We had two today:
Thursday, 30 June 2011
Wednesday, 29 June 2011
Tuesday, 28 June 2011
In the course of every few hundred bets we place we'll have spells where
- everything seems to go right (for example a rival getting blocked / a rival unseating at the last fence / winning photos)
- most things go right (horses running to form, no hard luck stories)
- everything seems to go wrong (would-be winners getting blocked in running/ falling at the final fence when clear / losing photos)
- nothing much happens at all (just below par performances, all a bit mundane)
Obviously spell number 1 is fantastic, and tends to come along every now and then. Number 2 is also very pleasant of course, steady reliable profits and a smooth upward spell and is more common. Number 3 I think we've had for the first part of this month, where we had numerous horses run well but just not getting their heads in front for whatever reason, and that is extremely frustrating, but there is the consolation of good performances. And then we have Number 4, which thankfully tends to be relatively rare, but is probably the most annoying of the lot. It feels a bit like we're in one of those spells now. It's been fairly quiet in terms of selections and the horses are just not really performing. All a bit flat.
So to say we've had spells of 3 and 4 in June, and for us to just be a few points down for the month is actually a rather good sign going forward. It might all feel a bit frustrating that we're not bounding ahead with profits, as we have in some other months of this year, but the fact we're holding our own pretty well despite the tricky spells we've been going through augers very well for the future.
We'll have a "number 1 spell" again sooner or later, it'll happen, it's a mathematical certainty. When, we obviously can't tell for certain - but we'll just carry on doing what we do, sifting through dozens of potential candidates each and every morning trying to pinpoint the best selections. In the meantime with any luck we'll have a "number 2 spell" and keep things ticking over nicely.
Anyway enough waffle about spells and whatnot on with a quick look back at the last couple of days. And as is befitting "number 4 spells" there isn't a lot to write home about.
Yesterday we had:
Miss Villefranche, 8th/11, 8/1 --- 14/1
Billy Red, 4th/6, 5/1 --- 3/1
Gaelic Flight, 6th/7, 11/1 --- 7/1
So yes, all a bit flat. Let's see if things spice up tomorrow and we can get a nice winner or two.
Sunday, 26 June 2011
Friday, 24 June 2011
Thursday, 23 June 2011
Tuesday, 21 June 2011
Monday, 20 June 2011
Well we had to wait all day for our one selection selection to run, in the very last race of the night at Windsor, and after all that build up it was perhaps no surprise it proved to be something of an anticlimax - although in fairness we got a good performance, and also got the price.
Sunday, 19 June 2011
Friday, 17 June 2011
A very good day today with two winners from our four selections, and 12 points of profit - although we were half a length away from making that 44 points of profit, with our big priced selection just going down at Goodwood.
We had no selections at all yesterday, Thursday, 16th June, the first day without a pick for quite a while.
Then today we had:
Wednesday, 15 June 2011
Monday, 13 June 2011
Sunday, 12 June 2011
Saturday, 11 June 2011
Friday, 10 June 2011
Thursday, 9 June 2011
We delighted to say that today we've received a fantastic review by the Secret Betting Club, which, if you're not aware of it, is a very highly rated and completely independent site which, among a host of other features, does fantastically detailed analysis into a host of different tipping services.
It wouldn't be fair for us to reveal too much about what it says as it's for subscribers only (it costs £69 a year to join), but we can say we're really pleased that all our hard work has been recognised in such a way.
Also today racingproofing.com has updated its latest tipster league tables and we are STILL on top for the last three and six months compared to all the other services they look at!
We are just a handful points off gaining top spot for the last twelve months, in second, and we're a fantastic third in the "all tips" table!
Well, our selections are running pretty well in general this month, with a 45% placed strike rate, but things aren't quite falling for us just yet in terms of those winners.
Today we had a couple run for us, with one finishing a not-beaten-far third:
Wednesday, 8 June 2011
A day which promised a lot and could have been explosive, but despite some decent performances, and some good value had, it didn't happen for us.
Venutius ran well, touching 1.30 in running, staying on nicely and holding every chance close to home, but went down by less than a length in third after going off at 17/2.
Tuesday, 7 June 2011
We had a couple of decent performances today, including another second place finish, the fourth of the month so far. It's always frustrating when we get close but run into one too good, but we'd rather that than them trailing in with the also rans!
Monday, 6 June 2011
Saturday, 4 June 2011
High time we looked back at our performance for May, which ended in terrific style to give us our best month of the year so far.
It was an excellent month all round really, as we had a high number of placed efforts (many at big prices), beat the SP on many occasions, and of course built a very strong profit level.
So let's take a look at the figures.
Wins: 14 (16.47%)
2nds: 12 (14.12%)
3rds: 13 (15.29%)
Placed total: 39 (45.88%)
Average odds taken: 7.95/1
Average SP: 6.73/1
Average win odds: 8.07/1
Return On Investment: +77.08%
Fantastic figures really, even if we say so ourselves! We had numerous big priced seconds, including at 16/1, 10/1 9/1 and 8/1 so things could have been even better.
As we always say, the key figure is whether we're beating SP, and to do so by more than 1.2pts on average per selection makes us very happy.
Friday, 3 June 2011
Four points dropped since the last update, although we almost had a nice winner last night just beaten into second at 10/1 SP, after trading pretty short in running.
Let's start yesterday, where we had:
Let's start yesterday, where we had:
Silverware started at 4/1, was a bit awkward leaving the stalls, and took a keen hold early on but kept on quite nicely into third, a couple of lengths behind the comfortable winner.
Then came Rolecarr, who ran really well after going of at 10/1. He went into the lead three fences out and jumped the last still in front, but was just collared near the line with Richard Johnson driving the favourite to a narrow victory. Almost another nice winner.
Humbie was a non-runner.
On to today and we had a couple, and after two placed efforts yesterday, neither placed today.
Parc Des Princes was well off the pace and while he was staying on in the closing stages was never going to get there, after starting a nicely backed 13/2.
Illustrious Forest was well backed in the morning but drifted during the day to open on course at 10/1. He was then backed into 8/1 at SP, and ran a decent race for a good while, leading and going ok, but then didn't appear to stay the trip and faded into 8th.
Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):
2nd June 2011
Silverware, 3rd/10, 5/1 --- 4/1
Rolecarr, 2nd/6, 9/1 --- 10/1
3rd June 2011
Parc Des Princes, 7th/10, 10/1 --- 13/2
Illustrious Forest, 8th/10 11/2 --- 8/1
Not a great couple of days but we're sure to have plenty more opportunities to return to winning ways this weekend!