Sunday, 31 May 2009

Two today

A couple of runners today, one of which came close to being a "double staker" but not quite.

Good luck to:

Tricky Trev Bath 14:40 12/1 bet365
Backstage Perth 15:50 11/2 betfred

Tried to get on via stan james to get the best odds guaranteed on Backstage, but their notoriously unreliable website isn't working properly again.

Well Tricky Trev ran a bit of a stinker after continuing to be well backed, but Backstage did exactly what appeared to be expected at absolutely hacked up.

After what's been a fantastic month, it seems appropriate to end on a winner, and another profitable day.

Here's confirmation:

Tricky Trev, 14th, 6/1sp

Backstage, 1st, 3/1

Saturday, 30 May 2009

Five runners today - with two "double stakers"

A fairly busy Saturday, with five selections and two meeting the criteria of having double stakes placed on them.

A couple of others came close to being contenders, but as it is it's good luck to:

Mias Boy York 14:40 4/1 will hill double stake

Wild Rhubarb Haydock 16:45 4/1 will hill

Ishe Mac York 16:55 11/1 ladbrokes

Harlestone Snake Goodwood 17:05 9/2 bet365 double stake

Vainglory Goodwood 17:40 16/1 sporting bet

What brilliant weather today, hope Everton win the cup final - am spending the morning painting up the nursery for the pending new arrival!

A blank day today although a few ran with credit, Harlestone Snake and Mias Boy for me both a bit unlucky in running. Decent value on show in the main although Harlestone Snake drifted like mad - which would have been good given the best odds guaranteed were in play.

Anyway here's confirmation:

Mias Boy, 2nd, 11/4sp

Wild Rhubarb Haydock, 6th, 3/1

Ishe Mac York, 7th, 12/1

Harlestone Snake Goodwood, 3rd, 8/1

Vainglory Goodwood, 3rd, 11/1

Friday, 29 May 2009

Six runners today, some big gambles on

Busy day with six strong selections, and one double staker.

Good luck to:

Mr Fantozzi Yarmouth 15:45 4/1 double stake sporting bet

Sequillo Goodwood 16:10 7/1 will hill

Chesapeake Bay Hamilton 17:05 12/1 coral

Last Sovereign Goodwood 17:15 7/2 bet365

Screaming Brave Yarmouth 17:25 9/2 will hill

Captain Carey Haydock 19:10 15/2 coral

Not a great day, and grateful for another photo finish winner when Screaming Brave landed a big punt at Yarmouth. Captain Carey gave away six lengths at the start after completely missing the break and was only beaten about three lengths so possibly a shade unlukcy there. Just a shade down on the day.

Here's confirmation:

Mr Fantozzi, 2nd, 10/3sp

Sequillo Goodwood, 4th, 8/1

Chesapeake Bay , 6th, 12/1

Last Sovereign Goodwood, 6th, 11/4

Screaming Brave, 1st, 2/1

Captain Carey, 5th/ 9/1

A very exciting day tomorrow, as I welcome a few friends and my Dad to the party. I'll be placing bets on their behalf so hopefully things can continue the way they have been for the last few weeks!

Thursday, 28 May 2009

Just two today

Very quiet today by recent standards, with only two runners.

Probably for the best though because I've been in meetings this morning, so missed a couple of possible points profit with Cima De Triomphe who's been very nicely backed.

Good luck to:

Applaude Ayr 16:20 12/1 bet365

Cima De Triomphe Sandown 19:45 17/2 will hill

Another profitable day! Cima De Triomphe runs an absolute blinder to mug Conduit on the line in the Brigidier Gerard, after continuing to be very heavily punted, brilliant stuff.

Applaude ran a bit of stinker but still well up on the day.

Here's confirmation:

Applaude, 7th, 12/1sp

Cima De Triopmhe, 1st, 4/1

Great excitment here tonight as well because a good mate of mine has won an online satellite to get to Las Vegas with Ladbrokes with a dream vegas package - and I came a close fourth!! So he's off at the end of June for a week and could end up playing in the main event. Really chuffed for him and a bit jealous too! Told him I'll live my dream through him this summer!

Wednesday, 27 May 2009

Three today

Much calmer day today after the drama of yesterday, with three selections.

One or two others came close to being found but as it is it's good luck to:

Punching Brighton 16:55 7/2 paddy power

Solway Bee Cartmel 17:35 5/1 sporting bet

Hels Angel Beverley 18:20 4/1 will hill


Quick update because keen to watch the football (Man United to win by two clear goals at 9/2 my interest punt), but not happening today with 0/3. Punching according to the RP website had little luck in running.

