Sunday, 31 July 2011

Bouncing back

It's been a funny old month, but we've ended it in good style with three winners out of three selections this weekend. It seems to be the weekend for hat-tricks!

It hasn't quite pulled July back into profit, but the month ends just 4.8pts down, which we certainly would have taken on Friday night.

We had just the one selection on Saturday:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
5.50 Nkt Zero Money 1pt 9-2 general, 5-1 B365

The cash really came for Roger Charlton's 5yo on his second attempt at six furlongs in less than a week. Starting at 2/1 he eased into a good lead and was always travelling really strongly, before being pushed out to win by more than two lengths, very nice. There was a 5p r4 deduction so a 4.75/1 winner.

Then today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

2.00 M Rasen General Elliott 1pt 8-1 general BOG
3.40 M Rasen King in Waiting 1pt 5-1 general BOG 6-1 Betfred (BOG) Tote

General Elliott was a very ready winner of his race at Market Rasen, and gave us the perfect start for the day. The win was soured greatly however by the sad demise of the favourite A Stones Throw who was just trying to lay down a challenge to ours when he went wrong. It's been a tough week or so in the racing world for this sort of incident, and it's never nice to see, obviously our condolences go to connections.

With 8pts in the bag for the 8/1 winner we were encouraged to see King in Waiting continue to be supported into 3/1 for the 3.40, and he didn't disappoint, always travelling really nicely he cruised into the lead and won by an eased down ten lengths. We're marking him down as a 5/1 winner although hopefully many of our members would have got the 6/1 which was available for a few minutes.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Saturday 30th July 2011:

Zero Money, 1st/15, 4.75/1(after r4)--- 2/1

Sunday 31st July 2011:

General Elliott, 1st/13, 8/1 --- 8/1
King in Waiting, 1st/8, 5/1 --- 3/1

So with three winners in a row, can we make it four to get August off to a flying start, let's hope so!

We'll be conducting our review of July in the next couple of days.

Friday, 29 July 2011

Getting closer

Close to a nice return today, with The Cayterers trading at around 1/2 in running before not finding enough in his contest at Bangor to finish second.

Let's start yesterday where we had a selection in the Goodwood Cup -

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

3.15 Good Fox Hunt 1pt 7-1 general

It may seem strange, but Pricewise selections are very rarely picks for us, this was our second at Goodwood this week and we quite close, with Mark Johnstone's 4yo staying on well, but never quite well enough, to go down a not beaten far fourth, after starting at 5/1.

Today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.55 Thirsk Wigrams Turn 1 pt 6-1 general, 13-2 Betfred (BOG) Tote
4.30 Bang The Cayterers 1pt 8-1 general BOG, 9s Tote, Coral 17-2 W Hill BOG
Wigrams Turn was a big drifter on course and never looked like getting close, although he did stay on under fairly a tender ride once the chance had gone, after starting at 8/1.

A much better effort was had from The Cayterers, who looked a big danger as they turned for home, trading odds on in running, but he didn't have the finishing kick that we needed and went down in second place, beaten ten lengths in the end, after he started at 10/1.

Confirmation of results with prices (adviced/SP):

Thursday 28th July 2011

Fox Hunt, 4th/15, 7/1 --- 5/1

Friday 29th July 2011:

Wigrams Turn, 6th/10, 13/2 --- 5/1
The Cayterers, 2nd/8, 9/1 --- 10/1

It's looking every more likely we're going to see our first losing month since January, but you never know in this game, so we'll see what the next couple of days bring.

On to tomorrow!

Wednesday, 27 July 2011

Not yet

No immediate sign of a return to form for us just yet, but as long term members will know things can turn very quickly in this game.

For now, all we can reflect on is another three points lost from the last couple of days.

Let's start yesterday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
6.05 Bev Back to Paris 1pt 5-1+ general, 6-1 Lads, Tote, Sky, 11-2 B365, Coral
7.25 Worces Mumbles Pier 1pt 7-1 general , 8-1 S James, 15-2 Betfred, Tote

Back To paris was supported nicely into 4/1 before rearing in the stalls and getting withdrawn before the off.

Mumbles Pier went on an almighty drift and ran an absolute stinker, pulling up a long way from home.

Today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

3.45 Good Four Nations 1pt 6-1 general
6.55 Sand Black Minstrel 1pt 5-1 general, 11-2 Lads (BOG) S James

These were better efforts but again we missed the target.

While we were still taking in Frankel's breathtaking performance, we watched Four Nations put in a spirited display and was always there or thereabouts but couldn't quite quicken as we needed him to, and he finished a battling fourth, after starting a well supported 9/2.

