Thursday, 15 March 2012

Cheltenham Festival Betting Market Analysis Day Three

Some very significant pointers yesterday in the markets, and here is our analysis for Day Three.

1.30 Jewson Novices' Chase

Donald McCain's fantastic Cheltenham means Peddlers Cross is being well backed, with the early 7-2 all gone except at Bet365 (at the time of writing). 100-30 is still quite widely available but he's already been cut to 3-1 in several places. There's also some interest in Zaynar, backed from a best priced 28-1 into as low as 16s (Hills) but still 20s in several places.

2.05 Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle)

The Pricewise pair of Sargent Guib's (9-1) and Pineau De Re (now best priced 16-1) are both well supported, with the latter in from an early 22-1 with Hills but possibly of more interested is the support for David Pipe's Beaua Vista , who is looking to follow up after winning the race for the last two years. 12-1 has been the biggest price about him but at the time of writing, 9-1 is the best available. Considering the horse was also second in this race three years ago, he is of obvious interest with 10lb claimer Tom Bellamy aboard. Interestingly, JP McManus only bought Catch Me in the last month or so but he has not yet steamed in and the horse has drifted slightly to a general 12-1 so we wait to see if there is a late plunge.

2.40 Ryan Air Chase
Riverside Theatre has been nibbled at but 5-1 has held up in a couple of places. Captain Chris is the only other one attracting notable support, into as low as 9-1 with those firms who went 12s early on.

3.20 Ladbrokes World Hurdle
A fairly lacklustre market early on, with Big Buck's drifting slightly as the big backers become wary of a third champion being turned over in as many days. 8-11 is the best available, which was unheard of a few days ago. Pricewise's choice of Thousand Stars is a best priced 9-1 at the moment, with Coral taking the early hits from their 12-1 and they have run for cover with the industry lowest of 15-2. Voler La Vadette has also shortened in places as punters seek out the each way value.

4.00 Byrne Group Plate (Handicap Chase)

A lively market for this very competitive handicap, with Crack Away Jack attracting a good degree of interest, in a point to a best priced 6-1. Hector's Choice (Pricewise) also being backed as per usual, with The Cockney Mackem another one showing up in the charts, into 16-1 from 20s and some support for Glam Gerry and Gilbarry, of Jonjo O'Neill's, at bigger prices.

4.40 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase

Pricewise has put up Sunnyhillboy and he is now 7-1 market leader but lower down the list Summery Justice is being well supported to give Venetia Williams her first winner at this year's festival. She has been in good form of late and the move for her's developed quite late in the morning and across the card so worth keeping an eye on.

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