Wednesday, 6 June 2012

Co-ordinated strike

Another profitable day, thanks to Sahrati's comfortable (in the end) success at Fontwell. There'll be some celebrations tonight after a huge gamble was landed.

We had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)
4.00         Fontwell               Sahrati                           1pt                          7/2+generally inc. 4/1 Totesport/Skybet/PP/BetFred/SportingBet
6.40         Ripon                   Archie Stevens              1pt                           8/1+generally inc. 9/1 Totesport/Boyles/Betfred
8.40         Ripon                   Kunegunda                    1pt                          5/1+generally inc. 11/2 Hills/Totesport 6/1 Lads

Sahrati was the subject of massive support this morning, with what seemed a co-ordinated hit on the bookies as prices tumbled everywhere within minutes, much more than could ever be expected from even the most successful tipping line. Ladbrokes, for example, went from 14/1 to 10/3 in a little over 20 minutes. Normally we don't really like to back horses shorter than 5/1, and certainly the overall size of a punt isn't enough on its own for us to get involved, but today it was apparent that this was something a bit different so we felt compelled to get involved, even at what appeared small odds compared to what had been available an hour before. Still, even 4/1 turned out to be cracking value as Michael Blake's 8yo went off at 9/4. In the race itself, he was given a cracking ride by Tom Cannon, asked to push on and go and win the race three out as the trip was a touch on the sharp side, it looked like he could be in trouble as AP on the favourite loomed up alongside. But a mistake from the eventual second two out seemed to knock the stuffing out of him, and our selection powered clear to win by twelve lengths. The way Sahrati stayed on so well all the way to the line it would be churlish to say it wasn't a deserved win, even despite Stravita's mistake.

This evening at Ripon, Archie Stevens completely missed the kick, went right, and had little chance thereafter, after going off at 7/1.

Kunegunda was kept in the stalls for what seemed like an eternity but broke well enough and put in a good display, tucked in on the rail, constantly cramped for space, she made headway two out and for a moment or two looked like she might be able to burst through rivals to win, but it wasn't quite to be and she finished a close up fourth, going down by less than a length, after starting at 6/1.

Summary of Results

Sahrati, 1st/6, 4/1 --- 9/4
Archie Stevens, 8th/11, 9/1 --- 7/1
Kunegunda, 4th/10, 11/2 --- 6/1

Three winners for the month already, from just eleven selections, and 11pts of profit. Let's hope we can keep it going tomorrow.

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