Tuesday, 11 March 2014

Our STUNNING Cheltenham record

So we're here, the eve of another Festival and we can't wait!!!

Our record at Cheltenham over the last couple of years has been absolutely superb, with two massive priced winners in each of the last two years from just eight selections.

They were - Rajdhani Express last year, at 25/1 in the Novice Handicap chase on the opening day, and then the year before Son of Flicka, also at 25/1, in the Coral Cup.

Safe to say we will be doing everything we can to tickle out another massive priced winner this year.

Almost incredibly, you can get our Cheltenham Festival picks for FREE by signing up to our free 30 day trial.

Head to http://www.themarketexaminer.co.uk/join-nowpage/ to sign up.

All the best for a brilliant four days, let's hope we can all come out on top.

Sunday, 2 February 2014

About to enter our "golden" period & our free trial is still available

Exciting times at TME towers as we begin what has been for the last few years our best few months of the year.

Here are the stats for the 20 months from February - June for 2010-2013 (figures taken directly from racingproofing.com)

Bets: 1176
Stakes: 1294
Profit: +331.29pts
ROI: +25.6%

Of these 20 months, 15 have ended in profit.

We're as certain as we can be that it's more than just coincidence, and the fact that every year this four month spell, for each of the last four years, has returned a profit is certainly cause for optimism.

The reasons? Well these are some of our theories:

  • Ground generally speaking settles down
  • Jumpers who have been campaigned on the wrong ground improving when things get quicker
  • We have a particularly good record at the Cheltenham festival
  • Well handicapped types on the flat who have improved for a winter behind them
  • Exciting two year olds are expected to impress and duly deliver

As for this year, we moved into profit for this particular Feb-June period today, after Broughton won today very easily at Musselburgh for us.

We're still offering our completely free 30 day trial - which if you wish to continue turns into a subscription of just £14.99/month. There could be no better time to get involved, click here for more and we look forward to hopefully welcoming you soon.

Sunday, 26 January 2014

Positive steps & FREE 30 day trial

Since November 2013, we have been firing out our selections an hour earlier than previously, around 10am rather than 11am.

The results, since that change took place, are as follows:

Selections: 86
Wins: 14
Strike Rate: 16.28%
Average odds: 7.53/1
Average win odds: 7.04/1
Edge/ROI: +14.63%
Profit/Loss: +12.58pts

In other words, subscribers following our selections at just £15 a point would be sitting with a decent £188.70 profit since November 1st.

Our latest winner was our only selection on Saturday, Lac Fontana, who won the last at Cheltenham easily, advised at 7/1.

Over such a relatively short space of time, actual results can of course be a little misleading. Much more important, is whether we are beating SP in greater amounts than previously - one of the main reasons behind going to an earlier start time. We're delighted to say the answer is yes.

Selections have been advised at an average of 7.53/1 - and the SP has been an average of just 5.61/1. Also, just 18 selections have gone off at a bigger priced than advised. Early days of course, but highly highly encouraging, because as we know if keep locking in those prices, the profits will take care of themselves. BSP is also being comfortably bettered, with that average sitting at 6.42/1, boosted by two or three big drifters.

To mark these very positive steps, we have decided to introduce for a limited time a brilliant offer - a completely free 30 day trial so you can see for yourself how things are going for us. Should you wish to continue with us, the subscription will turn into a monthly subscription of just £14.99.

You've really nothing to lose, of course you don't even have to place the bets yourself for the 30 days, just sit back and watch how we get on. We're confident you'll be pleased with what you see - hopefully good returns but at the very least a regular edge borne out from grabbing those early moves early enough to lock in the value. If we get the value, the winners will ultimately take care of themselves.

Click here to take advantage of the 30 day free trial.

Thursday, 28 November 2013

Superb 20/1 winner

A terrific result today with Sylvan Legend doing the business in grand style after being put up at a massive 20/1 this morning. Caroline Keevil's 5yo went off as short as 4/1, a real old fashioned gamble, congratulations to connections. Always prominent, he was asked for an effort three out, and just looked like he might be tapped for toe, but he stayed on well and took the lead at the last and powerfully kept the 11/8 fav at bay in second, winning by three quarters of a length.

This month we have seen are fair share of short-priced in-running efforts getting turned over, since our last update we've seen 1.31, 1.55 and 1.51 shots all beaten, adding to, earlier in the month losers having been as short as 1.54 and 1.18, so when Sylvan Legend was being asked to get on and win his race we were half fearing the worst, but credit to him he kept galloping all the way to the line. There should be more to come.

Other notable performers since our last update, Pod was beaten a short-head at Taunton, while Elite Beneficial went down by half a length.

The performance of our "of interests" are also worthy of a mention, they've been winning regularly (another one today, at an advised price of 2/1). This was a good email we received from a new subscriber the Saturday just gone, after three mentions out of three won at advised prices of 7/1, 7/2 and 7/1.