Black Minstrel drifted pre race, starting at 8/1 but ran well for a long time before fading out of things.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Tuesday 26th July 2011

Back To Paris, NR
Mumbles Pier, PU/8, 7/1 --- 16/1

Wednesday 27th July 2011

Four Nations, 4th/11, 6/1 --- 4/1
Black Minstrel, 6th/10, 11/2 --- 8/1

Let's hope for better tomorrow, it feels like we're due a turn soon.

Monday, 25 July 2011

Below par

July hasn't been kind to us so far, we're now 16.55pts down, and it all feels a bit frustrating.

But for much of the month, the point we can look back on is our ability to continue, in the main, to beat SP, and of course that's the thing that's going to continue to drive profits. So it's always a nice consolation when reflecting on a loser or two to know that that's happened.

Not the case these last couple of days though, three points dropped and no price consolation, not a happy mix!

Let's start yesterday where we had:

All the best to:
TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
1.50 Carlisle Lord Buffhead 1pt 4/1 generally bog 5/1 Bet365/Boylesports 11/2 Skybet
4.10 Carlisle No Quarter 1pt 5/1 generally

Lord Buffhead is a candidate for our worst performance of the year. Missing the break, within a furlong or so he was a few lengths adrift and being scrubbed along and the writing was on the wall. He finished tailed off (in a 5 furlong contest), after starting at 7/1, not pretty.

No Quarter was at least racing prominently for a good while and looked to have half a chance before being unable to quicken with the principles, finishing 6th, after going off at 6/1.

On to today and we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
4.00 Ayr Khandaq 1pt 8-1 + , including 10s Lads, Betfred, Tote, 9-1 Hills, S James

Khandaq was up there for a while, at least with a decent pitch, but weakened tamely out of things when things got serious, finishing last, after going off at 10/1.

Summary of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Sunday 24th July 2011

Lord Buffhead, 8th/8, 9/2 --- 7/1
No Quarter, 6th/9, 5/1 --- 6/1

Monday 25th July 2011

Khandaq, 9th/9, 10/1 --- 10/1

So not a terrific couple of days and no value had either. But there are reasons still to be cheerful; England won the cricket, for American Football fans the NFL lockout has finally ended, and of course we have a fantastic Glorious Goodwood to look forward to!

We'll be doing what we can to end July on a high, although one things for sure - we won't be chasing selections, we'll be keeping to basics, trying to find the value, and let the winners find us, as they will again soon, we're sure.

Sunday, 24 July 2011

Not today

Saturday wasn't our greatest day, with two well beaten selections.

We had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
4.40 Newcastle Rash Judgement 1pt 9/1+generally inc. 10/1 Totesport/Betfred/PP 11/1 Lads/Hills/Coral
7.55 Lingfield Sylas Ings 2pt 10/1+generally inc. 12/1 Hills/Totesport/Betfred 14/1 Coral

Rash Judgement showed plenty of early dash, but couldn't keep the pace up and was well beaten, after going off at 9/1.

Sylas Ings was more disappointing, just never really able to go the pace to challenge, he finished well back, after starting at 11/1.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Rash Judgement, 7th/10, 11/1 --- 9/1
Sylas Ings, 9th/11, 10/1 --- 11/1

So two poor performances and we'll certainly be hoping for better tomorrow.

Friday, 22 July 2011

Up a couple, down a couple

A couple of steps forward, then a couple back in these last two days.

Let's start yesterday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.30 Uttoxeter Youngstown 1pt 5/1 generally some 11/2 Stan James 6/1 Bet365
4.50 Bath What Katie Did 1pt 5/1+generally inc. 11/2 Lads/Bet365 6/1 Totesport/Betfred
7.35 Folkestone Whitstable Native 1pt 7/1+generally inc. 8/1 Lads/PP/Boyle/Sky/Tote/Betfred
9.00 Doncaster Plattsburgh 1pt 9/2 generally 5/1 Boyle/Betfred/Totesp

Youngstown was looking to follow up a win at Stratford but never looked like doing it, finishing 5th after going off at 9/2.

The rain had been falling for ages by the time What Katie Did race, and she didn't seem to enjoy the conditions, at least that's a possible reason for her very tame effort, finishing well back after going off at 5/1.

Whitstable Native seemed to be stuck behind a couple of rivals for a good two furlongs without being able to get out to challenge, pretty annoying, after he was well backed into 4/1. Whether he'd have won is open to debate though.

So it was left to Plattsburgh, who (incredibly, in hindsight) hit highs of 130 as he was being rousted along by Kieren Fallon. He was never that far away despite seemingly not travelling that well, and he powered clear to win comfortably in the end, after going off at 4/1. A great Fallon ride.

