Monday, 15 June 2009

Weekly Update

Just time for a quick weekly update before I dash off to work:

Monday 8th June - Sunday 14th June.

26 bets
4 wins (15.38%)
7 placed (26.8%)
Level stakes result: -0.66pts

Things slowing down after a sensational run, but still an excellent month so far.

Sunday, 14 June 2009

just one today

just one , just in time to post,

3.50 stratford, otantique, 8-1 will hill

Bit of a nothing sort of day, with Otantique running reasonably but only finishing third. Thanks to my old man for getting the bet on, making sure the value was had again.

Here's confirmation:

Otantique, 3rd, 5/1sp

Tomorrow/today

Just to say I'm afraid I'm going to have virtually no chance of putting the selections up here before racing tomorrow.

Even getting the bets on at all will be a struggle as I'm out for the day.

As ever, will do my best though!

Saturday, 13 June 2009

Three today two double stakes

Relatively quiet Saturday, with three selections. Short Cut is being backed like mad at the moment, and it was a race to get the 10/1.

Good luck to:

Victorian Art Bath 14:15 5/1 stan james double stake

Lambourn Genie Bath 15:55 11/2 sporting bet

Short Cut Leicester 21:10 10/1 boylesports double


Well the day started badly with Victorian Art beaten a head, Lambour Genie then drifted before running abysmally and then the most disappointing display of them all from Short Cut. I know the horse ran very freely but why Seb Sanders contstantly had to battle with it and then give him a couple of sharp pulls is beyond me. It was a 6 furlong race for God's sake, just let the horse run. Am no expert but feel he wasn't given a hope of winning.

Anyway nice to see the double stakers start at much lower price than backed at, and here's confirmation of results with sps.

Victorian Art, 2nd, 3/1

Lambourn Genie, 8th, 7/1

Short Cut Leicester, 9th, 5/1

Friday, 12 June 2009

Four today two double stakes

We move on today with an interesting looking day. A couple of others were close to being selections but it's good luck to:

Rockfella Sandown 16:55 12/1 will hill

Grandad Bill York 17:05 15/2 will hill

Plumage Chepstow 20:45 15/2 will hill DOUBLE

Dubai Legend Goodwood 21:05 12/1 bet365 DOUBLE

Will try to update properly later, but this a blank day unforunately with Grandad Bill coming closest in 2nd.

Confirmation of results:

Rockfella, 5th, 6/1

Grandad Bill, 2nd, 13/2

Plumage, 8th, 9/2

Dubai Legend, 7th, 15/2

Interesting thoughts on market moves

I hope Dave Nevison doesn't mind me taking a little extract from his very decent book No Easy Money - A Gambler's Diary ( http://www.amazon.co.uk/No-Easy-Money-Gamblers-Diary/dp/1905156480/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1244794758&sr=8-1)

In it there are a couple of interesting paragraphs on his thoughts on market movers. It's funny that there seems to be a pretty long held belief among some racing enthusiasts that people who follow the money (i.e sheep/lemmings etc) will be up against it to win over time.

Anyway in his book Dave appears to have at one time held this view, but is now changing his mind.

P328

"My approach to fixed-odds betting still works but, increasingly, I think I need to adjust it, and in a way that is difficult for me. Although I've got only a limited amonut of research to back this up, I believe that market movements are now more significant than they used to be and that I have made less money thank I could have done recently because I have continued to put my tissue before the market. As I have suggested earlier, I should probably give more weight to late changes in market sentiment and keep backing horses when they pass through my tissue rice in a positive direction, while resisting the temptation to back those moving through my tissue price in a negative direction. I don't find that easy, because it involves reshaping my concept of value, and I am in a transistion phase with it."

I find it all quite interesting anyway, although I've found that this importance in the of the market to have been in place for a few years now.

Right better get off to work. Here's to another decent day ahead.

Thursday, 11 June 2009

Wow - TEN today - two with double stakes

Back with a bang today after yesterday's day off.

Several being very nicely backed, others being nibbled out in a decent way as well.