Anyway here's confirmation:

Punching, 5th, 7/2sp

Solway Bee, 5th, 4/1

Hels Angel, 6th, 4/1

Tuesday, 26 May 2009

Weekly Update (belated)

Just to quickly catch up on last week's weekly update:

Monday 18th May - Sunday 24th May

32 bets
7 wins (21.9%)
8 placed (25%)
Level stakes profit: 29.23pts

eight today

Sorry for lack of recent updates, still in devon with no laptop and barely any phone signal. Lovely time though, and about a point down over the three days. Busy today with 8 runners. Good luck to-

Lei 2.00 lady of the desert 9/2 pp
Lei 300 norwegian dances 13/2 bet365
Lei 330 parc des princes 7/1 bet365
Chep 350 kidlat 14/1 bet365
Lei 430 mambo spirit 4/1 bet365
Red 440 where's reilly 7/1 lads
Chep 450 stamford blue 9/2 bet365
Hex 635 royal game 15/2 will hill

Back home after a lovely trip away, made even sweeter by a brilliant 14/1 winner. Not the only winner of the day too, and a couple of others also went close (Where's Reily beaten a short head). Norweigan Dancer's damn saddle slipped after being backed from 13/2 down to 3/1 - can you believe it!!

Here's confirmation:

Lady of the Desert, 1st, 3/1sp

Norwegian Dancer, 11th, 3/1

Parc des Princes, 4th, 11/2

Kidlat, 1st, 8/1

Mambo Spirit, 4th, 4/1

Where's Reilly, 2nd, 6/1

Stamford Blue, 10th, 5/1

Royal Game, 4th, 13/2

As for Sunday and Monday, I had one selection on Sunday, which was backed from 4/1 into 3/1sp but only finished 5th and Bank Holiday Monday I had five runners, including a 5/1 winner which drifted to 7s before winning (Zefooha in the 5.05 at Redcar). Was on with betfair so no BOG for me sadly. I also had a double stake selection go down. It all meant the three days Saturday - Monday showed 0.5pt loss altogether.

Saturday, 23 May 2009

6 today

6 today

2.15 bev mesbaah 9/1 wh
3.25 new proclaim 4/1 boyle
3.35 cat fathsta 4/1 pp
4.35 new suruor 11/2 skybet
5.10 new flame of hestia 18/1 sport bet
5.40 strat royal rationale 9/1 bluesq


One out of six here, with a small profit showing but decent value had on most of them.

Mesbaah, 9th, 8/1sp
Proclaim, 4th, 5/1
Fathsta, 2nd, 3/1
Suruor, 1st, 4/1
Flame Of Hestia, 3rd, 13/2
Royal Rationale, 8th, 13/2

Friday, 22 May 2009

Six today

Busy today, War Party in the 4.40 probably shouldn't be a selection but have included on account of price (even though I know I shouldn't, just couldn't resist.)

Anyway good luck to:

Magical Speedfit Brighton 14:30 8/1 bet365

Bravely Newcastle 16:30 5/1 sportingbet

War Party Newmarket 16:40 20/1 bet365

Driven Newmarket 17:15 9/2 stan james

Radiator Rooney Brighton 17:25 9/2 sporting bet

Beyond Redemption Stratford 18:10 9/1 stan james double stake

Well there we go, I knew I was tempting fate with my posting last night! A blank day to bring things down to earth a little. Am going away with the wife tomorrow until Tuesday (she's getting bigger than ever!) so may struggle to update here too well until then, though will try to when I get a minute. Even getting the bets on may be tricky, it may be a Betfair job.

Anyway here's confirmation of today's results with sps.

Magical Speedfit 7th, 7/1sp

Bravely, 2nd, 6/1

War Party, 6th, 20/1

Driven Newmarket 5th, 7/2

Radiator Rooney Brighton 3rd, 3/1

Beyond Redemption, 5th, 12/1

Thursday, 21 May 2009

What a week so far

I just wanted to take stock for a moment, and put on screen what a fantastic week it's been so far. I've had five profitable days in a row, and a profit since Monday of 36.73pts

In that time, there've been 13 bets, with 6 wins (strike rate 46%), with an average win odds of 6.13/1. Two double stake selections have also won. I've also missed the very best prices with at least two or three of those winners, so the profits could have been greater had work not got in the way. All that and 4 placed runners as well (two beaten less than a length).

That's a return on investment of 193.26%!

Hope you don't mind me being indulgent by pointing all this out - I only do it because I know it can't possibly continue in such a rich vein - but by God is it enjoyable while it lasts!