On to today and we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
4.20 Thirsk Black Pond 1pt 5/1 generally some 11/2 Totesport/Betfred
4.30 Ascot Pipette 1pt 9/1+generally inc. 10/1 Lads 11/1 VC/Stan James/Skybet
6.00 York Another For Joe 1pt 5/1 generally

We had two run for us, with Another For Joe a non runnner.

Black Pond drifted to 8/1 at the off, and then ran absolutely no race at all, not appearing to stay and was hammered.

Pipette performed a lot better. We're pricing her up at an advised 8/1 (which also ended up being her SP) as her price was tumbling as the email was sent. All academic really, as she finished fourth, although it was a bad display. Ridden out the back for a while, she came with a lovely turn of foot and looked for a moment like she might be able to quicken into the lead, but her run flattened out a tad and she could finished just out of the frame.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Thursday 22nd July 2011

Youngstown, 5th/9, 5/1 --- 5/1
What Katie Did, 8th/9, 11/2 --- 5/1
Whitstable Native, 6th/7, 8/1 --- 4/1
Plattsburgh, 1st/9, 5/1 --- 4/1

Friday 23rd July 2011

Black Pond, 4th/4, 5/1 --- 8/1
Pipette, 4th/11, 8/1 --- 8/1

So when all's said and done we're level for the last couple of days. It's been a bit like that for July, and much of June too to be fair. No great drops and no huge surges forward. We've still been getting some cracking value with a lot of our runners these last few weeks, and our turn will inevitably come again at some point.

Wednesday, 20 July 2011


A quick update on the last couple of days.

Let's start yesterday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.15 Yarm Levi Draper 1pt 5-1 general (6s Lads BOG)
3.00 Muss Rosies Lady 1pt 11-2 general (6-1 W Hill, VC, Boyle BOG)
7.10 Bang Lord Jay Jay 1pt 8-1+general (9s Boyle, VC, P Power. 10-1 Lads BOG)

Levi Draper and Rosies Lady both were soundly beaten, but we got a much better tune out of Lord Jay Jay who ran a cracking race for a long time, trading at odds on for a while, before just tiring a little at the end, to finish second.

Today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.20 Worcester Gallimaufry 1pt 5/1+ generally inc. 6/1 Lads/Tote/Betfred/SJ
4.20 Worcester Grovemere 1pt 11/2+ generally inc. 6/1 Hills/PP/SJ 13/2 Coral 7/1 Lads

Gallimaufry was heavily supported into 100/30, and came with a surging late run, but could only finish third.

Grovemere was also placed, after going off at 6/1. Ridden along for much of the race, he also picked up late, but was never really going to get there.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Tuesday 19th July 2011

Levi Draper, 4th/4, 5/1 --- 7/1
Rosies Lady, 3rd/7, 11/2 --- 7/1
Lord Jay Jay, 2nd/7, 9/1 --- 8/1

Wednesday 20th July 2011

Gallimaufry, 3rd/11, 5/1 --- 100/30
Grovemere, 3rd/16, 6/1 --- 6/1

So three placed efforts in a row, we're getting closer to spinning things around for July, it won't take much, and let's hope it happens tomorrow.

Monday, 18 July 2011

Results catch up

High time for a results catch up!

Not a great deal to report however, we made a couple of points on Saturday, lost three on Sunday and today both our runners were pulled out.

Let's start on Saturday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.00 Newmarket Firestarter 1pt 8/1Hills/Bet365/Skybet/Totesport/Betfred/Stan James
3.40 Newmarket Ivory Silk 1pt 8/1 generally 9/1 Lads/VC/Totesport/Betfred/Stan James
5.20 Newmarket Baby Strange 1pt 5/1+generally 11/2 Bet365/Hills/Skybet 6/1Totesp/Betfred
7.10 Haydock Now My Sun 1pt 5/1 Bet365/Lads 11/2 Stan James

Firestarter missed the break which didn't help, but was there with a chance close to home without being able to quicken well enough, after starting at 6/1.

Ivory Slik didn't have the clearest of passages but it probably didn't make much difference, finishing well back, after going off at 7/1.

Baby Strange almost got us off the mark for the day, leading until the last 50yds or so before he was hauled in, going down by 3/4 length, after going off at 7/2.

Now My Sun was the winner, a sizeable gamble in the morning, he was actually quite weak on course, drifting back to 5/1 at the off. He refused to settle on his racecourse debut and did very well to have enough in the tank to just get up on the line, possibly one to look out for.

