Monday, 31 August 2009

Eight today - one double

Good luck to:

Kerchak Epsom 14:00 8/1 bet365

Carnaval Court Chepstow 14:05 £35.40 5/1 paddy power £129.76 9/2 vcbet DOUBLE

Livingonaknifedge Cartmel 15:30 7/1 ladbrokes

Goodwood Starlight Epsom 16:20 £25 12/1 will hill £16.50 12/1 betfred £18 11/1 stan james £30.08 10/1 bet365

Wyatt Earp Newcastle 16:35 £25.45 stan james 13/2 £57.13 6/1 coral

Transfered Warwick 16:50 10/1 ladbrokes

The Which Doctor Epsom 16:55 £49 4/1 stan james 33.58 4/1 totesport

Weather Front Huntingdon 17:05 6/1 bet365

Well at least August ended with a winner, with best odds guaranteed playing as well so even better. Weather Front's victory salvaged another up-to-that-point awful day. It meant just the one point lost on the day.

The winner ended a run of 37 bets without a win (with a double stake couting as two bets). This is by far the worst run since this attempt to "win a fortune" began last November. According to my staking plan programme, my longest expected run without a win should be 39, according to my strike rate, so that's hopefully the worst it can get. It means my bank's been very hard hit, 45% or so down from peak. Hideous.

But we're still well up since all this began, and if the stats gods are watching down there should be a good spell around the corner.

Here's confirmation of today's results with sps:

Kerchak, 6th, 17/2

Carnaval Court, 7th, 9/4

Livingonaknifedge, 3rd, 6/1

Goodwood Starlight, 6th, 8/1

Wyatt Earp, 5th, 9/2

Transfered, 8th, 8/1

The Which Doctor, 6th, 3/1

Weather Front, 1st, 7/1

1 comment:

  1. Keep it up CD, fortunes are bound to turnaround sooner or later. A lot of tipsters have had tough time of it this month. My only worry is that, in my experience, September is a notoriously bad month for betting. Hope you prove me wrong mate.