Monday, 4 November 2013

Results Update

Apart from a poor effort from a big priced 2yo in a maiden at Newmarket, we've made a decent start since selections fired up again. Four of our five picks have gone off nicely shorter than advised we've had one good winner, Global Power (11/2) at Carlisle yesterday and a couple of placed efforts for those who like to play each-way.

A decent start should have become an excellent start with Bobbits Way at Plumpton today, who was taking along very nicely, going along much the better in the field, when he was carried out by the eventual winner as they by-passed the third from home. Ridiculous course design, with Tom O'Brien having no chance of getting back on the track despite his best intentions. Some bookies (Paddy Power, for example) issued refunds. At least Tom didn't get a ban which would have been incredibly harsh.

Still at least they're running well in the main, and the earlier selection dispatch feels like it's going well. Enough movement for us to get interested but with enough juice left for us to make the most of it. It actually feels similar to how the markets used to be at around 11am, whether that's just perception I'm not sure but we're definitely feeling very positive about the switch at present. If we keep chiseling away, getting the prices we need, we just need around 14% of picks (historical levels) to win for all to be good. The strike rate is near enough guaranteed over time, it's just the prices we need which will bring the profits.

Summary of results:



Date
Course
Selection
Result
Lowest in-running price
Advised Price
SP
1/11/2013
Newmarket
Brigliadoro
8/10
32
19
21
1/11/2013
Uttoxeter
Lough Coi
2/7
6.2
13
6
2/11/2013
Ayr
Un Guet Apens
3/8
3.65
7
5.5
    3/11/2013
Carlisle
Global Power
1/8
n/a
6.5
4
4/11/2013
Plumpton
Bobbits Way
CO/6
1.54
10
8

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