On to Sunday and we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.05 Redcar Lucky Money 1pt 5/1+ generally inc. 6/1 Bet365 /VC 13/2 Stan James
3.50 Stratford Encompassing 2pt 14/1+generally 16/1 Bet365/Paddy Power 22/1 Totesp/Betfred 25/1 Lads

Lucky Money traded at 1.17, travelling really strongly close to the lead in the closing stages, but he couldn't quite see it out, and lost third place close to home, after starting at 4/1.

Encompassing would have been a huge return for those of our members who locked in the 25/1 with Ladbrokes, which held up for quite a while after the email was sent. He travelled really nicely until about 3 furlongs left, touching shorter than 2/1 in running. Sadly his challenge petered out and he finished well beaten.

Today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
4.00 Ayr Viking Warrior 1pt 6/1+generally inc. 13/2 Hills 7/1 Lads
7.00 Beverley Regal Kiss 1pt 9/2+generally inc. 5/1 Bet365/Totesport/Betfred

Both were non runners.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Saturday 16th July 2011:

Firestarter, 4th/5, 7/1 --- 6/1
Ivory Silk, 7th/10, 9/1 --- 7/1
Baby Strange, 2nd/6, 11/2 -- 7/2
Now My Sun, 1st/10, 5/1 --- 5/1

Sunday 17th July 2011:

Lucky Money, 4th/12, 6/1 --- 4/1
Encompassing, 6th/11, 16/1 --- 14/1

Monday 18th July 2011:

Viking Warrior NR
Regal Kiss NR

Let's hope we at least get a run for our money tomorrow, and also this damn rain clears up!

Friday, 15 July 2011

Decent runs but..

We've had some half decent performances these last couple of days, but sadly we're 4pts down from where we were on Wednesday. Annoying! But it happens and we'll move on.

Let's start yesterday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

2.10 Leicester Alice's Dancer 1pt 7/1 / 15/2 generally 8/1 Bet365/Totesport/Betfred

8.20 Epsom Glenridding 1pt 13/2 generally 7/1 Lads/Boyle/Skybet/Stan James 8/1 Coral

8.40 Doncaster Frontline Phantom 1pt 6/1 generally

Alice's Dancer was a non runner.

Glenridding ran well for a long time, but just faded into the last furlong after starting at 8/1, finishing fourth.

Frontline Phantom was another to show prominently, but similarly couldn't fight them off when the pack closed, and he ended well beaten after starting at 6/1

And then on to today:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

5.20 Newbury Taqleed 1pt 4/1 generally 9/2 Lads/SkyBet/Betfred

8.20 Hamilton Union Island 1pt 6/1 generally 7/1 Lads

8.40 Pontefract Tricky Situation 1pt 8/1 generally 17/2 Hills 9/1 Lads/Stan James/Boylesports

Annoyingly Taqleed was a non runner, so we had a long wait for our two runners.

Union Island was held up at the back, got caught in some traffi issues and had to switch violently left to get a ru. Once free he did begin to pick up but it wasn't quite enough, going down by just over a length, after starting at 11/2.

Tricky Situation blew the start and went right, but went on to run quite nicely. A bit like Union Island, she didn't have things her own way, before staying on nicely into third near the finish.

Summary of results with prices (advised --- SP):

14th July 2011

Alice's Dancer NR

Glenridding, 4th/9, 7/1 --- 8/1

Frontline Phanton, 8th/11, 6/1 --- 6/1

15th July 2011

Taqleed NR:

Union Island, 3rd/9, 6/1 --- 11/2

Tricky Situation, 3rd/9, 8/1 --- 9/2

It's been a frustrating few days and we look forward to seeing what the weekend brings.

Wednesday, 13 July 2011

Poor couple of days

Not a good couple of days, with seven points dropped from our six selections. Just time for a quick recap tonight really, so let's get cracking.

Yesterday we had:
TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.40 Brighton My Flame 1pt 8/1 generally 9/1 Betfred
5.00 Beverley Amongst Amigos 2pt 12/1 generally 14/1 Lads/Hills/Stan James/Skybet
5.10 Brighton Indian Wish 1pt 11/1 generally 12/1 Betfred/Skybet/StanJames
8.00 Yarmouth Invent 1pt 9/2 generally 5/1 StanJames 11/2 Boyle 6/1 Lads

It turned out My Flame was drawn badly and he had to use up plenty of early pace to get over to the rail, and that eventually told, although he ran very well for a long time, after starting at 8/1.

Amongst Amigos looked threatening for a monent but faded tamely out of things, while Indian Wish surely had something go wrong, as she ended up hopelessly detached. They started at 16/1 and 9/1 respectively.