Four today again

For the fourth day running, four selections today being nicely backed, including one double staker.

It's good luck to:

Footstepsofspring Goodwood 14:15 6/1 paddy power double stake

Moneycantbuymelove Goodwood 16:00 8/1 will hill

Hippolytus Haydock 17:20 9/1 will hill

Marajaa Goodwood 17:40 9/2 will hill

Well another profitable day today! Although it could have been even better with Footstepsofspring beaten in the last 100yds and then Marajaa came with a winning run but was held by a neck. Still, really pleased with the 8/1 shot which came in, and the other was a non runner.

Here's confirmation:

Footstepsofspring, 2nd, 11/2sp

Moneycantbuymelove, 1st, 13/2

Hippolytus - non runner

Marajaa, 2nd, 7/2

Wednesday, 20 May 2009

Another four today

Hopefully the decent recent spell will continue today with one or more of these. It'd be brilliant if the double staker at the end of the day can do the business too.

Good luck to:

Alwaary Goodwood 15:25 4/1 will hill

Emotive Kelso 15:35 5/1 will hill

Star Shot Kelso 16:10 4/1 bet365

Diktatorship Sedgefield 21:00 9/1 bet365 - double stake

Another profitable day, although it dimmed a little after a bright start with Alwaary winning at Goodwood (beating another of my antepost derby hopes free agent in the meantime) and then no winners thereafter. Still, a new high for the bank and things progress forward nicely. Diktatorship ran a decent race for a long while, and traded at just over evens on betfair before being run out of it a bit.

Here's confirmation:

Alwaary, 1st, 5/1 (best odds guaranteed in place for me)

Emotive, 3rd, 7/2

Star Shot, 5th, 9/2

Diktatorship, 3d, 6/1

Tuesday, 19 May 2009

Four today

Ok am looking to continue the winning run with four today, including one double staker

It's good luck to:

Reignier Musselburgh 14:20 7/1 bet365 - double stake

Timbaa Yarmouth 15:10 14/1 bet365

Stellite Musselburgh 15:50 7/1 ladbrokes

Dimashq Musselburgh 17:20 7/1 stan james

Another excellent day, and another double stake winner which is brilliant.

Timbaa was withdrawn after getting unruly in the stalls after continuing to being heavily punted on course, so that may have been one which got away, I suppose we'll never know. Interesting to see how he gets on next race anyway.

Here's confirmation:

Reignier, 1st, 5/1sp

Timbaa - Non runner

Stellite, 1st, 13/2

Dimashq Musselburgh, 5th, 11/2


If you've been following the blog for a while you'll know that I switched staking plans to make sure my bank didn't go bust towards the end of March. I initially thought I'd take a small hit and carry on with the stakes I'd been playing with to see what happened, but then changed my mind and brought in a new reduced stake plan (i.e stakes halved if the bank is reduced by half).

If I hadn't changed my staking plan I'd be sitting with £439.05 tonight, but as it is I actually have £222.03. That's pretty sickening but still it shows we're on the right road. In terms of level stakes, the profit is now +56.92pts.

I don't want to get ahead of myself, and I hope I don't live to regret this, but it still amazes me the amount of people who go on the betfair forums and the like ridiculing people who follow the money - "those lemmings will never win!" they shout - well I hope I'm beginning to prove that if you get on the move early enough it can be a winning formula.

Watch out for 25 losers in a row now I've said that.. :-)

Monday, 18 May 2009

Four today

Have four today, including two double stakes. Again I missed a point or two with some of these because I was busy with work, in particular Knapp Bridge Day.

Anyway good luck to:

Bath 3.00 Beautiful Lady, 8/1 Ladbrokes

Bath 4.00 Full Victory, 5.2 on Betfair, double stake

Newton Abbott 4.20 Knapp Bridge Boy, 9/1, will hill, double stake

Bath, 4.30, Rumble Of Thunder, 7.2 Betfair

An excellent start to the week, with a couple of good winners including a "double staker" which is a nice bonus.

Here's confirmation:

Beautiful Lady, 7th, 15/2 sp

Full Victory, 1st, 3/1

Knapp Bridge Boy, 3rd, 7/1

Rumble Of Thunder, 1st, 4/1

Sunday, 17 May 2009

Weekly Update

Time for a quick weekly update

Since Monday it looks like this:

24 bets
4 wins 16.66%
6 placed 25%
14 unplaced 58.33%
4.5pt loss on the week

It's been a little while since the last decent priced winner (10/1+) and that's one of the main reasons the bank's been suffering a little recently, as results have actually stayed reasonably consistent. Hopefully one or two will be around the corner.