It's good luck to:

Peking Prince Newbury 14:10 8/1 boylesports

Midnight Cruiser Nottingham 15:00 12/1 bet365

Getcarter Newbury 16:25 4/1 will hill

Style Icon Yarmouth 16:35 5/1 bet365

Fisadara Nottingham 16:45 12/1 sporting bet

Iceman George Newbury 17:25 8/1 ladbrokes

Spiritofthewest Haydock 19:50 10/1 bet365

Festive Chimes Uttoxeter 20:40 8/1 will hill

Bold Cross Haydock 20:50 5/1 will hill double stake

Peacefull Waters Fontwell 21:00 7/1 betfred double stake

Well it had the possibility of carnage, but a very pleasing day today with around 15pts added to the tally! Three winners - and just a bit of a shame that there were so many withdrawals in the Bold Cross race because he absolutely hacked up. Anyway another good day, and this excellent run doesn't seem to be ending just yet!

Ok here's confirmation:

Peking Prince, 1st, 10/1 sp (best odds guaranteed in play)

Midnight Cruiser, 3rd, 12/1

Getcarter, 6th, 11/4

Style Icon, 5th, 11/2

Fisadara, 8th, 9/1

Iceman George, 1st, 6/1

Spiritofthewest, 7th, 9/2

Festive Chimes, PU, 13/2

Bold Cross, 1st, 13/8 (I get paid 9/4 by Will Hill)

Peacefull Waters, PU, 8/1

Wednesday, 10 June 2009

No selections today

Very unusual by recent standards, but no horses today tick enough boxes and so we have no runners today.

Tuesday, 9 June 2009

Four today - with three double stakes

Could be quite an explosive day today, with just four selections, but three of them strong selections.

Good luck to:

Honimiere Redcar 15:00 6/1 coral double stake

Darfour Redcar 17:45 6/1 bet365 double stake

Prey Bird Southwell 18:30 10/1 betfred double stake

To Arms Southwell 20:00 9/2 Will Hill

Well a blank today, Prey Bird was very nicely backed but then jumped poorly before unseating his rider. Otherwise nothing much to comment on apart from roll on tomorrow!

Here's confirmation

Honimiere, 4th, 8/1sp

Darfour NR

Prey Bird, UR, 11/2

To Arms, 3rd, 11/4
Prey Bird,

Monday, 8 June 2009

Weekly Update

Monday June 1st 2009 - Sunday June 7th 2009

This was a sensational week, unquestionably the best since the plan began.

Plenty of big priced winners including at 10/1, 11/1, 16/1 and 25/1(r4 15pded).

My personal bank went from £273.60 to £1064.10, with the progressive staking really kicking in in good style, and the "double stake" system worked well too with a couple of winners. It meant my bets went from £5.95 at the start of last Monday, to £21.72 at the start of this week.

But to level stakes, things were still very impressive as well.

Bets: 33
Wins: 9 (27.27%)
Placed: 6 (18.18%)
Level stakes profit: 78.25pts
Roi: 237.12%

Clearly things can't possible continue in this spectacular way but regardless of what happens it means my bank is finally on a decent level to really go to war with.

Six today - one double stake

Really frustrating morning because of work. Charging around like a blue ar*e fly while trying to get my bets on, and had to rely on Betfair. Greedily looked for a half a point extra on some of these and got my fingers burnt two hours later when a couple hadn't been matched and the price continued to crumble.

Still, lesson learnt, if I'm out and about and have to get on via Betfair, just take whatever back price is available. Liquidity was a problem today as well though, even at the relatively small stakes I'm trying to get on.

Anyway the horses don't know the behind the scenes struggles of course so good luck to:

(Betfair odds except where indicated)

Tank Buster - Newton Abbot 4.00, 7.2

Generous Lad - Folkestone 4.15 4/1 Will Hill

Keelong - Pontefract 7.20 11.5

Pippabrook Gold - Windsor 8.30 6/1 Ladbrokes (double stake)

He's A Humbug - Pontefract 8.50 13.5

Commander Wish - Pontefract 9.20 18

Tank Buster started the day in good style winning the first at 5.84/1 after betfair charges. Following that a bit of close but no cigar sort of day, with Commander Wish running a fine race in the last at 17/1 but could only finish third. Delighted he could only stay on into third actually otherwise I'd be pretty annoyed with the winner "bursting the stalls" in the manner he did. He's a Humbug was a non runner meaning a slight profit on the day.