Invent finished third, beaten just over 7 lengths after being heavily eased close to the end, after drifting to 8/1 at SP.

Today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.10 Uttoxeter Nothingbutthetruth 1pt 7/1 generally 15/2 Coral
7.20 Sandown Breaking The Bank 1pt 6/1 generally 13/2 Hills/VC/Paddy Power 7/1 Totesp/Betfred

Nothingbutthetruth came from a way back to look briefly threatening just over two fences from home, but he couldn't quicken to get there and ended up finishing fourth, after going off a nicely backed 5/1

And then at Sandown tonight, Breaking The Bank looked to be going quite nicely a couple of furlongs out, and traded odds on a for a moment or two, but his challenge unfortunately soon petered out, after going off at11/2.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Tuesday 12th July 2011:

My Flame, 4th/12, 8/1 --- 8/1
Amongst Amigos, 15th/16, 12/1 --- 16/1
Indian Wish, 9th/9, 11/1 --- 9/1
Invent, 3rd/13, 9/2 --- 8/1

Wednesday 13th July 2011:

Nothingbutthetruth, 4th/7, 7/1 --- 5/1
Breaking The Bank, 8th/14, 13/2 --- 11/2

On to tomorrow!

Monday, 11 July 2011

A good day but..

Two selections today, a winner and a second place, and quite funny really, the winner could easily have been beaten and the second should almost certainly have won.

We had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
6.10 Windsor Cruise Tothelimit 1pt 11/2 generally 6/1 Bluesq 13/2 Lads/Tote
8.40 Windsor Robin Hoods Bay 1pt 5/1 generally 11/2 Boyle/VC/Bluesq

Both were nicely backed, and the winner came in the form of Cruise Tothelimit. The 13/2 lasted just a few minutes this morning, so we'll put him up as an 11/2 success. Regardless, good value would have been had as the 3yo went off a very well supported 11/4. He was involved in a thrilling, three way finish, and he just got up in the last strides.

While Cruise Tothelimit might have easily have been beaten a head or shorter as he won, we think Robin Hoods Bay was probably one that got away. Short of room a fair way out, he again tried to make ground before being completely squeezed for space by the eventual winner, before staying on again to go down by half a length, after starting at 7/2, frustrating stuff!

Confirmation of results and prices (advised --- SP):

Cruise Tothelimit, 1st/7, 11/2 --- 11/4
Robin Hoods Bay, 2nd/9, 5/1 --- 7/2

As the dust settles we can reflect on another profitable day, and look forward to tomorrow. The weather seems (touch wood) to be settling down a little so hopefully we'll have a nice spell of settled ground, which is often the recipe for the best returns.

Sunday, 10 July 2011

Not quite

After 1/1 yesterday, not so good today with 0/3 returning a win, although we certainly got the price with each selection, and some good displays too.

We had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.00 Stratford Heron Bay 1pt 6/1 generally 13/2 Coral
3.20 Southwell Iona Days 1pt 8/1 generally 17/2 Boyle
4.20 Southwell Crosby Jemma 2pt 12/1 generally 14/1 Lads

Heron Bay was backed down to 4/1 at the off and ran ok, he just couldn't really quicken well enough and a poor jump two out didn't help either.

Iona Days was absolutely cruising in the 3.20, after starting a very well supported 7/2. His price was under a fair bit of pressure so we'll mark him as a 7/1 shot. He ran very nicely, trading at around 1.15 in running at one stage, going very nicely turning for home. But a couple of poor jumps rather stopped him in his stride and he didn't find as much as had been hoped, and he went down in second, beaten just over two lengths.

Crosby Jemma was another to be very well backed, going off at 7/1. She was detached a bit in the first part of the race, possibly struggling to go the pace, but stayed on quite nicely and just for a moment or two it seemed she might be able to get up with the leaders, but she could only manage third, a decent performance nonetheless.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Heron Bay, 3rd/7, 6/1 --- 4/1
Iona Days, 2nd/8, 7/1 --- 7/2
Crosby Jemma, 3rd/8, 12/1, 7/1

So a fair selection of well backed sorts running well, but not getting that win, a shame but we'll be back tomorrow where hopefully we can get our rewards.

Saturday, 9 July 2011

July into profit

A very good couple of days, which pushes July into profit, and gives us a new high for 2011.

Both our wins from our four selections came at Chester.