"Excellent 2nd day did a small £2 patent on your 3 of interest !! £739 retuned well done can't wait for your proper selections 

Many Thanks"

Great to hear, and this isn't the first time that our mentions have hit some decent returns for those who like to play their multiples. It also makes us think that we have perhaps tightened our criteria too hard, to the detriment of our long-term results. This could change going forward, we're researching this issue. 

So here are the results since our last update:

Date
Course
Selection
Result
Lowest in-running price
Advised Price
SP
14/11/2013
Taunton
Pod
2/8
1.55
9
6
15/11/2013
Newcastle
Dingo Bay
'F/6
2.58
7.5
5.5
18/11/2013
Plumpton
Carpincho
'3/7
1.5
7
5.5
20/11/2013
Warwick
Elite Beneficial
'2/6
1.31
6.5
3.5
21/11/2013
Market Rasen
Detour Ahead
'3/6
3
6
5
22/11/2013
Ffos Las
Raduis Bleu
'3/4
3.2
4
3.75
24/11/2013
Exeter
Notarfbad
'3/8
2.56
5.5
4
27/11/2013
Fontwell Park
Whipcrackaway
'4/8
10
7.5
9
28/11/2013
Taunton
Gingers Reflection
'6/7
9.8
19
11
28/11/2013
Taunton
Sylvan Legend
'1/14
n/a
21
5
20/1 winners won't come along every day, but at that sort of price they don't need to, but let's hope we can follow up with another winner or two tomorrow.

Wednesday, 13 November 2013

Results Update

Two winners since our last results update, from eight selections, and two others placed including a second which traded at 1.18.

Charlie Bucket at Hexham, and Buxom at Huntingdon yesterday were our winners, leaving us nicely in profit for the month by 7.5pts.

It was Charlie Bucket's first win at the 26th time of asking, at the age of 10, which again proved how accurate market support can be for even those horses which have shown little form previously (at least certainly for around 18 months in this case).

Buxom had previously won twice in bumpers, and this was the Jamie Snowden 6yo's first win over timber. Given a cracking ride by Brendan Powell Jr he led from fairly early in the contest and while challengers seemed to be lining up, was driven out all the way to win in the end fairly comfortably by a length.

Wychwoods Brook traded at shorter than 1/5 but wasn't helped by stumbling a couple of fences from home and always was just held by the winner, going down by just over a length.

Things going well, and we look forward to tomorrow.


Date
Course
Selection
Result
Lowest In-Running Price
Advised Price
SP
06/11/2013
Warwick
Tony Dinozzo
5th/8
7
10
9
07/11/2013
Musselburgh
Bogside
4th/9
6
5
5.5
08/11/2013
Hexham
Charlie Bucket
1st/10
n/a
8.5
6
09/11/2013
Wincanton
Mister Snowball
6th/8
4
10
5
10/11/2013
Ffos Las
Wychwoods Brook
2nd/8
1.18
7
4.33
11/11/2013
Southwell
Midnight Choice
3rd/6
2.94
8
6
11/11/2013
Carlisle
Wicklow Lad
3rd/8
7.4
7
9
12/11/2013
Huntingdon
Buxom
1st/5
n/a
5.5
4

Monday, 4 November 2013

Results Update

Apart from a poor effort from a big priced 2yo in a maiden at Newmarket, we've made a decent start since selections fired up again. Four of our five picks have gone off nicely shorter than advised we've had one good winner, Global Power (11/2) at Carlisle yesterday and a couple of placed efforts for those who like to play each-way.

A decent start should have become an excellent start with Bobbits Way at Plumpton today, who was taking along very nicely, going along much the better in the field, when he was carried out by the eventual winner as they by-passed the third from home. Ridiculous course design, with Tom O'Brien having no chance of getting back on the track despite his best intentions. Some bookies (Paddy Power, for example) issued refunds. At least Tom didn't get a ban which would have been incredibly harsh.

Still at least they're running well in the main, and the earlier selection dispatch feels like it's going well. Enough movement for us to get interested but with enough juice left for us to make the most of it. It actually feels similar to how the markets used to be at around 11am, whether that's just perception I'm not sure but we're definitely feeling very positive about the switch at present. If we keep chiseling away, getting the prices we need, we just need around 14% of picks (historical levels) to win for all to be good. The strike rate is near enough guaranteed over time, it's just the prices we need which will bring the profits.

Summary of results:



Date
Course
Selection
Result
Lowest in-running price
Advised Price
SP
1/11/2013
Newmarket
Brigliadoro
8/10
32
19
21
1/11/2013
Uttoxeter
Lough Coi
2/7
6.2
13
6
2/11/2013
Ayr
Un Guet Apens
3/8
3.65
7
5.5
    3/11/2013
Carlisle
Global Power
1/8
n/a
6.5
4
4/11/2013
Plumpton
Bobbits Way
CO/6
1.54
10
8