Sunday, 31 October 2010

One day to go!

Well then, it's almost here. This time tomorrow we'll be examining the betting markets looking for our first selections for the first official day within the subscription era of!

If you are still undecided about joining in why not give it a go for a month and see what you think. Obviously we can't guarantee a profit in four weeks time, but with nine out of ten profitable months of this year we are quietly confident of starting strongly. Selections will be sent out at around 11.00 each morning via a daily email, it shouldn't take longer than around five or ten minutes a day to be involved.

We will be updating results regularly on this blog, and on the main website as well, so if you don't want to join just now, just keep checking in and see how things are getting on. Hopefully we can prove that we'll have a service that's worth being a part of.

Before it all starts tomorrow though, let's have our last look back at 2010. Today, as promised earlier in the week, we'll look at a couple of selections which drifted markedly before post time, but still managed to land the odds. Clearly our idea is to lock in value and beat SP with each and every selection, but that isn't always possible. While it's never a good sign to see a selection drift, the drifters do sometimes win, and with best odds guaranteed in play with nearly all bookies these days then it can just make a day even more profitable.

Here are a couple of examples.

1) Date: 11th May; Track: Warwick; Selection: Step It Up

James Boyle's sprinter Step It Up headed to Warwick back in May and was looking for his first win over the minimum trip on turf since the August of the previous year.

Over a few attempts on the all-weather, he was given seemingly a tough task on softish ground over six furlongs at Folkestone in April before the day in question, over ground a bit quicker.

Nicely backed in the morning, we put him up as a 1pt win single at a best price of 9/1. By the time on course market opened however, he was 14/1, and eventually started at 16/1 with the bookies, and a massive 25.19 on Betfair.

Not a good sign by the looks of it, but the six year old of course knew little of the lack of late confidence, and he was definitely trying. Held up at the back, he started to make ground over half way through, and took the lead in the final furlong to eventually win by a head. The 1/2 favourite Lost In Paris, looking to win under a penalty after a ridiculously easy victory a week before, could only finish third.

A result which looked unlikely given the drift had come in, and with best odds guaranteed in play we had a further 7pts in the bank we wouldn't otherwise have had.

Step It Up hasn't been placed since, in eight attempts.

2) Date: 3rd July; Track: Leicester; Selection: Thalia Grace

Similar to Step It Up, Thalia Grace was running in a sprint handicap, this time just short of six furlongs, at Leicester.

However, while Step It Up was a hardened handicap campaigner, this was Thalia Grace's first venture into such company. Off a mark of 54, she was nicely backed in the morning and we made her a selection at 8/1.

The drift began at around noon, and by the time the market opened on course for the opening race of the day, Thalia Grace was a 14/1 shot.

By the time the race began she was out to 16/1, after hitting 18s briefly. On the exchanges she went off at 22.01.

Always prominent, she was right up there with the leaders until she struck the front just over a furlong from home and was hard driven to stay there. And stay there she did, really finishing strongly to win by 1 1/2 lengths and having them nicely stretched out behind for Kirsty Milczarek.

It may have been Coral Eclipse day but this was the highlight for us, a cracking result and giving July the perfect start with a 16pt profit, double of that we were hoping for in the morning.

So just a couple of examples of why morning money can count for a lot even despite a drift late on.

If you would like to join the service before we get going tomorrow please go to

One month is £17.50; Three months is £50 (£16.66 a month); Six months is £90 (£15 a month); Twelve months is £160 (£13.33 a month).

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