Here's confirmation:

Tank Buster, 1st, 4/1sp

Generous Lad, 3rd, 100/30

Keelong, 10th, 14/1

Pippabrook Gold, 12th, 11/2

He's A Humbug - NR

Commander Wish, 3rd, 20/1

Sunday, 7 June 2009

Three today

Managed to update after all - just leaving now!

Two horses in one race today, which I normally don't like doing but at 25/1 Golden Prospect's worth a dabble.

Good luck to:

Carmenero Brighton 15:00 9/2 will hill

Golden Prospect Brighton 15:00, 25/1 bet365

Imperium Brighton 16:30 10/1 will hill

Bet365 are getting a real hammering at the moment, and another great day today to seal a top week, with Golden Prospect doing the business in grand style! Unfortunately there was a 15p R4 deduction to the winnings, but no grumbling here!

Here's confirmation:

Carmenero, 4th, 4/1

Golden Prospect, 1st, 8/1

Imperium, 6th, 6/1

Will try to post a weekly update later, but may have to wait until tomorrow.

Saturday, 6 June 2009

Four today

Four runners today, none of them double stakers, although some fancy prices about so if any of these win it'll be a decent day.

Good luck to:

North Central Musselburgh 14:20 8/1 totesport

Badiat Alzaman Epsom 14:25 25/1 skybet

Blazing Heights Musselburgh 16:05 10/1 bluesquare

Van Bossed Epsom 17:05 10/1 ladbrokes

Really poor day today, with none of the runners looking like winning at any stage and also two of the biggest drifters I've seen of any selection, certainly in the last 12 months or so. I suppose it was to be expected after what's been a very good week so far, but always annoying!

Here's confirmation:

North Central, 6th, 16/1

Badiat Alzaman, 5th, 16/1

Blazing Heights, 12th, 14/1

Van Bossed Epsom, 15th, 7/1

Will be in the car tomorrow morning/afternoon and then at a family Christening so will find it tough to update here before racing I'm afraid, will try though.

Friday, 5 June 2009

Four today

A relatively quiet day today after a busy period, and no "double stakers" in sight.

All the same nice market moves we're jumping on board with.

Good luck to:

Novellen Lad Catterick 15:35 9/2 sporting bet

Pegasus Lad Epsom 17:25 16/1 will hill

Kildare Sun Doncaster 19:40 7/1 totesport

Can Can Star Doncaster 20:15 7/1 bet365

Will update properly tomorrow, but just the one winner today, the first at 9/2 which meant a 1.5pt profit on the day. A few weeks ago for me that would have meant 3 or 4 quid, now it's about £23, shows what happens when the bank grows a bit! Hopefully a decent weekend to look forward to as well.

Just to catch up confirmation of these results with sps:

Novellen Lad, 1st, 9/4sp

Pegasus Lad, 11th, 14/1

Kildare Sun, 3rd, 4/1

Can Can Star, 8th, 11/2

Thursday, 4 June 2009

Six today - two double stakes

Bit later posting than normal beacause of work, but six today to look forward to being nicely backed.

Good luck to:

Mickey Pearce, Newton Abbot 2.30 12/1 Totesport

Bourse, Hamilton, 3.40 8/1 Bet365

Brave Echo, Sandown 7.15 4/1 Coral

Ellemujie, Sandown 7.50, 13/2 Sporting Bet

What's Up Doc, Uttoxeter 8.00, 10/1 Bet365 double stake

Maria Antonia, Uttoxeter 8.35 ,9/2 Paddy Power double stake

A couple of double stake defeats ensured a slight losing day, despite a nice 13/2 winner, but both started shorter than backed and ended up placed. Mickey Pearce was well beaten in the first but still ran on to finish second.

Here's confirmation:

Mickey Pearce, 2nd, 8/1

Bourse, 8th, 6/1

Brave Echo, 3rd, 9/2

Ellemujie, 1st, 7/2

What's Up Doc, 3rd, 15/2

Maria Antonia, 2nd, 10/3

Wednesday, 3 June 2009

Big day - seven runners with three double stakers

Potential for big profits today, while a wipe out would be pretty nasty too.

If Absolute Shambles wins the first then that would be fantastic and another afterwards a complete bonus!