Let's start yesterday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.50 Ascot Sunwise 1pt 8-1 B365, Betfred 15-2 W Hill, Boyle, (all BOG)7s others
6.40 Chest Jungle Bay 1pt 9-1 VC, Boyle (BOG) Tote, Sky. Some 10s at S James, 8-1 Lads, B365
7.25 Newb Billion Dollar Kid 1pt 7-1 Lads (BOG) S James, Sky. 13-2 W Hill, Tote

Sunwise was just never really travelling and was well beaten after going off at 6/1.

Jungle Bay was a cracking winner. Slightly slowly away he was soon racing prominently and always travelling well. When asked to quicken and go and win his race he did so, repelling his nearest challenger by a length after going off at 5/1sp.

Billion Dollar Kid was up there and looked to have a decent chance a couple of furlongs from home, but he faded out of contention, after being weak on course, going off at 10/1.

And then today we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
4.00 Chester Colour Vision 1pt 5/1 generally BOG 6/1 Betfred 13/2 Stan James some 7/1 Ladbrokes

Colour vision won really well. The 7/1 was available for a good few minutes after our selections were put out but it's probably fairer to put him down as a 6/1 shot as that was available for longer. SP was 11/2. Anyway, always going really well, Mark Johnston's 3yo powered clear going into the final furlong and never looked back, winning by more than 4 lengths. A cracking result and a horse to possibly keep on the right side of going forward.

Summary of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Friday 8th July 2011:

Sunwise, 9th/10, 15/2 --- 6/1
Jungle Bay, 1st/11, 9/1 --- 5/1
Billion Dollar Kid, 9th/12, 7/1 --- 10/1

Saturday 9th July 2011

Colour Vision, 1st/9, 6/1 --- 11/2

July is now in profit by 4.95pts (19.04%ROI). As recently as half way through the middle of Thursday this week we were down by 14pts, just another example of how things can, and so often do, spin around quickly. Hopefully we can continue to push forward. We've not had a really explosive run of profit for a while, it may just be around the corner if things continue, let's hope so.

If you'd like to become a member of the service, you're welcome to join our waiting list. We'd recommend you doing that sooner rather than later if you would like to sign up, just contact us and let us know your interest.

Thursday, 7 July 2011

Ticking over

A steady couple of days, some good value had, reasonable performances, but just the one winner, which thanks to a R4 deduction means we're just a little ahead of where we started on Tuesday night.

Let's start yesterday where we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.20 Catterick Danceintothelight 1pt 7/1 / 15/2 generally 8/1 Bet365/Hills/Boyle/VC some 9/1 Lads
4.20 Catterick Come And Go 1pt 7/1 Hills/PP/VC/Bluesq 8/1 Bet365
4.50 Catterick Handicraft 1pt 9/1 generally some 10/1 VC/Betfred

Danceintothelight ran ok, travelling nicely just behind the leaders, but couldn't quicken well enough and ended finishing 4th, after going off a well supported 5/1.

Come And Go was also nicely backed, starting at 4/1. Rousted along early, he was out the back before making late ground but was never going to get near the leaders, finishing 5th.

Then came Handicraft, another we got the price with, starting at 13/2. She was there with every chance but was too one paced and came 5th.

Onto today and we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.55 Warwick Commache Queen 1pt 9/2 generally 5/1 Lads/Coral/Boyle&others
5.00 Warwick Steelcut 1pt 8/1 generally 9/1 Lads/Totesport
9.05 Epsom Baldemar 1pt 6/1 generally 7/1 Hills/Skybet/Betfred/Stan James

Commache Queen went off at 7/2 but raced far too keenly early on, which has been a bit of a feature for our selections of late, and she faded late on.

Steelcut started at 8/1 and after racing well off the pace early on, made ground up just over a furlong out but was never really going to get to the leaders.

And then came Baldemar, who raced prominently at Epsom tonight, and then quickened into the lead, staying on well all the way to the line to win by half a length. A pleasing end to the day. Annoyingly there was a 15p R4 deduction so the 7/1 became 5.95/1, although we still had the price there, with the SP at 5/1.

Summary of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Wednesday 6th July 2011:

Danceintothelight, 4th/10, 8/1 --- 5/1
Come And Go, 5th/11, 7/1 --- 4/1
Handicraft, 5th/12, 9/1 --- 13/2

Thursday 7th July 2011:

Commache Queen, 6th/8, 5/1 --- 7/2
Steelcut, 4th/10, 8/1 --- 8/1
Baldemar, 1st/8, 5.95/1 --- 5/1

So six bets in over the course of two days, and a profit of 0.95pts, July just beginning to turn a little after Tuesday's winner as well. All pretty steady, hopefully we'll have an explosive day of profit soon.

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Closed to New Members

First of all, in case you are not yet aware, we have closed our membership to all new subscribers.

