Sunday 28 July 2013

Results Update

Three selections from the 12 which have run since our last update, hitting in-running lows of 1.05, 1.37 and 1.12 have been the recent high/low points, depending on your take on things!

De Faoithesdream, Uprise and Crucis Abbey the horses in question, at advised prices of 5/1, 6/1 and 7/1 respectively.

De Faoithesdream was clear approaching the last at Newton Abbot but made a hash of the final jump, and his jock lost his irons for a couple of strides and he was done near the line.

George Margarson's Uprise came with what looked like potentially a winning run with a burst of acceleration at Bath, but he just had to check for a stride which cost him all chance and he went down in third, although the winner was not for stopping.

Similarly Crucis Abbey came with another really good looking charge on Thursday at Bath but the leader found some reserves of energy to repel the challenge.

A few poor performances in there too in particular the two which didn't get any lower in-running thn advised at in the morning (nine others did, another one matched the price).

By the way, it may be of some interest to know that of the 149 selections of ours who have run at least once since being picks for us this year, 26 have won next time out - that's a strike-rate of 17.45% at an average BSP of 16.68. That's a level stakes profit of 25.27pts (17.85pts with 5% commission).

Backing just those which go off at 9/1 or shorter at BSP next time - increases the strike rate to 30.38% - 24 wins from 79 bets. That's a profit at BSP of 49.77pts (or 44.52pts with 5% commission).

This isn't the first time this has appeared as a trend and the case is growing ever stronger to follow our selections next time, even more so when relatively well fancied in the market.

Anyway here's the latest results:

Date
Course
Selection
Result
Lowest in-running price
Advised Price
SP
15/07/2013
Newton Abbot
De Faoithesdream
'2/6
1.05
6
3.5
16/07/2013
Beverley
Daneside
'6/7
7
7
8
18/07/2013
Brighton
Uprise
'3/4
1.37
7
3.75
20/07/2013
Market Rasen
Tough Talkin Man
'3/5
3.5
5.5
4
20/07/2013
Haydock Park
Royal Peculiar
'6/8
5.1
8
6
21/07/2013
Newton Abbot
Hazeldene
'6/6
2.68
6
4
22/07/2013
Beverley
Secret Empress
'2/6
8.2
9
13
23/07/2013
Bangor-on-Dee
Cocoa Key
'5/6
7.2
10
6.5
24/07/2013
Worcester
Safe Investment
'5/10
8
10
8
25/07/2013
Sandown Park
Drive On
'4/4
8
6
8
25/07/2013
Bath
Crucis Abbey
'2/9
1.12
8
9
25/07/2013
Doncaster
Laylas Dancer
'5/6
11
7.5
11

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