he drifted to 7s at SP. He was tracking the leaders and seemingly going well when he fell.
So when the dust settles after a couple of busy days a 1pt profit in the end. Most of the selections ran well, and there's a small sense of what may have been. We can only hope the forecasters have got it wrong and we see plenty of racing in the lead up to Christmas to push things on.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Wednesday 15th December
Double Pride, 4th/16, 7/1
One More Dinar, 2nd/9, 6/1
Vin Rose, 2nd/10, 11/2
Master Medic, PU/7, 8/1
Thursday 16th December:
De Forgotten Man, 1st/16, 7/1
Bible Lord, 4th/12, 14/1
Owner Occupier, F/10, 7/1
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That set things up with a couple more runners to go, but sadly we couldn't follow up. A decent performance at a big price coming afterwards, and then a faller.
We're updating from yesterday as well, where we had a couple of seconds from our four picks.
Let's start with yesterday then, and in the 12.25 at Newbury, a novices chase we had Double Pride (1pt), at 7/1. Going off at the same price, he ran pretty well, with a couple of jumping errors not really helping, finishishing fourth of 16 in the end.
In the 12.45 at Bangor we had One More Dinar (1pt) at 9/1. Nicely backed into 6/1 at the off, he put in a decent performance, travelling nicely at times and backed into almost 1/2 in running. He stayed on strongly after hitting the last going down by a length and a half.
At 3.00 at Bangor our selection was Vin Rose (1pt) at 6/1. Going off at 11/2, this was another good performance, just running into one too good being beaten six lengths in the end.
Ten minutes later, in the 3.10 at Newbury we had a selection in the rescheduled Peterborough Chase, Master Medic (1pt) at 10/1. Clearly plenty was expected from this once progressive chaser, who was last seen pulling up in last year's King George, as he continued to be backed into 8/1 SP. Unfortunately he was just never travelling, and pulled up early on, surely not really his true running.
On to today, and a great start in the 12.40 at Towcester. De Forgotten Man (1pt) was an 8/1 shot for us, and went off at 7s, and put in a stirling display in really slow ground, staying on bravely to win by a length.
Then in the 2.10 at Towcester we had Bible Lord (1pt), at 12/1. Opening on course at 9/1 the layers got stuck in and the SP was 14/1. He ran a big race though, leading for much of the way and really doing his best go slog it out. In the end he just faded near the finish, and was unfortunate to be pipped for third.
Then came our first 2pt bet for a while, Owner Occupier (2pt) in the 3.10 at Towcester, at 7/1. After opening 11/2 he drifted to 7s at SP. He was tracking the leaders and seemingly going well when he fell.
So when the dust settles after a couple of busy days a 1pt profit in the end. Most of the selections ran well, and there's a small sense of what may have been. We can only hope the forecasters have got it wrong and we see plenty of racing in the lead up to Christmas to push things on.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Wednesday 15th December
Double Pride, 4th/16, 7/1
One More Dinar, 2nd/9, 6/1
Vin Rose, 2nd/10, 11/2
Master Medic, PU/7, 8/1
Thursday 16th December:
De Forgotten Man, 1st/16, 7/1
Bible Lord, 4th/12, 14/1
Owner Occupier, F/10, 7/1
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Tuesday, 14 December 2010
Been a while
Because of the break in September and October it feels like it's been a while since a month was sitting in good profit, and December continues to stutter along with another three losers. It's all about the long term of course, but it would be nice to have a good day or two soon - preferably before the freezing weather descends again!
Anyway we had three today, a couple at Folkestone and another at Catterick.
First up was Shewarni Wolf (1pt) in the 1.35 at Folkestone. Advised at 5/1, he opened at 3/1 before going off at 4s for Nigel Twiston-Davies. He was there or thereabouts for a good part of the race but just tired near the end of this first attempt at a longer trip.
Half an hour later we had Bold Pioneer (1pt) at 8/1 in the 2.05 at Folkestone. Going off at 13/2, he ran really well for a long time, going nicely while others seemingly were toiling, and he traded at around 6/4 in running. But a furlong or two from home he just really started to struggle and in the end came sixth of six, a frustrating race to watch.
Last up we had Best Horse (1pt) in the 2.45 at Catterick, at 11/2. This one drifted before the off, starting at 8/1, but put in a decent performance, still holding every chance coming to the last, but just couldn't find anything close to home.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Shewarni Wolf, 6th/16, 4/1
Bold Pioneer, 6th/6, 13/2
Best Horse, 5th/12, 8/1
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Anyway we had three today, a couple at Folkestone and another at Catterick.
First up was Shewarni Wolf (1pt) in the 1.35 at Folkestone. Advised at 5/1, he opened at 3/1 before going off at 4s for Nigel Twiston-Davies. He was there or thereabouts for a good part of the race but just tired near the end of this first attempt at a longer trip.
Half an hour later we had Bold Pioneer (1pt) at 8/1 in the 2.05 at Folkestone. Going off at 13/2, he ran really well for a long time, going nicely while others seemingly were toiling, and he traded at around 6/4 in running. But a furlong or two from home he just really started to struggle and in the end came sixth of six, a frustrating race to watch.
