Friday 22 June 2012

Will Black Caviar mind "soft" in the description tomorrow?



Not a great deal to report from today, with a disappointing effort from the selection which ran, and the other was a non runner. Of more interest is a report from down under on whether Black Caviar will be inconvenienced at all by the cut in the ground tomorrow. It follows below.

First up a quck look at today's runner, we had:

TIME     COURSE            SELECTION              0.5pt/1pt/2pt win    Bookmaker(s) / Price(s)


7.00         Newmarket          Sharjah                         1pt                            10/1 Bet365 11/1 12/1 Hills/Coral/PP/BetVictor&
others
8.05         Newmarket          Greensward                  1pt                             7/1 generally 8/1 Stan James
Sharjah was nicely backed on his debut, going off at 4/1 (although the short-priced favourite came out with what would have been a 40p r4, so we'll count Sharjah's early price as 7.2/1 for settlement purposes). Either way, r4 or not mattered not as he began struggling all too early in the driving rain and finished well back.

Greensward was a non-runner.

Summary of Result:

Sharjah, 9th/11, 7.2/1 --- 4/1
Greensward NR

Now, one of our subscribers is an Australian who goes by the name of Lucky, who actually runs his own tipping service highlighted through his blog 
http://lucky-100kchallenge.blogspot.co.uk/.

I asked Lucky whether all the rain we've been having here would hamper Black Caviar's chances tomorrow in any way (although actually the forecast tonight and tomorrow doesn't look so bad now). Anyway, it seems not - this is what he told me:

Sam,
       there is absolutely no worries regarding running on a wet track. I saw her trial here at Cranbourne, in an absolute bog, and she glided thru it. I've heard Moody also say she is very adapt in the wet. Even her race motion is that of a wet tracker. She has never run on a wet track here, because we had about a 6 year drought and rarely did we have wet tracks, aside from winter, but that is when the good horses are out.

       The barrier is also a huge help, Nolan will be able to dictate from there and not be cluttered up. Sources close to the stable reckon Moody has told the owners that she has never been as fit as this run. If that's the case look out. Mind you, they never let her go. One time Nolen sooled her a bit when she had the race well and truly won, and Moody tore strips off him. He's never done it again. If he did what Frankel's jockey did he would be sacked off her.

Interesting stuff, really hope she canters to victory. She's 1/4 tonight, and it'll be interesting to see if she goes off shorter come post time, can't wait to see her in action.


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