Anyway good luck to:

Absolute Shambles Fontwell 14:30 16/1 bet365 double stake

Freddys Star Fontwell 15:00 10/1 totesport

Beehawk Fontwell 15:30 6/1 bet365 double stake

Blazing Heights Ayr 15:50 10/1 bet365

At A Great Rate Nottingham 16:40 11/2 sporting bet double stake

Meydan Groove Ayr 16:50 10/1 will hill

Benandonner Ripon 20:10 13/2 coral


What a week this is so far, with Absolute Shambles performing heroics to win the first and land a very nice gamble. Incredibly I won more in that single race (£294.74) than I had in my betting bank around 20 bets ago! Just so pleased I brought in the "double staker" system. Benandonner's win in the last capped off a brilliant day, and the others were well backed too - in particular Maydan Groove who ran no race at all and even saw a £6k bet on track at 9/2 according to the sporting life website.

My bets are now £15.28 per selection.

Here's confirmation of today:

Absolute Shambles, 1st, 8/1sp

Freddys Star, 6th, 7/1

Beehawk, 4th, 8/1

Blazing Heights NR

At A Great Rate, 4th, 7/2

Meydan Groove Ayr, 8th, 9/2

Benandonner Ripon, 1st, 6/1

Tuesday, 2 June 2009

Four today

On we press with four today, and one double staker.

Diamond Lass Ripon 15:00 11/2 bet365

Fastnet Storm Ripon 16:00 9/2 coral

Esme Rides A Gaine Sedgefield 20:35 9/1 will hill double stake

Mefraas Folkestone 20:50 7/2 ladbrokes

Another profitable day, but only by half a point after Esme Rides A Gaine got going a mile too late to finish a well beaten 5th and Mefraas was beaten a head when it looked like he was going to win a few yards from the line. Annoyingly, it was the second day running where the majority of selections drifted a little by the off.

Anyway another 1/2 a point to add to the tally.

Here's confirmation:

Diamond Lass, 5th, 13/2

Fastnet Storm, 1st, 4/1

Esme Rides A Gaine, 5th, 11/1

Mefraas, 2nd, 4/1

Monday, 1 June 2009

Marvellous May

May was a good month. It had a slowish start but picked up after a few days and kept driving forwards.

My own bank, with it's slightly odd staking plan saw a boost of just over 60%, which is actually less than I had in April (63.8%) because of reduced stakes kicked in half way through the month, but because of the increased starting stake saw returns almost double of that in April (if that makes any sense!).

May:
122 bets
23 wins (18.85%)
25 placed (20.49%)
Level stakes profit: 37.08pts
ROI: 30.39%

Weekly Update

Just to update the last week's results:

Runners 29
Winners 6 (20.7%)
Placed 5 (17.2%)
Level stakes profit: +14pts

Seven runners today, two double stakers

A very busy day today with a flurry of runners throughout the afternoon and then this evening. Two double stakers to look forward tonight as well. Let's hope June can start in decent shape!

Good luck to:

Haulage Lady Carlisle 15:15 12/1 bet365

Ingleby Princess Carlisle 15:45 13/2 paddy power

Stonehaugh Carlisle 16:45 10/1 bet365

Carleton Windsor 19:25 Sporting bet 4/1

Ruud Revenge Thirsk 20:10 9/2 will hill double stake

Toy Top Thirsk 20:40 10/1 will hill

Gloucester Windsor 20:55 9/2 Ladbrokes double stake


A superb day, with a 10/1 winner, a 11/1 winner (best odds guaranteed in play - thank you mr hill), and a double staked 9/2 shot to finish things off. June's started in almost the best possible way, let's hope it can continue! Ironically it wasn't actually a very good day for value for a change (apart from, pleasingly, the double stakers), which is the backbone of what this system's all about, but I won't complain!

Here's confirmation:

Haulage Lady, 6th, 16/1sp

Ingleby Princess, 4th, 8/1

Stonehaugh, 1st, 10/1

Carleton, 6th, 4/1

Ruud Revenge, 4th, 5/2

Toy Top Thirsk, 1st, 11/1

Gloucester, 1st, 11/4


It all means I'm on another "renewed high" of £8.61, which is quite extraordinary given I was on bets of about £2.57 as recently as May 18th, and shows how great the recent run has been. Please let things keep going this way!