Wednesday, 14 March 2012

Cheltenham Day Two Market Analysis

What follows is market analysis released to members earlier, not designed as tips, but a short, and hopefully interesting, commentary of some of the main moves of Cheltenham on Day two so far.

1.30 Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase (Amateur Riders)

There has been very notable support about for Teaforthree, with Rebecca Curtis’ 8yo backed from a best price 7/1 this morning into around 11/2, 6/1 in places. It is all the more interesting given there is a Pricewise selection in the race, Soll, who has naturally also been clipped in with a few firms, although not spectacularly. He is now a best priced 7/1. Elsewhere there is a little bit of support around for Blenheim Brook, a best priced 20/1 chance.

2.05 Neptune Investment Management Novices Hurdle

Batonnier being a non-runner just after 9am confuses the picture here a little (ironically a PW ante-post selection), but still there are a few attracting notable support. Monksland has seen a lot of interest and is now best priced 9/2, while Cotton Mill is another being backed to keep up a winning run, and is now a best priced 9/1 after 14/1 was available for times this morning. Sous Les Cieux has also seen a fair bit of support, while at bigger prices Secret Edge has been backed into a best-priced 33/1. Favourite Simonsig was fairly stable in the markets earlier on but lengthening with a few firms now and is a best priced 3/1 at the time of writing.

2.40 RSA Chase

All about Grands Crus, and he is very solid at the front of the market with any 6/4 that was about this morning now gone, with the 7yo 11/8 for David Pipe to justify the decision to skip the Gold Cup (although there will be many wondering what might have been of course if he hacks up). Elsewhere barely any support for anything else at present, with First Lieutenantthe runner whose price is holding up best in the face of Grands Crus support.

3.20 Queen Mother Champion Chase

Sizing Europe is solid, and a best priced 10/11 at the moment. He’s been shortened with firms including Hills, Coral and Ladbrokes and any even money around that was available shortly here and there this morning has vanished. Realt Dubh for Noel Meade is being quite nicely nibbled at elsewhere, and is now a best-priced 20/1 from 25/1 this morning in places.

4.00 Coral Cup
Unsurprisingly Pricewise picks Get Me Out Of Here and Silverhand are among the horses who have shortened this morning, and are now a best priced 8/1 and 18/1 respectively (from 10/1 and 25/1). More interestingly perhaps is the level of support around for Son of Flicka.Beaten half a length in the Martin Pipe race last year off a higher mark, he was as big as 40/1 first thing this morning, but now is around half that price if not shorter. Elsewhere, being gently nibbled at, are Act of Kalanisi, Tenor Nivernais and First Fandango, and are best priced 18/1, 33/1 and 33/1 respectively.

4.40 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

Gorgeous Sixty is about the most strongly supported Pricewise horse from a market perspective so far today, and is now an 8/1 general chance, after being as big as 14/1 yesterday, and there is little movement elsewhere to take much interest in, apart fromKazlian who has shortened with half a dozen firms including Ladbrokes and Bet365, and is a best priced 8/1, and a little bit of support around for Jackies Solitaire, now a best priced 22/1 chance after some 25/1 was around earlier.

5.15 Weatherbys Champion Bumper

A fascinating market here with a few of interest from a betting perspective. New Years Eveis solid at the head of affairs and a best priced 11/2. Elsewhere the main contenders being backed are Sir Johnson, with 11/1 generally about the best price available at the moment, and Horatio Hornblower who is a best priced 14/1 chance. The New One (12/1)is solid and has been trimmed in a couple of places while Village Vic has also seen some interest and is a best priced 14/1 shot.


  1. Exceptional Cheltenham Day Two Market Analysis.

    Sample Analysis

  2. Thank you Jaylen, hope you're having a good festival.