Last up we had Best Horse (1pt) in the 2.45 at Catterick, at 11/2. This one drifted before the off, starting at 8/1, but put in a decent performance, still holding every chance coming to the last, but just couldn't find anything close to home.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Shewarni Wolf, 6th/16, 4/1
Bold Pioneer, 6th/6, 13/2
Best Horse, 5th/12, 8/1
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Monday, 13 December 2010
Win or bust
We had a couple of fairly big priced selections at Plumpton today, and got a decent priced third which went off a B.O.G 14/1. No celebrating here though of course as we advise and back win-only. The other one was unplaced.
First up then in the 2.35 we advised Deep Pockets (1pt), at 10/1. A bit of a drifter before the off, the 11y.o. went off 14/1 looking for his third win over C+D. It wasn't a bad performance, apart from a possibly costly mistake as things began to heat up, but was being scrubbed along a fair way out. He stayed on for that pressure to come home third, beaten about six lengths by the winner.
In the final race of the day, we had Stop The Show (1pt) at 14/1. Going off the same price, he was well beaten and plugged on to finish sixth.
Not a great start to the week but at least there looks like there should be a couple of NH meetings on tomorrow, so hopefully we can get back to winning ways sooner rather than later.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Deep Pockets, 3rd/12, 14/1
Stop The Show, 6th/11, 14/1
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First up then in the 2.35 we advised Deep Pockets (1pt), at 10/1. A bit of a drifter before the off, the 11y.o. went off 14/1 looking for his third win over C+D. It wasn't a bad performance, apart from a possibly costly mistake as things began to heat up, but was being scrubbed along a fair way out. He stayed on for that pressure to come home third, beaten about six lengths by the winner.
In the final race of the day, we had Stop The Show (1pt) at 14/1. Going off the same price, he was well beaten and plugged on to finish sixth.
Not a great start to the week but at least there looks like there should be a couple of NH meetings on tomorrow, so hopefully we can get back to winning ways sooner rather than later.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Deep Pockets, 3rd/12, 14/1
Stop The Show, 6th/11, 14/1
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Sunday, 12 December 2010
Cheltenham catch up
Amidst all the abandonments, a couple of brilliant days at Cheltenham, and hats off to all concerned for getting the show on the road.
We've had a couple of selections in those two days, one on Friday and one yesterday.
First of all we advised Superior Wisdom (1pt) in the 3m handicap hurdle on Friday (the 1.50), at 9/1. Coming off a game win at Exeter, he went off at 10s and was in the process of running a big race before crashing out at the third last flight, bringing down three others at the same time.
On the Saturday, we had Restless Harry (1pt) at 9/1 in the Relkeel Hurdle, the 1.20. There was a lot of confidence behind this, not least from his trainer Robin Dickin and he went off 11/2. Sadly it didn't quite go to plan, he set a tad too fierce a pace up front and was a spent force a couple of fences from home, finishing seventh in the end.
The forecast seems a bit milder this week so hopefully plenty of action in the next few days.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Friday 10th December
Superior Wisdom, F/16, 10/1
Saturday 11th December
Restless Harry, 7th/12, 11/2
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We've had a couple of selections in those two days, one on Friday and one yesterday.
First of all we advised Superior Wisdom (1pt) in the 3m handicap hurdle on Friday (the 1.50), at 9/1. Coming off a game win at Exeter, he went off at 10s and was in the process of running a big race before crashing out at the third last flight, bringing down three others at the same time.
On the Saturday, we had Restless Harry (1pt) at 9/1 in the Relkeel Hurdle, the 1.20. There was a lot of confidence behind this, not least from his trainer Robin Dickin and he went off 11/2. Sadly it didn't quite go to plan, he set a tad too fierce a pace up front and was a spent force a couple of fences from home, finishing seventh in the end.
The forecast seems a bit milder this week so hopefully plenty of action in the next few days.
Confirmation of results with sps:
Friday 10th December
Superior Wisdom, F/16, 10/1
Saturday 11th December
Restless Harry, 7th/12, 11/2
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Tuesday, 7 December 2010
Warm weather dance
What an incredibly frustrating December so far, to put it mildly, and just looking at the long term forecast on the BBC website it seems that things could stay pretty cold for a lot of the rest of the month..
Let's all hope Cheltenham somehow manages to beat the conditions and get things going on Friday so we see a scene a bit like this one..
.
Just a reminder that our member's subscriptions, existing and new, are paused during this cold spell, with all days of turf racing lost added to total subscriptions. We don't follow all-weather market moves, as we've found them too unreliable but please rest assured that if you join us during this freezing period you won't miss out on any days of action in the long run.
In the meantime we're off to do a warm weather dance in the hope it'll help!
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Let's all hope Cheltenham somehow manages to beat the conditions and get things going on Friday so we see a scene a bit like this one..
.
Just a reminder that our member's subscriptions, existing and new, are paused during this cold spell, with all days of turf racing lost added to total subscriptions. We don't follow all-weather market moves, as we've found them too unreliable but please rest assured that if you join us during this freezing period you won't miss out on any days of action in the long run.
In the meantime we're off to do a warm weather dance in the hope it'll help!
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