Overall we're looking like this:

379 bets
58 wins
15.3% strike rate
Average win odds: 6.2/1
Level stake profit: + 26.19pts
Return on investment: 8.78%

two today

two today,

3.40 ripon ponty rossa 5.5 betfair
4.10 ripon arctic cape 7.4 betfair


Had to update the selections extremely quickly today as was on the way from a Christening to its reception would you believe! Have now corrected it with the correct time of race.

It means that I missed the best prices with both of them, again, which is very frustrating but just can't be helped sometimes, until I employ that "putter on-ner" I talked about a few weeks ago!

Anyway a profitable day with Ponty Rossa doing the business, and value was still had again, here's confirmation:

Ponty Rossa, 1st, 3/1
Arctic Cape, 6th, 9/2


A "renewed high" of a bank incidentally of £2.57 (needless to say since switching to lower stakes to protect the bank, level stakes is showing 4pts profit).

Saturday, 16 May 2009

Just two today

Neither of these are strong selections, but make the cut nonetheless.

Good luck to:


Twice Over Newbury 2.40 17/2 will hill

Brunelleschi Newmarket 17:15 6/1 bet365


Not happening today, but Twice Over ran a cracker in the Lockinge, and Brunelleschi sounds pretty unlucky in running getting squashed onto the rail at one point (not seen the race myself). Anyhow 0/2 on the day and here's confirmation

Twice Over, 3rd, 15/2

Brunelleschi, 10th, 4/1

Friday, 15 May 2009

Five today

Some decent prices about today, so hopefully the bank will get a nice boost with one or two of these:

Good luck to:

Autumn Blades Newmarket 15:35 11/1 will hill

Grissom York 15:45 10/1 coral

Bigalos Star York 16:55 22/1 stan james

Wabbraan Newbury 17:10 10/1 sporting bet

Canadian Danehill Newmarket 17:20 8/1 coral

Stakes are now £2.51 per selection, frustrating that it dropped but we'll be back up there soon. It's very annoying that my staking plan relies on a certain order of results for the bank to get going in a serious way. The level stakes profit still stands at 24.5 pts aproximately, but in my own bank with my own staking plan it's a negative currently. Something not right with that obviously but in the long term I'm sure it'll work out for the best.

Decent end to the day, although returns reduced by damn non-runners.

Here's confirmation

Autumn Blades 4th, 9/1sp

Grissom 12th, 7/1

Bigalos Star, 12th, 25/1

Wabbraan 13th, 13/2

Canadian Danehill, 1st, 9/2

Thursday, 14 May 2009

Five today

Ok back to normal today am pleased to say, although the bank has taken such a hammering in the last few days we'll be on reduced stakes if Nehaam doesn't win. Ironically the very first bet in the new "reduced stake" era is a double stake bet! Also pleased that Nehaam is being backed as he is one of my Derby antepost punts.

Anyway it's good luck to:

Nehaam York 14:40 10/1 will hill

City Dancer York 15:45 5/1 ladbrokes double stake

Seneschal Salisbury 16:35 9/2 coral

Victoria Sponge Newmarket 18:15 7/1 will hill

Prof de LIsle Ludlow 19:40 5/1 sporting bet

Not happening today, with just one return. It's going to be a long old road to my fortune, but it'll happen I'm sure. Value was again had, in good style in some cases.

Here's confirmation:

Nehaam - 10th - 8/1 (stone last - not looking good for Epsom)

City Dancer - 4th - 7/2

Seneschal - 1st - 4/1

Victoria Sponge - 2nd - 5/1

Prof de Lisle - 11th - 11/4

Wednesday, 13 May 2009

Four today (belated)

Oh for the day when I'm living off my punting riches and not stuck in a meeting for hours on end.

Managed to get my bets on via betfair today, but three have gone down already.

Fontwell 3.35 Mr Ironman at 8.85

Perth 7.30 Indy Mood at 5.63 (double stake)

Perth 8.00 Solway Bee at 5.4

Now waiting to see how Dualagi gets on in the next at Bath (8.40), on at 7.8 and currently trading at 4.6 so at least the value's been had!

Nope there you go, another second, the jockey gave the selection far too much to do and couldn't get there. These recent seconds are adding up, which is always the hallmark of a horrible run.

Here's full confirmation of today's results, some good value about apart from the first race.

Mr Ironman - PU - 14/1

Indy Mood - 5th - 100/30

Solway Bee - 4th - 11/4

Dualagi - 2nd - 100/30