We have taken this decision to help protect prices for our current members. If you would like to join the service, please contact us and let us know and we will put you on our waiting list.

In the meantime, let's update our results from the last couple of days, a mixed picture, but we had a nice winner today.

Yesterday we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.00 Brighton My Learned Friend 1pt 11/2 generally 6/1 Bet365/Stan James
3.45 Newton Abbot Troy Tempest 1pt 9/2 generally 5/1 Coral/Bluesq/SportingBet
4.45 Newton Abbot Mrs Peacock 2pt 14/1 generally

None of these made the frame.

My Learned Friend came 6th and never really got involved, after drifting to 8/1sp.

Troy Tempest looked to be getting into it, but didn't pick up when push came to shove, and he finished a well beaten 7th after being further supported into 4/1.

Mrs Peacock looked to be a big player for a good while, prominent and going nicely until she was asked to go on and throw down a real challenge, at which point she downed tools and was readily passed, ending up pulling up. A 7/2 shot pulled out which gave the SP market a slightly uneven look but still we got some decent value here, with Norma Trowmey's 6yo going off at 5/1.

Then today we had a couple at Pontefract:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

3.00 Ponte King Kurt 1pt 11-2 general. 13-2 Lads(BOG) S James
3.30 Ponte Lady Del Sol 1pt 5-1 Lads, B365 (BOG) Tote, S James, Coral

King Kurt was a very ready winner, given a lovely ride by Philip Makin, he raced prominently off a steady pace and skipped clear when asked to go and win. Well clear of the field going into final furlong, he won by 3 1/2 lengths in the end, after starting at 6/1. Hopefully plenty of our members got the 13/2 with Lads and S James but as the prices were available for just a few minutes we'll mark him up as a 6/1 winner for our records.

Then came Lady Del Sol half an hour later to see if we could fire in a quick fire double. Sadly not to be, she was squeezed for room at one stage and had to look for a run, but was never really looking a likely winner, finishing well back in the end, after starting at 9/2.

Confirmation of results with prices (advised --- SP):

Monday 4th July 2011:

My Learned Friend, 6th/9, 11/2 --- 8/1
Troy Tempest, 7th/15, 9/2 --- 4/1
Mrs Peacock, PU/7, 14/1 --- 5/1

Tuesday 5th July 2011:

King Kurt, 1st/11, 6/1 --- 6/1
Lady Del Sol, 9th/10, 5/1 --- 9/2

Nice to get July off the mark today then, it's not been a great start to the month but as we know things can spin around very quickly so hopefully we'll build on today in the next few days.

Sunday, 3 July 2011

What a difference a neck makes

What a difference a neck makes, as someone once almost sang.. The Snail put in a terrific performance for us today at Market Rasen (2pt win @16/1) but went down by a neck, well clear of the third. It leaves the month still winless for us - not a good start to July, but these things can turn so quickly.

So let's have a look back at what's happened so far, starting on Friday.

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)

3.35 Don Saint Pierre 1pt 11-2 gen BOG (6-1 Lads, Boyle (BOG), Sky.)
4.10 Don Mey Blossom 1pt 6-1 gen BOG (7-1 Lads, 13-2 P PowerBOG )
5.15 Don Aegean Destiny 1pt 5-1 gen BOG

Saint Pierre went off at 11/2 and was well beaten.

Mey Blossom faired even worse, detached at one stage though made late headway on the field, but still finished last after starting at 6/1.

Aegean Destiny (SP 7/2) looked to have a decent shout a couple of furlongs from home but her run flattened out.

So a poor start to the month and onto Saturday we went:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
3.50 Leicester Too Many Questions 2pt 12/1 Bet365 14/1 Hills/Boyle 16/1 Bluesq
4.50 Sandown Aerial Acclaim 1pt 6/1 general BOG 7/1 Lads
8.10 Nottingham Standpoint 1pt 6/1 general BOG 13/2 VC Lads

Too Many Questions was the subject of big support in the morning, so much so that the prices we sent out weren't easy to get hold of, although 12/1 was around for a good few minutes. We're officially marking him as a 10/1 selection BOG, and he drifted to 12/1 at the off after being weak on course. All completely academic in the end anyway, he appeared not to be inconvenienced by the shambles of the flip start but pulled far too hard in the lead and although at one stage just for a moment looked to settle and get into a stride the early exertions soon took their toll and she faded away.

Aerial Acclaim was left at the start and had to thread his way through a wall of horses to have any chance, getting blocked for a run at least twice. He finished really strongly to go down by just over a length, after starting at 13/2, perhaps one that got away.

Then came Standpoint at Nottingham, who had a tardy start but soon got himself in contention and looked to have every chance a couple of furlongs from home, going really nicely and then powering clear for a moment, trading as low as 1.34 in running. But out of the pack came Art Scholar to surge past and leave us 4pts down for the day. Standpoint went off at 4/1, and finished well clear of third, a decent effort.

On to today and we had:

TIME COURSE SELECTION 1pt/2pt win Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
2.30 Market Rasen Valantino Oyster 1pt 10/1 generally 11/1 Lads/Bet365
3.30 Market Rasen The Snail 2pt 16/1 generally 20/1 Lads/Stan James
4.30 Market Rasen Chorizo 1pt 6/1 generally 13/2 Bet365 7/1 Hills

Valantino Oyster continued to be supported down to 7/1 at the off, but just never remotely jumped well enough to get involved.

Then came The Snail who put in an absolute blinder for us and just missed out on a really big return. He drifted on course to 12/1 after refusing at one stage to leave the paddock, and then had to be kept away from the others at the start, all very well handled by his jock Adam Wedge. In the race though he did little wrong, jumping really well and looking a very likely winner for a large part of the contest. One more decent jump at the last would have probably won it for him, as he was upsides the eventual winner and seemingly going the better, but he clattered it hard, lost momentum and with it his chance - although it did again look like he'd stay on past the winner in the closing stages. Not to be though, and he went down by a neck, after trading at 1.36 at one stage.

It then felt kind of inevitable somehow that that was our big chance of a return gone today, and so it proved with Chorizo fading out of things to finish well beaten, having tried to being in the front rank for much of the contest. He started at 11/2.

Friday July 1st 2011

Saint Pierre, 8th/11, 6/1 --- 11/2
Mey Blossom, 9th/9, 7/1 --- 6/1
Aegean Destiny, 5th/8, 5/1 --- 7/2

Saturday July 2nd 2011

Too Many Questions, 10th/11, 10/1 --- 12/1
Aerial Acclaim, 3rd/12, 7/1 --- 6/1
Standpoint, 2nd/9, 13/2 --- 4/1

Sunday July 3rd 2011

Valantino Oyster, 12th/15, 10/1 --- 7/1
The Snail, 2nd/12, 16/1 --- 12/1
Chorizo, 6th/8, 7/1 --- 11/2

So a poor start to July although if things had gone slightly differently we could have been sitting with a big profit. A funny old game this and we look forward to seeing what tomorrow brings!

Friday, 1 July 2011

June Analysis

Not a great start to July today, with three selections missing the target. We'll try to update results from today tomorrow night, or if not certainly a full review on Sunday.

For now let's look back at the month of June. It was a fairly frustrating month all told, every time we seemed to be picking up a slight head of steam things were pegged back. In the first part of the month we had many second placed finishes, and ended with 14 in all from our 75 picks (nearly one in five). Still, despite the difficulties we still managed a profit, the fifth month in a row which we've achieved that.

So let's take a look at the figures.

Bets: 75
Wins: 10 (13.33%)
2nds: 14 (18.66%)
3rds: 5 (6.66%)
Placed total: 29 (38.67%)
Average odds taken: 7.95/1 (exactly the same as last month!)
Average SP: 6.91/1
Average win odds: 7.37/1
Profit/Loss: +2.7pts
Return On Investment: +3.33%

This month we had six two point selections, none of which won, including two which finished second at 16/1 and 14/1. Small margins! Our "edge" (strike rate over required strike rate at the odds) was actually 11.57%, but because of the 2pt selections losing our ROI reduces to just +3.3%. We have had lots of success from our two point selections in the last few months so no reason to worry about that at all.

The million dollar question - did we beat SP - is a conclusive yes, which is the single most important stat of all. To beat it by 1.04pts on average with every selection is very pleasing.

Our win rate dropped just below our target 15% - at 13.33% - but one more win would have pushed it to a shade under 15% and two more wins would have pushed us to 16% - again those small margins!

As we're half the year in (how quickly does time fly) - it feels like a good time to relay the above stats into year to date figures so far so here they are:

Bets: 425
Wins: 63 (14.82%)
2nds: 54 (12.71%)
3rds: 42 (9.88%)
Placed total: 159 (37.41%)
Average odds taken: 7.94/1
Average SP: 7.025/1
Average win odds: 8.04/1
Profit/Loss: +205.3pts
Return On Investment: +43.59%

A very good six months so far, and as long as we keep beating those SPs on a consistent basis then there should be no reason why things shouldn't continue to progress.

Let's see what July brings!

Thanks for reading, have a great weekend.